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NEIFI Analytics (@NEIFIco) profile picture

NEIFI Analytics

@NEIFIco

Systematic (e)valuation. Baseball.

 New York, NY
NEIFI.co
Joined November 2015
  • Tweets478
  • Following558
  • Followers2.8K
Inspired by PECOTA Day... what can we learn from disagreements between projection systems? neifi.co/lessons-from-compar…
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NEIFI Analytics retweeted
Ken Rosenthal (@Ken_Rosenthal) profile picture
Ken Rosenthal
@Ken_RosenthalSep 7
Fair Territory! *Acuña *Race of the turtles *Guardians’ edge *Jays’ pitching *Orioles’ collapse *The Eddings affair *Your questions YouTube: bit.ly/4yslEkc Apple: bit.ly/3UF2qJx Spotify: bit.ly/4hfgpy
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NEIFI Analytics retweeted
Foul Territory (@FoulTerritoryTV) profile picture
Foul Territory
@FoulTerritoryTVMay 29
Friday edition of Foul Territory! • FT Senior Insider @Ken_Rosenthal • @EvanDrellich of @TheAthletic • D'backs SP @Mike_Soroka28 Today's hosts: @FlavaFraz21, @ErikKratz31, @ScottBraun. Watch LIVE on YouTube and X from 1-3 ET!
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We're hiring. Two roles (or, maybe, just one):
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The "Colorado Braves", constructed as such, are nearly 8 wins per season less talented than the actual Houston Astros.
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Having one of the available NEIFI licenses isn’t cheap. Having anything but the sharpest possible vision for individual assets and organizational planning is far more costly. The precision shown here is certainly not universal, but hopefully illustrative.
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Brewers: just 1.4 fWAR from pre-FA homegrown players this year. Subtract them entirely, they'd still be a playoff-caliber team. Despite bottom-third payroll. Competitors: Cardinals 18.9, Cubs 17.1, Pirates 13.3, Reds 4.3. David Stearns is the best GM in the game.
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Phillies with an amazing defense today (Santana 3B, Hoskins LF, Bour 1B, Williams RF, Cabrera SS). Per NEIFI, 0.32 RA/9 worse than average. Which taken alone would reduce their win expectancy by more than -.030.
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Change in odds of reaching World Series (win or loss, in yellow) based on today's trades alone. 10k sims. Dodgers make biggest improvement in total odds.
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The Astros currently have a 106-win MLB roster by true talent, and a top-end farm system.
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What Freddy Peralta reveals to us about deception, stuff, upside, and evaluation. neifi.co/freddy-peralta-and-…
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A NEIFI MLB team license: costs somewhat less than the difference between Arrieta and Mikolas. nitter.cf/NEIFIco/status/9381019…
NEIFI Analytics (@NEIFIco) profile pictureNEIFI Analytics@NEIFIco5 Dec 2017
Congrats, Cardinals. Per NEIFI, Mikolas handily outperforms Jake Arrieta over next three seasons. Massive bargain, fantastic bet to be the most underrated FA of 2017 class.
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Now is as good a time as ever to announce this: I work for NEIFI now.
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NEIFI Analytics retweeted
Eno Sarris (@enosarris) profile picture
Eno Sarris@enosarris2 May 2018
Here’s the article that shows how far Bauer might have gone to prove his point: theathletic.com/337974/2018/… nitter.cf/lexhooper/status/99169…
Does pine tar increase your spin rate? And are the Astros all over that? Trevor Bauer seems to...

Does pine tar increase your spin rate? And are the Astros all over that? Trevor Bauer seems to...

It’s an open secret inside the game: Pine tar, and other grip substances, can help a pitcher increase their spin rate. I’ve been asked not to write about it by more than a few pitchers, but at this...

nytimes.com
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Brewers-Reds, on Russian Viasat Sport TV, being broadcast in Armenia (in Russian):
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attn NYC: NYU's Baseball Analytics resumes April 9 at the Washington Square campus. 5-week course. Enrollment open to all, not just NYU students. See you there. sps.nyu.edu/professional-pat…
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Trades aren’t zero sum. Both sides could/would theoretically owe. nytimes.com/2018/03/19/us/po…
A Curveball From the New Tax Law: It Makes Baseball Trades Harder (Published 2018)

A Curveball From the New Tax Law: It Makes Baseball Trades Harder (Published 2018)

The change of a single word in the new tax law means baseball, basketball and other sports franchises could now face capital gains taxes every time they exchange players.

nytimes.com
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flickr.com/photos/137184218@… Burger's last PA before devastating injury... LD double off LCF wall, facing Kendall Graveman.
Burger 2B off Graveman

Burger 2B off Graveman

Burger 2B off Graveman

flickr.com
Congrats Chris! nitter.cf/_chris_mitchell/status…
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