National Tax Assoc. retweeted
They find that under plausible tariff and fiscal policy scenarios, federal debt as a share of GDP could range from 161 to 212 percent by 2056.
Read more here:doi.org/10.1086/742149
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in National Tax Journal:
“Debts, Deficits, and Tariffs”
By @kpomerleau and @therealalimelad
@kpomerleau and @therealalimelad explore the long-term budgetary effects of the Trump Administration's tariffs.
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
How can economists and budget analysts grade Congress’s management of the deficit?
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in National Tax Journal:
“Grading Government: A Deficit Management Scorecard”
By Alan Auerbach and Danny Yagan
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
Over the last 30 years, the ratio of public debt-to-GDP in the United States has tripled, reaching nearly 100 percent, a level not seen since World War II.
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in the National Tax Journal:
“The evolution of deficits in the United States and implications for debt sustainability”
By Jesse Bricker, William Peterman, and Rebecca Wasyk
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
Read more here: doi.org/10.1086/742302
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
In the US, both defense and nondefense discretionary spending as shares of GDP have remained roughly stable for several decades. If these patterns persist, they will produce federal deficits larger than official CBO projections by 2036 of roughly 1.5 percent of GDP.
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in the National Tax Journal:
“The Federal Government’s Discretionary Spending”
By Karen Dynan, Doug Elmendorf, and Teri Gullo
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
Read more here: doi.org/10.1086/737267
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
Standard models overestimate tax-motivated income shifting. Why? Foreign market conditions (GDP growth, employment, etc.) bias estimates upward by about 33 percent. Adding country fixed effects and estimating domestic profitability address these issues.
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in @JournalTax:
“The Foreign Market Effect and Estimating Tax-Motivated Income Shifting”
By Zero Deng and Scott G. Rane
🔥Last Call for Submissions!
NTA is soliciting papers for presentation at the 2027 ASSA annual meeting to be held from January 3-5, 2027 in Washington, D.C.
Submit by April 30, 2026 👉 cognitoforms.com/NTA1/_2027A…
📢 2 Weeks Left to Submit!
NTA is soliciting papers for presentation at the 2027 ASSA annual meeting to be held from January 3-5, 2027 in Washington, D.C.
Submit by April 30, 2026 👉 cognitoforms.com/NTA1/_2027A…
NTA is soliciting papers for presentation at the 2027 ASSA annual meeting to be held from January 3-5, 2027 in Washington, D.C.
Submit by April 30, 2026 👉 cognitoforms.com/NTA1/_2027A…
⏳ LAST CALL! ⏳
Tomorrow is the final day to nominate a public finance leader for the 2026 Daniel M. Holland Medal. Don't miss the chance to recognize a lifetime of achievement!
Deadline: March 31 🚨 Nominate now: cognitoforms.com/NTA1/_2026D…
How does the 1986 Tax Reform Act shape today's policy debates? 🧐
Don't miss Alan J. Auerbach’s keynote at the Spring Symposium in DC. A must-attend for policy experts and researchers tracking the impacts of the OBBBA.
📅 May 7, 2026
🔗 ntanet.org/2025/12/56th-annu…
Who has shaped the world of public finance? Help us celebrate excellence by nominating them for the 2026 Daniel M. Holland Medal.
Don't wait—the deadline is March 31! ⏳
Nominate here: cognitoforms.com/NTA1/_2026D…
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in @JournalTax:
“Importers, Exporters, and Job Creation: A 30-year View to Assess Implications of the 2025 U.S. Tariff Actions”
By Fariha Kamal
Read more here: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/10…
National Tax Assoc. retweeted
New work in @JournalTax:
“Tariffs as Fiscal Policy”
By Kimberly Clausing and Maurice Obstfeld
Read more here: journals.uchicago.edu/doi/ab…















