Sports Analytics | formerly with @Dodgers, @RaysBaseball and @hornets
Joined January 2013
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Claude Code: model A and model B results are below.
Me: I told you to run model A, model B, and model C. Where are the model C results? Please get back to work.
Codex: 567 python tests passed.
Me: Chill, I just told you to fix two ids...
So by far the funniest thing about using Claude and Codex together is how Codex is very earnest and businesslike while Claude treats Codex like an inferior but hard-working subordinate
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Between not going for it here and calling a screen on 1st and goal at the 9 with 19 seconds left in the half and no timeouts what is going on with Eagles game management??
This is an unbelievably large mistake by the Eagles to not go for a 4th and long 1 at the 49 down by 13 points.
One of the biggest win probability mistakes I can ever remember from Sirianni
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Troy Aikman says “take the points” and my timeline reacts accordingly, but the Eagles make an absolutely crazy playcalling / clock management decision to end 1H and nobody notices?? Process over outcome should apply to both old-school commentators and sharp teams…
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Nik Oza retweeted
I appreciated this quite a bit lol.
(2/3) Check out "Draft Analysis: What Are You Paying For?": nikoza2.substack.com/p/draft…
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(3/3) citation shoutouts to @owenlhjphillips @jessefischer33 @CliffordAsness @samhinkie @HowardMarksBook @krystenpeek @MaxwellWithAMR and some current/former NBA team scouts and analysts
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(2/3) Check out "2026 NBA Draft and Pre-Free Agency Analysis: Decision Processes, Negotiation, Optionality, and Game Theory": open.substack.com/pub/nikoza…
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(3/3) Citations shouts to @MarcJSpears @ShamsCharania @spotrac @tradegal_ @samhinkie @HowardMarksBook @mattyglesias @NBASarah @jessefischer33 @matthewwinick @brauf33 @JeremyWoo @owenlhjphillips @bencfalk @cleantheglass @timkawakami @NateDuncanNBA @YossiGozlan @LevAkabas @tomhaberstroh @DanFeldmanNBA @BrettSiegelNBA
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Knicks front office sharp to extract value from other teams having all night to think about the best player on their board
Phoenix sent No. 47 among the three second-rounders to New York, sources said. So the Knicks now add that 47th pick to Nos. 31 and 55 on Wednesday night. The champion Knicks are now on the clock -- and, per sources, they have already received offers of future draft assets for No. 31 and intend to move the pick prior to the start of night two of the Draft.
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The Mara info was out there as long as you “game theory’d” it out
If I’m OKC and Sorber is broken, then I leak Isaiah Hartenstein extension talks and secretly target Mara in the draft
If I’m OKC and Sorber is not broken, I stay more flexible to picking up Hartenstein’s option and trading him vs declining the option to sign an extension
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Morez is awesome and I understand the temptation for cbb media to think Dusty made the pick but this is much more likely due to Masai’s/Schmitz’s eval + Morez crushing draft workouts (which are usually over-weighted in eval process)
Good for the Warriors for at least trying to extract as much value as possible before picking the best player available
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If mavs want to trade down, how well can they inspire a bidding war (or bluff a bidding war) between warriors, thunder, and grizzlies for yaxel/mara? Grizzlies have history of excellent draft eval but also trigger-happy trade ups. Okorie likely available at 16 if they stand pat
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