Noam Yakoby (@NoamYakoby) profile picture

News & Analysis | Israel & Middle East

Joined February 2023
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Is U.S. military aid to Israel really exceptional? The $3.3B in annual financing is highly visible. The costs of U.S. troops and bases abroad are less so. My new paper compares these security commitments and the benefits they provide. Full Paper: misgavins.org/en/yakoby-is-u…
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
Follow @NoamYakoby for more on how the media and political pundits lie about the U.S. so called “unconditional support.”
Is U.S. military aid to Israel really exceptional? The $3.3B in annual financing is highly visible. The costs of U.S. troops and bases abroad are less so. My new paper compares these security commitments and the benefits they provide. Full Paper: misgavins.org/en/yakoby-is-u…
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Israel's October 2026 final election results: Current Coalition: 53 seats Change Bloc: 48 seats Arab Parties: 19 seats Needed to form a government: 61 seats
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The vote count is complete. The Reservists and Economic Party received the support of approximately 152,000 voters, who appear to have come in roughly equal numbers from both political “blocs,” and from socioeconomic clusters reflecting the full political, economic, and identity spectrum of those who rushed to the front lines to defend the country on October 7. In doing so, we became the only party in these elections whose agenda and voters alike transcended the division into political “blocs.” But it is possible that, despite not being represented in the Knesset, the election results will nevertheless allow us to achieve the very thing for which we sought to enter it. The results hold enormous political potential. Precisely because neither side got what it wanted, an opportunity has opened up to form the government Israel needs: a broad, centrist Zionist government that will finally begin confronting the country's fundamental challenges. What do the results tell us? Netanyahu's coalition does not have a majority to return in its current composition. That is over. The change bloc does not have a majority to form a government without relying on parties and members of Knesset who hold explicitly antizionist and Palestinianist positions. And it seems it will take time to fully grasp the significance of the scale of political support for anti-Zionist Arab and ultra-Orthodox parties, especially in a scenario of their full voter mobilization. The possibility of political cooperation between anti-Zionist Arab and ultra-Orthodox parties, and the emergence of an “antizionist bloc” that increasingly places the interests of these two groups above the shared Zionist interest, represents a strategic threat to the future of the State of Israel. For Zionist parties to rely on anti-Zionist parties in order to defeat a Zionist political rival is dangerous behavior. And here lies the paradox: an outcome that makes almost nobody happy individually could turn out to be an excellent result for the State of Israel and Zionism. Precisely because neither side can get everything it wants, the necessity of working together has emerged. The right government for Israel at this moment is a government of Likud, Yashar, Lieberman, and Bennett. A broad, centrist Zionist government, without the ultra-Orthodox and Arab parties, and also without the less centrist Zionist parties. Such a government could, if it chose to, commit to preserving the existing legal situation, under which there are no longer any arrangements granting exemptions from service and the law currently in force is the Defense Service Law. It could ensure that state services and public-sector positions are reserved for those who serve and defend the country. It could guarantee state Zionist education, in Hebrew, for all Israeli children. And it could put an end to the economic mechanisms through which Israel's welfare state has, for decades, encouraged draft evasion and separation from the Zionist enterprise. (And it certainly wouldn't hurt to lower the electoral threshold to encourage Zionist Arab and Zionist ultra-Orthodox political representation.) Such a government could confront the enormous diplomatic and security challenges ahead, finally begin working to dismantle Palestinianism at home and abroad, and return Israel to a Zionist and productive path. There are no serious security or economic differences between the parties of Netanyahu, Eisenkot, Bennett, and Lieberman that justify continued paralysis or another election. They have far more in common than our political discourse allows us to see. If they wanted to, they could form an excellent government. But for that to happen, both sides would have to give something up. Netanyahu cannot insist on preserving every component of his current coalition and expect everyone else simply to join it. The election results neither allow nor justify that. Conversely, the change bloc cannot insist on boycotting Netanyahu at the price of relying on antizionist and Palestinianist forces. The danger now is that, instead of seizing the opportunity, both sides will choose escalation, which could look like this: Netanyahu will entrench himself in a coalition that lacks a majority, while the other side will use its parliamentary majority to pass confrontational legislation and paralyze the government. Each side will respond with further escalation, and Israel will find itself in a prolonged political and institutional crisis, precisely when it needs a functioning government more than ever. This is exactly where we wanted to play a political role. We did not seek to be the kingmaker who determines who becomes prime minister. We sought to be the spearhead for establishing a broad, centrist Zionist government. A political force capable of standing up to either side that refused to compromise, and making it clear that refusal carries a price. This was our message throughout the campaign: What, not who. Israel is a parliamentary, coalition-based democracy. The prime minister, as the English name suggests, is the first among ministers, not a president and not a king. The identity of the prime minister matters, but the composition of the coalition and the policies it advances matter far more. Therefore, the question of who will be prime minister is secondary to the question of what kind of governing coalition we will have. Will it be a government that continues subsidizing draft evasion and separation from the rest of society, or one that restores service, Zionist education, and shared responsibility to the center of Israeli life? Will we continue postponing the confrontation with our fundamental problems, or will we seize the opportunity to halt processes that have been endangering our future for decades? These are the questions that truly matter. And if we fail to confront them now, the future price will be far higher — and the damage may not even be reversible. We ran in these elections to change the direction in which Israel is heading. We had hoped to do so from within the Knesset, and we are disappointed that we will not be able to. But the results have created a genuine opportunity to achieve the very goal for which we embarked on this journey. The responsibility now lies with the leaders who were elected. They can continue to entrench in political blocs that have led Israel into repeated election cycles and governments dominated by the extremes, or they can recognize that the new political reality requires them to do something different. If a broad, centrist Zionist government is formed here, without the ultra-Orthodox and Arab parties, and finally begins confronting the fundamental questions facing the State of Israel, that will be the achievement we sought. And that will be reward enough for us.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
Here are your high banana prices @cenkuygur.
BREAKING: A new report just shattered the “unlimited money for Israel” narrative. America spends billions more defending other allies through permanent bases, troops, and security guarantees. The money spent on Israel is a fraction when you actually look at the bill.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
BREAKING: A new report has just shattered the nonstop propaganda that we “fund Israel.” Unlike other allies, we do not spend billions on their defense with a permanent base or endless spending through other budgets.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
This doesn’t get spoken about enough.
BREAKING: A new report just shattered the “unlimited money for Israel” narrative. America spends billions more defending other allies through permanent bases, troops, and security guarantees. The money spent on Israel is a fraction when you actually look at the bill.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
This doesn’t get enough attention.
BREAKING: A new report just shattered the “unlimited money for Israel” narrative. America spends billions more defending other allies through permanent bases, troops, and security guarantees. The money spent on Israel is a fraction when you actually look at the bill.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
If people cared even slightly about facts, this would get hundreds of thousands of views. Unfortunately, so much Muslim Brotherhood propaganda has corrupted people's basic logic.
BREAKING: A new report just shattered the “unlimited money for Israel” narrative. America spends billions more defending other allies through permanent bases, troops, and security guarantees. The money spent on Israel is a fraction when you actually look at the bill.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
BREAKING: A new report just shattered the “unlimited money for Israel” narrative. America spends billions more defending other allies through permanent bases, troops, and security guarantees. The money spent on Israel is a fraction when you actually look at the bill.
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Is U.S. military aid to Israel really exceptional? Not when you compare it to what Washington spends defending its other allies. Read the full analysis by @NoamYakoby. ⬇️ misgavins.org/en/yakoby-is-u…
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Israeli exit polls indicate no clear winner
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
Two million Arabs vote in today’s election in Israel. Very strange Apartheid.
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
Netanyahu showcased this map tonight during his address outlining Israel’s new security doctrine. The map illustrates an emerging geopolitical realignment in the Middle East, dividing the region into 3 competing blocs. A Sunni alignment centered on Türkiye, Saudi Arabia, Egypt and Pakistan. An Iranian axis stretching through Iraq, Lebanon and Yemen. And an Israeli and Emirati strategic partnership, with a wider network of regional allies. These are not necessarily formal military alliances, but a depiction of how regional powers are positioning themselves.
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The UN’s Anti-Israel Ecosystem: Exposing the Machinery, Countering the Threat A special webinar marking the publication of a major new Misgav Institute report, featuring distinguished guests. As we mark three years since the October 7 massacre, a new report exposes the UN’s role as a central driver of the global delegitimization campaign against Israel. Mapping more than 30 UN mechanisms, the report offers an inside look at how the UN has systematically advanced anti-Israel demonization since October 7. Join us for a special discussion with leading international voices confronting anti-Israel bias at the UN. We will explore how this ecosystem operates - and what Israel, the United States, and civil society organizations can do to counter it. Featuring: Hillel Neuer, Executive Director, UN Watch Dan Mariaschin, Honorary CEO and Senior Advisor, B’nai B’rith Michal Cotler-Wunsh, CEO, International Legal Forum Moderator: Dr. Adi Schwartz, Research Director at the Misgav Institute and co-author of the report Monday, October 12, 2026 | 4:00 PM (Israel Time), 9:00 AM (Eastern Time) | Zoom Register here: us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…
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Noam Yakoby retweeted
𝗙𝗼𝗿 𝘁𝗵𝗲 𝗳𝗮𝗹𝘀𝗲 𝗳𝗹𝗮𝗴 𝘁𝗵𝗲𝗼𝗿𝘆 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲 𝘁𝗿𝘂𝗲, 𝘆𝗼𝘂 𝗵𝗮𝘃𝗲 𝘁𝗼 𝗯𝗲𝗹𝗶𝗲𝘃𝗲: The co-pilot volunteered to be arrested and interrogated. The captain volunteered to be stabbed. Flightradar24 recorded a fake dive in real time. ADS-B Exchange independently recorded the exact same fake dive. Saudi ATC and radar logs recorded a fake emergency and landing. UAE ATC records logged the departure of a flight supposedly involved in an incident that never happened. Israeli ATC records logged the expected arrival of that same flight. The flight data recorder recorded fake altitude and control inputs. The cockpit voice recorder somehow matched the fake story too. Saudi aviation authorities agreed to write a preliminary assessment confirming a fake incident. UAE investigators agreed to open a real investigation into a staged event. Roughly 174 passengers agreed to fake an emergency and film it from every angle. Passengers agreed to storm the cockpit on cue and then give interviews afterward. Tabuk Airport and Saudi air traffic control agreed to handle a fake emergency landing. Saudi medical staff agreed to treat fake injuries and keep the secret. Israeli officials agreed to publicly discuss an incident they knew was fake. Ben Gurion Airport staff and ambulances agreed to wait for a plane that was never really in danger. News outlets independently verified fake passenger videos and all somehow reached the same conclusion. Passenger videos and photos from multiple phones all showed the same fake blood and chaos. The aircraft itself was physically damaged as part of the fake story. Saudi hospital records documented injuries from an attack that supposedly never happened. Custody and transfer records were created to document the pilots being moved to the UAE. Saudi authorities put the incident in writing in their preliminary assessment. Multiple governments and organizations issued matching official statements. Independent news organizations all separately reported the same fake event. The FlyDubai flight crew agreed to fake the entire incident. The cabin crew agreed to act terrified for the whole flight. FlyDubai management agreed to issue statements about an incident they knew was fake. So the theory requires hundreds of passengers, airline employees, medical staff, investigators, three countries’ aviation systems, flight-tracking services, journalists, physical aircraft damage, hospital records, radar data, and official documents to all be coordinated perfectly without anyone exposing it.
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A Flydubai flight from Dubai to Tel Aviv landed safely in Tabuk, Saudi Arabia, after an Omani co-pilot reportedly attacked the captain in an attempt to kill him mid-air and crash the plane. Crew and passengers subdued the co-pilot, and all aboard survived.
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More details: Almost all passengers were Israeli, including children. The plane entered a sudden dive during the cockpit struggle, dropping from ~34,000 ft to under 17,000 ft in about a minute before control was regained. Passengers subdued the attacker, reportedly tying him with headphone cords. A pair of off-duty pilots traveling as passengers in civilian clothes took control of the plane and safely landed the in Tabuk. Over 100 Israeli passengers landed in Saudi Arabia- a country that doesn’t formally recognize Israel. Both original pilots were transferred to the hospital. The attacker is now being interrogated by the Saudis.
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The passengers arrived safely in Tel Aviv
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