@OddStatsi
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Retired finance professional. I can't see the future and neither can you; anyone who says different has something to sell. NOTHING I SAY IS INVESTMENT ADVICE.
OddStatsHonestTruth@gmail.com
Joined April 2013
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Bluekurtic reminds bears to get fucked this quarter.
Replying to @RyanDetrick
The S&P 500 also made atleast one new high in each of Q1, Q2 and Q3 this year.
In such cases, Q4 was higher in 19/20 cases. Smells bullish.
SPX has an +11.77% YTD return here at the end of September.
There have only been three calendar years ever with as good a start as 2026 has had, and then a -2% or worse return for Q4:
1929 [-28.9%]
1987 [-23.2%]
1943 [-3.4%]
So: Black Tuesday, Black Monday, WW2.
JUST ME, RIGHT?
1) Are you also kinda thinking, "sure feels like something really fucking bad is gonna happen soon, doesn't it?"
2) Does *that* not have you kinda thinking, "every time I think that, I'm wrong. I bet the market is up 10% in a fucking month."
3) Does THAT not kinda have you thinking, "well, last time I did the inverse trade, I *still* fucking lost."
4) And does THAT not kinda have you thinking, "yeah, fuck it, I guess I'll just sit this one out entirely; which guarantees it'll happen?"