Pat James

Week 11 College Football Betting Thread Last Week: 6-3 (+4u) 20-5 YTD on unders docs.google.com/spreadsheets…

WMU/Akron u50.5 Super small play just for some action, but think WMU defense is best unit on the field and Akron will have a tough time scoring. Also think Akron will get sucked into Broncos slow play

Florida/Kentucky u53.5 Both teams are playing on slower end and Florida’s offense seems broken. It may have just been competition but this game feels like a 27-20 finish to me

Terry McAulay is slaying people on the internet this week

Louisville/UNC o59.5 Cards offense should be able to get what they want they have a statistical edge in success rate and PPA everywhere. When UNC is on offense, I think the script will require them to throw as LV jumps out to a lead and as you can see that’s where the Cards D can be got

Now that every referee that has been asked about the drop in the ND/Miami game has agreed it’s an incomplete pass, we move on? @tjmcaulay @GeneSteratore etc etc have all chimed in that he didn’t have #3 rule of a catch and complete an act common to the game. It’s also sliding around in his hands before it’s dislodged. Lofton even gets mad at himself and jogs off not arguing.

Punt this team and resume into the ether. LSU should be WAY down the CFP top 25 Tuesday

The NFL product has been brutal this season. The usual million injuries, plus there have been way too many games ending in 16-9 snoozefests

Ref: “Coach don’t worry about it, us ACC refs have been impartial all season”

Castellanos just dabbed after a first down. That takes me back

CJ and Tommy Carr’s dad can’t even be happy rooting for one team to win every week…CJ and Tommy probably had their best and worst collegiate games respectively today He basically has to hit an ND/UM parlay every Saturday. Thats rough expected value for the family

Very honest of the ND play clock operator wouldn’t you say?

Leonard Moore you can have my eye

Wild to me that a Wake team who has scored 50+ and beaten ACC teams by 50 was a 46 point favorite against Merrimack with a team total of 51.5 Gio Lopez isn’t worth that much when we’re talking about a helpless FCS team. I’d have bet this with George Lopez under center

Drew Moneymaker

Mizzou +3 Texas is severely banged up on top of not being an efficient offense to begin with. This game should be a slogging dog fight so I'll take the FG with the home team. Colorado State +17.5 Shop for this line. 17 is okay, I probably wouldn't take 16s. Boise's defense is suspect, add in that Haney and CSU at home can ball out on the offensive side I think they keep it close. Boise missing Madsen isn't as massive as everyone thinks, but I do think they slow this game down considerable given the injury. I think there will be points but that CSU can answer enough times to keep it to 2 score game.

Oklahoma State o34.5 TT Pokes are not in a great spot with back to back road games, but this offense is electric and the defense lets up enough that the offense needs to keep their foot on the gas. KSU doesn’t turn teams over either

Rutgers/Wisconsin u46.5 Wisconsin’s defense at home should be able to lock Rutgers up and at the very least for methodicals that settle for FGs. On the other side of the ball Wiscy is starting a freshman QB. My guess is they’re ultra conservative as usual. Both teams combine for one of the slowest paces of the weekend.