@Politcastats

American politics. Moderate. Random tweets and stats. 🇺🇸

 United Kingdom
Joined June 2023
  • Tweets505
  • Following241
  • Followers39
20Media
Samuel Alito tells CBS News that he expects to consider retiring from the US Supreme Court next year.
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Political Polls
@PpollingNumbers
Oct 1
New - Fox Senate polls 🔵 Texas - Talarico +2 (Flip) 🔵 Maine - Jackson +2 (Flip) 🔵 Michigan - El-Sayed +1 🔵 Ohio - Brown +8 (Flip) 🔵 Iowa - Turek +2 (Flip) 🔵 North Carolina - Cooper +9 (Flip)
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He’s polling at average 25% lol, this is BS. Blair was polling at 45%+
Lewis Goodall
@lewis_goodall
Sep 29
Burnham is the first truly effective political teacher Labour has had since Blair.
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Is this a fucking joke?
Politics UK
@PolitlcsUK
Sep 28
🚨 BREAKING: The five men arrested near RAF Fairford are being released on bail but remain under investigation
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Ten Years Ago Today
@tenyearsnow
Sep 27
The first 2016 Presidential Debate between Trump and Clinton concludes. It is estimated to have had over 100 million live viewers making it the most watched debate in history. Here are some highlights:
Ten Years Ago Today
@tenyearsnow
Sep 26
Hillary Clinton and Donald Trump shake hands as their first Presidential debate begins.
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 27
📊 NBC News Decision Desk 2026 Forecast US Senate 🟦 Democrats: 49 🟥 Republicans: 48 🟨 Toss-ups: 3 —— US House 🟦 Democrats: 224 🟥 Republicans: 204 🟨 Toss-ups: 7 —— Senate Ratings 🟨 Alaska: Toss-up 🟨 Ohio: Toss-up 🟨 Texas: Toss-up 🟦 Maine: Lean D 🟦 Michigan: Lean D 🟦 North Carolina: Lean D 🟦 New Hampshire: Lean D 🟥 Iowa: Lean R 🟥 Kansas: Lean R Map from @270toWin nbcnews.com/politics/2026-el…
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 27
RCP Generic Ballot final avg → actual House popular vote 🔴 2002: R+1.7 → R+4.6 🔵 2006: D+11.5 → D+8.0 🔴 2010: R+9.4 → R+6.8 🔴 2014: R+2.4 → R+5.7 🔵 2018: D+7.3 → D+8.6 🔴 2022: R+2.5 → R+2.7 🔵 2026 (Sept 26): D+8.7
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
VoteHub
@VoteHub
Sep 25
VoteHub 9/25 U.S. Senate Forecast 47: NH – 88% 🔵 48: MI – 74% 🔵 49: ME – 66% 🔵 50: AK – 65% 🔵 51: OH – 64% 🔵 (Tipping Point) 52: TX – 61% 🔵 53: IA – 57% 🔴 54: KS – 77% 🔴 55: NE – 78% 🔴 56: SC – 85% 🔴
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 26
WSJ POLL - Presidential approval before the midterms 🟢 G.H.W. Bush 1990: 75% 🟢 Clinton 1998: 66% 🟢 G.W. Bush 2002: 64% 🟡 Clinton 1994: 48% 🟡 Obama 2010: 46% 🟤 Trump 2018: 44% 🟤 Biden 2022: 43% 🟤 Obama 2014: 40% 🔴 G.W. Bush 2006: 39% 🔴 Trump 2026: 37%
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 26
🇺🇸 WSJ POLL — Trump Approval (9/16-21) Approve: 37% (-4) Disapprove: 61% (+4) The lowest approval any president heading into midterms in WSJ polling dating to 1990. —— Economy under Trump: 🟤 Worse: 60% 🟢 Better: 25%
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Sep 23
Trump approval now at -22.4, his low point for the term and now lower than at any point in his first term, even after Jan. 6. By comparison, he was at a "mere" -11.6 at this point in 2018.
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Nate Sliver: “Polls are getting worse for Republicans in a way that's not common in midterms.”
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Some wild numbers here. Looks like a true blue wave coming in November…
VoteHub
@VoteHub
Sep 22
9/22 Forecast Update Democrats again gain ground today, reaching new highs in both chambers. They are favored to control both the House and Senate, though Senate control remains very close to a tossup. 🔵 U.S. Senate: 57.4% (+1.7% vs. yesterday) 🔵 U.S. House: 83.8% (+0.9% vs. yesterday)
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 23
Generic Ballot polling trend among Independent voters by Marist (A) 🔵 2018: Democrats +6 🔴 2022: Republicans +12 🔵 2026: Democrats +25
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Polling USA
@USA_Polling
Sep 23
Texas - Senate Polling: 🔵 Talarico: 50% 🔴 Paxton: 44% Marist / Sept 20, 2026 (Current model result in TX-SEN is DEM 49% - GOP 47%) open.substack.com/pub/usapol…

The Democratic Wave Is Growing

Post-Labor Day polling continues to point toward a difficult midterm environment for Republicans

unitedstatespolling.com
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Hunter📈🌈📊
@StatisticUrban
Sep 23
Polls in traditionally lean/solid blue states (MN, NH, NY) have been pretty mediocre for Dems. But they lead polling in TX, OH, AK, IA. Waves *can* be local, and candidates matter. But if the disparity happens at the magnitude polls suggest rn, that would still be pretty weird.
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
NewsWire
@NewsWire_US
Sep 23
Republicans Privately Say They’re Doomed in the Midterms — MS Now
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Iowa is very significant!
InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
Sep 22
Sabato’s Crystal Ball — 10 rating changes today, all toward Democrats SENATE 🟦 Michigan: Toss-up → Leans Dem 🟡 Iowa: Leans R → Toss-up 🔴 Kansas: Likely R → Leans R —— GOVERNOR 🔴 Texas: Likely R → Leans R 🔴 Florida: Likely R → Leans R 🟡 Nevada: Leans R → Toss-up 🟡 Ohio: Leans R → Toss-up —— HOUSE 🟦 IA-1: Toss-up → Leans Dem 🔴 FL-27: Likely R → Leans R 🔴 TX-9: Safe R → Likely R
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Senate. She wouldn’t win a general
NewsWire
@NewsWire_US
Sep 22
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Decide After Midterms Whether to Run for U.S. Senate or President in 2028 — NYT
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
Nate Silver
@NateSilver538
Sep 22
Polls for Republicans are just getting worse by the day in a way that isn't actually all that common in midterms. It's gotta be mostly the gas prices, although maybe AI anxieties are also reverberating negatively for the GOP. Model update out soon.
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USA Politics 🇺🇸 retweeted
charles r. davis@charizardavis
Sep 22
we're either approaching a massive blue tsunami and a huge political realignment, or the end of polling as an institution, folks.
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