Is this the longest BioX (FKA BioTwitter) has gone without mentioning $NKTR?
I’m short a small amount of $BBIO. FDA flagged a new renal impairment signal for Attruby. FAERS shows a higher rate of AKI vs tafamidis, in line with the pivotal trial but now on a bigger sample. Could mean a Warnings & Precautions label change over time if signal is real.
In addition: Generic tafamidis is arriving in Europe, and France has published the first price.
France: the Journal officiel (28 Oct) set Tafamidis Zydus 61mg at €1,088 per box of 30 (€935.47 ex-factory), effective 1 Nov. That's ~83% lower than branded. More are lined up in France. Viatris, Zentiva, EG and Biogaran all have hospital/pharmacy codes registered, and patient groups say generics can be marketed from 19 Nov. Prices for those four haven't been published yet.
Generics are approved for hereditary ATTR-CM only. Vyndaqel keeps orphan exclusivity in wild-type, the large majority of patients, until Feb 2030. But expect European payers to push generic use as hard as the rules allow, and watch for leakage into wild-type.
Germany: no generic is listed in public pharmacy databases yet, but Accord's is approved EU-wide, and Adalvo and Welding hold European approvals that likely include Germany. Generics can price freely at launch.
The bigger lever is a Festbetrag (reference price). Once generics are on the market, the G-BA can form a Stufe 1 group for the same active ingredient. Orphan status doesn't block this: sapropterin got a Stufe 1 group in April 2026. Key precedent: the G-BA and the BSG (2018) treat Stufe 1 groups as active-ingredient-based and, as a rule, ignore approved indications. The G-BA has rejected "no alternatives in the group" arguments before (etanercept, zoledronic acid).
Pfizer has already moved: in August it launched a Vyndaqel 61mg film-coated tablet in Germany, approved for wild-type only, at the same €11,128 price. Pfizer says ~96% of German patients are wild-type.
Can the tablet be pulled into a reference price group? On precedent, likely yes. The G-BA routinely groups "oral dosage forms" together (abiraterone covers film-coated and plain tablets), and only therapy-relevant bioavailability differences count. Pfizer says tablet ≈ capsule.
G-BA consultation plus GKV-Spitzenverband price-setting typically takes months after generics launch, and a tablet script can't be swapped for a generic capsule in the meantime.
Obviously this impacts $PFE and Bayer more directly, but it's a headwind for $BBIO's European royalties too. $BBIO sold 60% of its European royalties on the first $500M of annual Beyonttra sales, so much of the near-term exposure sits with the royalty buyers. The bigger risk for BBIO is the tranche it fully keeps: if price erodes, Beyonttra may take much longer to get above $500M, or never get there.
Tail risk: BBIO signed an MFN deal with the administration in Aug 2026. If MFN expands and benchmarks against European acoramidis pricing, cheaper tafamidis dragging down Beyonttra's price could eventually pull down Attruby's US price.
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Is $COGT not overvalued even after the pullback?
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Ugh
$INCY subpoena
INCYTE FACES NEW CONGRESSIONAL SCRUTINY AS DEMOCRATS DEMAND UNREDACTED DRUG PRICING DEALS, SIGNAL POTENTIAL SUBPOENAS — ENDPOINTS NEWS
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Lots of people on X call themselves dumpster divers. None of them are competition for me.
Small position in $KYNB. The biggest overhang (other than the pipeline) was the NovaQuest balloon payment, and they've paid it down.
Q4: hopefully they dump roxadustat on a partner for any amount upfront. Worst case, they get some funds (you know the usuals) to finance it and get a cash infusion. FG-3246 is a potentially interesting post-PSMA radiotherapy.
I am also short a small amount of $ARQT which is risky given recent run. But royalty pharma paid $100M to AZ for a 3% royalty on Zoryve and guided to a HSD/LDD IRR. On consensus that’s 20%+, even if the royalty ends in 2032 (10 years from First commercial sale). 20% wouldn’t clear a competitive auction. Read: RP sees sales well below the Street, or the IP is shakier than it looks.
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Sorry Obicetrapib, you have been relegated to “a bad idea that should be dropped” $NAMS
Replying to @venkmurthy
Dissent is obviously key to the scientific process, I often worry about herd mentality in decision processes we have, but I suspect its much worse in academic medicine because reputation and hierarchy are the currency of the realm. That said this industry is really hard because differentiating between good ideas that just need more work (better drug, better experiment ala Amyloid Beta ) and bad ideas that should be dropped (dead end biologic target that is drugged well enough ala CETPi) is non obvious much of the time, until it isn’t. Too often after a ton of money and time invested in human CTs. So just listening to the dissenters isn’t good enough and neither is over simplified pattern recognition across biology - designing POCs that really test the idea much better.
Nothing says attention to detail quite like presenting obicetrapib data in a poster saved as "Sonidegib Duration of Response (DOR) at 30 Months: Results from the Phase 2 BOLT Trial" $NAMS
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And one more big CV study miss for #AHA26
Failure of Novartis $NVS Lp(a) drug raises questions about cardiovascular strategy statnews.com/2026/11/07/aha-… via @cooney_liz @matthewherper
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Buy-Side Folks: When you’ve dug into different disease areas, how well has BrandImpact reflected actual scripts or sales?
0%Closely tracked
17%Good directional
17%Rarely matched
67%Dont Ruin My Sample
12 votes • Final results 1
475






