PropPredictor

Most prop tools do one of two things: 📊 Projections that ignore the price 💸 EV screens with no model We do both. 10,000 sims per player, checked against the book's fair odds. Projection-only: -0.5% ROI Model + price: +5.7% Every pick tracked publicly 👇

Free while we're in launch: theproppredictor.com

We only flag a prop when we're 5+ points better than the book's fair price. So far, we've beaten the closing line 77% of the time. Season so far: +173 units on 6,000+ tracked picks.

How it works: we build every player's night from the parts (minutes, shots, makes, boards, assists) and run it 10,000 times. That gives a real probability for every line.

📈 Value spot 𝐂𝐨𝐨𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐅𝐥𝐚𝐠𝐠 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟒𝟎.𝟓 𝐏𝐭𝐬 + 𝐑𝐞𝐛 + 𝐀𝐬𝐭 (-117 DraftKings) - 42 last night in 28 min, DAL on a back-to-back again - Under in 7 of last 10, 3.5-pt game, no shootout total Reply with your play for this game 👇 #NBA #NBABets #PrizePicks

🏀 Model pick 𝐃𝐲𝐥𝐚𝐧 𝐇𝐚𝐫𝐩𝐞𝐫 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟒.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 (-115 Fanatics) - 28 min in each of the last two, SAS up 8.5 at PHX - Fanatics -115 is the best price, rest -124 or worse What's your take? 👇 #NBAProps #PlayerProps #GamblingX

🎯 Prop to watch 𝐉𝐚𝐦𝐞𝐬 𝐇𝐚𝐫𝐝𝐞𝐧 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟔.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 (-130 FanDuel) - CLE -8.5 at CHA, total 214.5, Hornets down 3 guards - Under in 7 of last 10, 5/3/6/6/7/4 lately Like if you're in 🫡 #NBAPicks #PlayerProps #PrizePicks

📊 Model play 𝐂𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟒𝟏.𝟓 𝐏𝐭𝐬 + 𝐑𝐞𝐛 + 𝐀𝐬𝐭 (-112 BetRivers) - DET -10.5 on a back-to-back, Cade played 38 min last night - Under in 6 of last 10, 41.5 at BetRivers is the best number Tail or fade? Let us know 👇

Denver's whole starting five is questionable at Houston. Do you wait for the lineups or jump on Jokic props early?

Highlighted model picks went 4-1 last night (+2.47u), but overall the model went 70/113 with a 16.5% ROI. This is what advanced, backtesting modeling PLUS line shopping and top-down EV can result in. 10,000 sims per prop, back tested at 5.7% ROI. Free: Theproppredictor.com

✅ In the bank 𝐆𝐢𝐚𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐬 𝐀𝐧𝐭𝐞𝐭𝐨𝐤𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐦𝐩𝐨 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟒𝟖.𝟓 𝐏𝐭𝐬 + 𝐑𝐞𝐛 + 𝐀𝐬𝐭 Finished with 46. Next one's on the way.

✅ Another one (+110) 𝐉𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐚𝐡 𝐅𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟑.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 Finished with 5. Tonight's card drops this morning.

✅ Cash it 𝐂𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟗.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 Finished with 8. On to tonight.

✅ That's a winner 𝐓𝐫𝐞𝐲 𝐌𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐡𝐲 𝐈𝐈𝐈 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟐.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 Finished with 3. Back at it tonight.

🏀 NBA Cheat Sheet Every prop on here hit in at least 8 of the last 10, and the model has it again tonight. 🔖 Bookmark for tonight #NBAPicks #PlayerProps #PrizePicks

🎯 Prop to watch 𝐑𝐮𝐝𝐲 𝐆𝐨𝐛𝐞𝐫𝐭 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟏𝟏.𝟓 𝐑𝐞𝐛𝐨𝐮𝐧𝐝𝐬 (-111 DraftKings) - Minnesota -11.5 over Utah, minutes could get trimmed - 11, 11, 10 and 13 recently, we have 10.6 Tail or fade? Let us know 👇 #NBAProps #GamblingX #NBABets

ThePropPredictor.com now carries odds for BetRivers and Hard Rock! All books include: DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM, Pinnacle, Fanatics, BetRivers, Hard Rock, and PrizePicks What book do you want added?

📊 Model play 𝐂𝐚𝐝𝐞 𝐂𝐮𝐧𝐧𝐢𝐧𝐠𝐡𝐚𝐦 𝐔𝐧𝐝𝐞𝐫 𝟗.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 (-145 DraftKings) - 7.4 dimes a game over his last 10, under 9.5 in 9 of them - Duren is out, DK -145, BetMGM 8.5 at +110 Who's riding with us tonight? 👇 #PlayerProps #NBAPicks #Underdog

🏀 Tonight's play 𝐉𝐞𝐫𝐞𝐦𝐢𝐚𝐡 𝐅𝐞𝐚𝐫𝐬 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟑.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 (+110 FanDuel) - Starting PG, 30+ minutes, 7 and 13 in two of his last five - +110 at FanDuel, +105 elsewhere On it or off it? 👇 #NBA #NBABets #PrizePicks

💡 Prop of interest 𝐓𝐫𝐞𝐲 𝐌𝐮𝐫𝐩𝐡𝐲 𝐈𝐈𝐈 𝐎𝐯𝐞𝐫 𝟐.𝟓 𝐀𝐬𝐬𝐢𝐬𝐭𝐬 (-132 DraftKings) - Over 2.5 in 7 of 8, and 5, 5, 5 in his last 4 starts - DK -132, BetMGM is -160 🟢 if you're tailing, 🔴 if you're fading #NBAProps #PlayerProps #GamblingX