David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830) header
David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830) profile picture

Product Designer Investing in ideas, studying markets. US Stocks | Trading | Design | AI

Joined May 2025
Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)Photo by David Qin | Design × Markets (@QDavid80830)
芯片 CDS 篮子第一次比超算云厂商 CDS 更宽。市场给造芯的违约溢价,已经高过给买芯烧电的。怀疑的是供应链,不是需求。 $NVDA $AMD $MSFT $GOOGL
A basket of Chip CDS now trades wider than a basket of Hyperscaler CDS for the first time
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摩擦不在硬件。店员 KPI 曾是 40% services attach,扫个二维码就能看到你可用的试用订阅。上周撤了指标,官方理由是假日季不相关。自己去 Settings → Subscriptions 查一遍更靠谱。 $AAPL
Apple Store Subscription Sign-Up Controversy Exposed macrumors.com/2026/11/08/app…
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不是现货抄底。Aave 借 2200 万 $USDT ,花 2155 万买了 1 万枚 $ETH @ $2155。杠杆买跌,下一步看清算线,不看叙事。
Whales are buying the $ETH dip as the market crashes! Wallet 0xFD10 borrowed 22M $USDT from Aave, then spent 21.55M $USDT to buy 10,000 $ETH at $2,155. Wallet 0x4AB7 withdrew another 3,500 $ETH ($7.53M) from #Binance 10 minutes ago, bringing its total withdrawals over the past week to 16,577 $ETH ($37.5M). arkm.com/explorer/address/0x… arkm.com/explorer/address/0x…
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The punchline isn't the +90%. Data centers at $96.5B annualized vs office at $46B, a record $50.5B gap. Capex decks sell chips. The concrete is pouring into one asset class and starving another. $MSFT $AMZN $GOOGL $NVDA
BREAKING: US data center construction spending jumped +90% YoY in September, to a record annualized rate of $96.5 billion. This also marks the largest YoY increase in 10 years. This figure is now risen more than +60% YoY for 4 consecutive months. Since the start of 2024, data center construction spending has nearly quadrupled. Meanwhile, general office construction spending fell -8% YoY in September, to $46.0 billion, near its lowest level since January 2016. This brought the gap between data center and general office construction spending to a record $50.5 billion. Overall, US construction spending fell -1.9% MoM in September, its biggest monthly decline since April 2020. The AI infrastructure buildout is transforming the US economy.
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大科技从轻资产切到重资产:CapEx/营收 Meta 约 43%、微软约 39%、谷歌约 34%、亚马逊约 27%,全在历史高位。估值倍数被重新定价,不是故事少了,是资产负债表变重了。 $META $MSFT $GOOGL $AMZN $NVDA
Big tech is undergoing a fundamental transformation, shifting from asset-light to asset-heavy business models. CapEx as a % of revenue are all at record highs: -Meta: 43% -Microsoft: 39% -Google: 34% -Amazon: 27% Result: we've seen a re-rating with all 4 trading at a lower valuation multiple than a year ago. Video: youtube.com/watch?v=YoPyie7y…
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价值股今年约 +24%,成长股约 −6%,价差超 30 个百分点;若守住会是有记录以来最宽,比 2000 年还狠。钱在换赛道,不是只在砍仓。 $QQQ $SPY $IWM
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Ternus 关起门来催 Federighi:软件和 AI 路线图要加速,不能只修 Siri。硬件 CEO 在压软件节奏,说明差距已经内部化了。 $AAPL
NEW in Power On: Apple CEO John Ternus held a closed-door meeting with Craig Federighi in the last few weeks, pushing his software chief to accelerate Apple’s AI road map and move beyond Siri improvements amid concerns about falling behind rivals. bloomberg.com/news/newslette…
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TeraFab 跟供应商说:2032 年目标每月 100 万片晶圆,其中 70 万片内存、30 万片逻辑。Tesla–SpaceX 合办的晶圆厂,在按内存产能排设备。 $TSLA $NVDA
ELON MUSK'S TERAFAB REPORTEDLY WANTS TO MAKE 1 MILLION CHIP WAFERS A MONTH BY 2032 The chip venture between Tesla $TSLA and SpaceX $SPCX told its equipment suppliers it's targeting: - 700,000 wafers a month for memory chips - 300,000 wafers a month for logic chips That's per Nikkei. For scale, Samsung's entire DRAM capacity is roughly 650,000 to 700,000 wafers a month. The first phase is a $16.8B chip complex in Grimes County, Texas.
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Anthropic 花约 $34 亿,拿下 1.7 GW 卡特彼勒燃气发电机订单(接手德州 OnePWR)。电网排队太慢,实验室直接买发电能力。IPO 前先把电锁住。 $NVDA
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台积电应英伟达要求,在评估先进 3D 内存。代工厂一旦走进存储,三星、海力士和美光面对的就不再是同一张分工表。 $NVDA $TSM $MU
TSMC is exploring plans to make advanced 3D memory chips at Nvidia’s request, according to people familiar with the matter. The move could put the chipmaking giant in direct competition with Samsung, SK Hynix and Micron. Read more: thein.fo/4j1lknw
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7 个月的多头在 Hyperliquid 上翻成空头,而且是 2025 年 10 月以来最空的一次。上一次这个位置,后面的价格不好看。 $BTC $HYPE
Hyperliquid whales are adding to their bitcoin:native shorts. Their net positioning turned short 2 weeks ago after 7 months of being long. Short exposure is now the largest since October 2025. The last time they were this short, price moved down considerably.
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八月下旬到现在发了 25 款以上,句号定在 11 月 13 日:HomeView 家居中枢 + 第四代 Apple TV 4K。手机和平板发完了,最后收的是家里的入口。 $AAPL
Apple Releasing Yet Another Two New Products Next Week macrumors.com/2026/11/06/two…
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A $1B+ name cut in half in a month isn't a dip. It's the market shortening the timeline it's willing to fund. $QQQ $SMH $NVDA
Here's a look at stocks with $1+ billion market caps down 50%+ over the last month:
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内蒙古这座风电 AI 园区:规划 800MW,一年内建成 120MW,还有 5MW 的 800V 直流试点,冷却不用中央冷水机组。美国还在给数据中心贷款标价,这边已经在并网。 $NVDA
We Visited China’s Stargate in Inner Mongolia A wind-powered 800MW campus, 120MW built within a year, a 5MW SST-native 800V DC pilot and a cooling design without central chillers newsletter.semianalysis.com/…
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荷兰 ING 在拍卖约 $5 亿数据中心贷款,一共 12 笔,其中约 $2500 万挂钩新墨西哥 Stargate(OpenAI / Oracle / SoftBank)。股价天天有报价,私募基建债很少公开标价。银行开始给 AI 账单估值了。 $NVDA $ORCL
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TechRadar 上手:iPhone Duo 加一支 Apple Pencil,画画已经能打 iPad mini。折叠屏在抢平板的输入层。 $AAPL
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价差很硬:Duo 起售约 $1999,新款 OLED iPad mini 约 $699。多付的不是一块更好的画板,是口袋里随时能展开的第二块屏。
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7.6 寸能进裤袋,8.5 寸平板要另占一只包。输入层一旦够用,尺寸差就没那么致命。
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从今年高点算,AI 六巨头蒸发约 $13.2T。Alphabet 约 −$1.62T(−32%),$NVDA 约 −$1.49T(−25%),存储板块平均约 −60%。只有中美年 GDP 比这还大。 $GOOGL $AVGO $TSM $MU $META $QQQ
This selloff has been DEVASTATING. The AI stocks have erased $13.2 TRILLION in market value from stocks’ 2026 highs. Only U.S and China have an annual GDP larger than that loss. Market value erased at six AI giants: - Alphabet: $1.62 trillion lost (−32%) - Nvidia: $1.49 trillion lost (−25%) - Broadcom: $965 billion lost (−41%) - TSMC: $700 billion lost (−28%) - Micron: $678 billion lost (−48%) - Meta: $501 billion lost (−25%) Average declines from 2026 highs, by sector: - AI software stocks −36% - AI chip stocks −43% - Data center stocks −50% - AI power stocks −53% - Memory stocks −60%
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