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Sharing personal research & thoughts || 🇳🇴 || Trying to live like Fat Tony || Never Financial Advice

Joined January 2022
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Wolf of Wall REIT retweeted
Replying to @ptuomov
Yup. CRE guy here. I wouldn't buy REITs with an enemy's money right now. Completely nonsensical pricing given rates. Most need to trade about 15-20% lower than where they are now IMO.
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Wolf of Wall REIT retweeted
You can’t “seize the means of production” when the means of production are human ingenuity and hard work. All you can do is stamp them out.
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Wolf of Wall REIT retweeted
On average cap rates historically compressed -150 bps during prior Fed cut cycles. It's time to invest in high quality REITs like $O, $PSA, $FRT, $EQIX, & $ADC.
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A small dividend increase just announced by $O. I'll take it. Several of these small increases every year, plus a big one every year or two - the compounding adds up.
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Invitation Homes $INVH, the largest single-family residential REIT performed well in Q2. They have an impressive 5Y Div CAGR of 15.48%, beating most other REITs. On my radar.
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Essex Property Trust $ESS Q2 looking stable and solid. Their focus on high-demand West Coast multifamily housing markets makes them appeal as a safe bet in the beaten down apartment sector.
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Not alot of difference in 5Y total return in the multifamily REIT segment, with $AVB. Macro environment has compressed valuations in a 10Y perspective. I expect a significant increase if/when rates drop.
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Stable projected FFO/sh growth from AvalonBay $AVB. Multifamily REITs valuations are very low looking back 10Y. Could be a great opportunity - or just the "new normal".
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Alexandria $ARE overall portfolio occupancy has declined to 90.8%, a drop from 94.6% a year ago, while tenants are delaying leasing decisions. FFO/sh has also declined. Share price decline last year reflects this (-34.6%). Div payout ratio is still safe, though (57%).
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American Homes 4 Rent $AMH, the single-family housing REIT, is showing impressive growth in Q2/25 - they also grew Core FFO per share 6.6% in 2024. Stock hasn't really moved since mid-2022. On my radar.
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International expansion in Europe is seen as a catalyst for future resilience for Realty Income $O. Access to new markets give diversification benefits. If executed well, this strategy could reduce their dependence on U.S. economic cycles.
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Federal Realty $FRT has the longest record of increasing dividends in the REIT industry. 7% CAGR since 1967, a dividend king. They've weathered many different economic environments. Not the fastest grower, but no doubt a safe spot to park cash.
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Don't get distracted
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Prologis $PLD Core FFO growth for Q2 2025 at 9% YoY, very impressive. Valuation at 18.22 P/FFO (TTM) isn't too bad either. Tenants seem cautious due to potential tariff effects. Might be a good buying opportunity - it's definitely on my radar.
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The Lamar Advertising REIT $LAMR, recently picked up by Warren Buffett/Berkshire Hathaway, has an impressive track record. 8.5% div CAGR is solid, and following the S&P500 for 10Y is no small feat either.
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When adjusting for the India divestment last year, American Tower $AMT AFFO/sh YoY grew 2.4% as of Q2 2025. Growth has slowed significantly, and I am staying away.
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VICI Properties $VICI showing that Vegas is by no means dead. Money talks.
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W.P. Carey $WPC reported strong Q2 2025 results, raising full-year AFFO guidance to $4.87–$4.95 per share, implying 4.5% year-over-year growth at the midpoint. Their shift to more industrial might pay off even more ahead, if valuations close in on peers.
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Realty Income $O Q2/25 staying the course. No surprises up or down - the AFFO/sh guidance up was no big surprise. Their original guidance was very defensive. Looking good for rate cuts ahead!
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Realty Income $O Q2 earnings tomorrow. I expect European expansion to continue. Interesting to see if they can revise 2025 AFFO/sh guidance up a notch.
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