Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17) header
Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17) profile picture

Social researcher. Head up public attitudes and polling at @BMGResearch. Expect lies, damned lies, and statistics.

Birmingham, England
Joined May 2012
Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)Photo by Robert Struthers (@RStruthers17)
🚨 NEW POLL: Labour extend lead in post-Budget poll for @theipaper from @BMGResearch 🌹 LAB 31% (+3) ➡️ REF 22% (-1) 🌳 CON 21% (+2) 🔶 LDEM 8% (=) 🟢GRN 8% (=) ⚫RB 5% (-2) 🎗️ SNP 2% (-1) 1,529 GB adults. 28-29 Oct. Changes vs 23–24 Sept. What's going on? 🧵👇
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Where does that leave us? Labour is up eight points since Burnham took over. With the right evenly divided, expect louder calls in the party for an election sooner rather than later. 🗳️
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NEW: @BMGResearch poll for @theipaper. Labour lead at 5 points as Green and Lib Dems slip back. Restore at 7%. 🌹 LAB: 28% (+1)
⏩ RFM: 23% (=)
🌳 CON: 20% (+2)
🟢 GRN: 9% (-2)
🔶 LDM: 8% (-2)
🔵 RST: 7% (+2)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=) 23-24 Sep 2026. Changes vs 25-26 Aug. 🧵👇
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Meanwhile Conservatives back up to 20% and Badenoch moving into positive territory in leadership ratings for first time in well over a year (and now with many more with a view of her). The battle as the main right-wing challenger to Labour continues.
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NEW: @BMGResearch polling for @theipaper finds little appetite for handing Harry and Meghan’s security bill to taxpayers. - 63% paid for privately - 18% split the cost between the taxpayer and the couple - 6% back full funding by the UK taxpayer - 13% don’t know
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NEW: @BMGResearch poll for @theipaper. Labour hold a 4-point lead. 🌹 LAB: 27% (-1)
⏩ RFM: 23% (=)
🌳 CON: 18% (-2)
🟢 GRN: 12% (+2)
🔶 LDM: 10% (=)
🔵RST: 5% (NEW)
🟡 SNP: 3% (=) 25-26 Aug. Now prompted, Restore on 5%. Equivelant to c. 1.5 million voters. 🧵👇
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They could pose bigger threat. A striking 51% of current Reform backers would consider voting Restore. Doesn’t mean they will. And lots of Restore voters equally say they may consider voting Reform. But highlights the battle to be won for control of the “right bloc”.
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Who's trusted most to handle immigration is a good illustration of challenges facing Reform. Much written about the Burnham bounce on issues like cost of living. But both Labour and Restore are eating into their lead.
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