Oil, Energy and Macro. Investing and Trading. I stay out of politics but not science/math. AI, Biotech, Fusion & Quantum Reweet/follow ≠ agreement. Lucky≠Good.

Switzerland
Joined December 2009
US authorities may allow the sale of "dyed" diesel fuel at regular gas stations to lower prices. Why not p1ss of the #farmer even more. #oott #ooat
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Floods across the shale patch ?
We are about to see one of the largest rain events that’s ever been triggered in the continental United States by a Pacific Hurricane. After making landfall in Baja California, the saturated remnants of former-Category 5 Hurricane Polo are going to inject a massive conveyor belt of deep, tropical moisture up through NW Mexico and into the U.S. South-Central Texas could be at the epicenter of the event, with isolated rain totals potentially reaching up to a FOOT this week.
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THE “WORST OF THE WORST”: A NUN WITH A WORK PERMIT. Sleep peacefully, America. ICE caught Sister Leticia Ugboaja walking to Sunday Mass. She had a valid work permit, attended EVERY required immigration appointment and complied with EVERY condition of her court-ordered protection. A nun. A nurse. Following the rules. Walking to church. Thank God they got to her before she could receive Communion. It took intervention from members of Congress to help secure her release. Apparently, a work permit and doing everything immigration officials require aren’t quite as effective as knowing someone in Congress. So much for “do it the right way" hey MAGA???? ICE: protecting America from the terrifying threat of a nurse with a rosary. Know your rights. Demand accountability: [PAXIS.app](PAXIS.app) Help keep PAXIS free: [GoFundMe.com/PAXIS](GoFundMe.com/PAXIS)
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The left-green City of Zurich is starting to pay the high price of collectivism and treating a financial hub like a cash machine. Another bank is leaving. Then another. Jobs go first. Tax base second. Prestige last. Cembra will move its HQ from Zurich-Altstetten to Baden, Aargau, in autumn 2027. Of 800 Swiss staff, 660 go with it. Official line: modern offices, current building tech, energy efficiency, public transport, hybrid work. Fine. Also true: Cembra looked in Zurich and still left. The space that fit the bank was 20 km away, across the cantonal border. Weeks earlier, Vontobel said it will move its headquarters to tax-friendly Baar, Zug, by 2030. A new campus. About 1,500 employees consolidated from seven Zurich buildings. Roughly 300 stay on the Limmat for clients. A Zurich house since 1924 becomes a Zug bank. Together that is more than 2,000 HQ jobs leaving the city, plus the tax revenue that follows the legal seat. Cembra paid about CHF 44–45 million in company tax last year at Zurich’s rate. NZZ estimates the Baden move alone can cut that bill by around CHF 10 million a year. Vontobel has been paying more than CHF 80 million; insiders put the Zug saving in the same ballpark. Two banks. Two-digit millions. Recurring. The banks will not say “we are fleeing the Stadtrat.” They never do. They talk campuses and culture. Capital is more honest than press releases. Effective profit tax: City of Zurich ~19.6%. Aargau ~15%. Zug under 12%. Zurich sits near the bottom of the Swiss ranking. Only Bern is worse. Firms have been voting with their feet for years: more companies leave Canton Zurich than arrive. The chamber of commerce has been warning. The Zürcher Bankenverband now calls the two bank exits a “wake-up call” and wants a self-critical look at Standortpolitik. FDP liberals already asked the government what this does to Zurich as a financial centre. Look at who runs the city. After the March 2026 elections the executive is as left as it has ever been: 7 of 9 Stadtrat seats for SP and Greens, SP mayor. In the Gemeinderat, SP + Greens + AL hold a majority. The municipal tax multiplier has sat at 119% since 2008. Centre-right attempts to cut it keep dying in the left parliament. The same city government fought a cantonal profit-tax cut because it would “cost” Zurich revenue — as if the tax base were a captive herd. Banks and insurers already fund about half of the city’s corporate-tax take. That is the herd they are thinning. This is not a mystery. High taxes, tight planning, scarce adaptable office space, and a political class that treats private balance sheets as a moral commons. Collectivism always starts as “fairness” and ends as a location problem. Baden and Baar are not ideological utopias. They are places that still act as if firms can leave. Socialism has never worked as a growth model. It consumes the surplus created by people who can relocate, then acts surprised when they do. Zurich can keep the cute slogans. Zug and Aargau will keep the headquarters. Free markets FTW.
🤖 Made with AI
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Lula Bans Online Gambling as Debt Crushes #Brazil. The ban last for 120 days. 82% of Brz households are in debt and the national debt is also a growing problem… cool beaches though.
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You fell for it again, didn’t you?
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Pure violence on the HO/GO tape.
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In a NYT interview, Wright said nobody is discussing a flat ban of diesel exports: "What's being discussed is what's the most efficient way to get more diesel into the United States of America, and continue maximum flows of gasoline and jet fuel."
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Barack Obama at his last press briefing with reporters, 2017: "I have enjoyed working with all of you. That does not, of course, mean that I've enjoyed every story that you have filed, but that's the point of this relationship. You're not supposed to be sycophants. You're supposed to be skeptics. You're supposed to ask me tough questions. You're not supposed to be complimentary, but you're supposed to cast a critical eye on folks who hold enormous power."
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‘Stop the bleeding’: top Republicans tell Donald Trump to ban US diesel exports ahead of midterms - ft.com/content/319c7b67-b585… via @FT White House official said: “The administration is not considering an export ban or export restrictions at this time.”
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Ok, so, a short recap of what’s happened: Farmers need potash as fertilizer. Potash is necessary to grow food and feed the world. Yet Trump started a completely pointless war in Iran which choked off the Strait of Hormuz. This limits the world supply of potash, as million of tons of it come from Jordan and must travel through the Strait. Ok, no problem. Our friendly neighbors to the north of us just happen to be the world’s #1 exporter of potash. We’ll just buy from them! Oh wait, Trump completely wrecked our friendship with Canada for literally no reason by slapping them with egregious tariffs and insulting them by calling them the 51st state. Well, darn. Ok, then we’ll make a deal with the #4 exporter of potash, Belarus. Belarus is a dictatorship and one of Putin’s satellite states. So, by buying from Belarus, we are indirectly helping Putin fund his war in Ukraine. Not good, but we need to eat. Oh wait, all of Belarus’ potash has already been spoken for. There’s none for us to buy. The USA is going to be in deep crap next growing season, and it’s not the kind of crap that can fertilize a field. There WILL be food shortages. Americans WILL go hungry. That’s the art of the deal, baby!
Minor flaw in the master deal: Belarus says it doesn’t have the potash.
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