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I’m here for future reference & I post/reply for fun/educational purposes *not tax/financial/legal advice.* Dyor ⚖️.
Joined May 2024
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Back in ‘09, Dr. @judyshel reminded us that we should never say “we can’t” when it comes to resolving a situation we are faced with.
After 55 years of this Fiat monetary system, many people seem to believe that we can’t escape it. However, I believe that we can.
Stay tuned.
Thank you for finding this @Redeyeforecast and I must say that I hold those expressed opinions more strongly than ever and find myself thinking of @elonmusk as an example of what happens when the creators of wealth feel unappreciated by government—where bureaucrats stifle creativity and politicians pile on debt.
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
New Delphi Podcast with Michael Arrington (@arrington), founder of TechCrunch and Arrington Capital
Michael broke the news of Google buying YouTube, worked with Steve Jobs, and backed Uber and Airbnb early
We get into the Fourth Turning, why the AI race won't slow down, what separates great founders from everyone else, and why he still believes Bitcoin is the hard money the world needs
He also opens up about selling TechCrunch, burnout, reinventing himself through crypto, and learning to play to his strengths
00:00 Intro & the Fourth Turning
07:00 AI, China & the Race to AGI
17:00 Founder Psychology & Investment Red Flags
29:00 Building TechCrunch & Lessons from Steve Jobs
44:00 Selling TechCrunch & Backing Uber and Airbnb
53:00 Moving Into Crypto & Navigating Market Cycles
1:00:00 Bitcoin, AI & an Uncertain Future
1:09:00 Advice for Founders: Play to Your Strengths
Full episode
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
It's ASTONISHING that no one seems to be paying this any mind. The Russell 2000 says it all.
Without AI, the markets would be into correction, if not a bear market.
It is GOING TO HAPPEN
Then the dominoes start falling. We're over over over overdue
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
This is a bubble. No debate.
The question is how long will the bubble go before it burst?
Compared to 2000, similar valuation but there aren’t remotely the # of risks there are now.
Soon enough a % of the 500T in theory will move out the door.
Creating a domino effect.
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
Being prepared is half the battle; what’s to come is inevitable & it’s coming sooner than you think. 🖨️💵
@jam_croissant suggests that we all watch this Henry “Hank” Paulson Jr. (Former United States Secretary of the Treasury) interview that surprisingly got swept under the rug.
Wall Street Week | Paulson on Iran War, Energy Market Disruptions, Coppe... youtu.be/K9UoYXhZKxA?is=pypX… via @YouTube
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
FYI on the topics of throughput and interoperability 👇🏼
In time, @Interledger will quietly swallow everything.
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
He tweets more #bitcoin than gold. And his commenters/followers are all bitcoin people. He is the sheep in wolf's skin. lol
I admit I like to rile you guys up. Once #Bitcoin collapse I won't be able to do it as much. So I need to make hay while the sun shines, as it won't shine for long.
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
For long term holding, when is the best entry point? during the bull or bear market?
Redeye 🀄️ retweeted
BREAKING: US and China combined M2 money supply surged +$7.9 trillion YoY in August, to a record $76.4 trillion.
This figure has more than doubled over the last 10 years.
This comes as China’s M2 soared to $53.1 trillion, while US M2 jumped to $23.3 trillion, both at all-time highs.
Their combined M2 is now on track for a 4th consecutive full-year increase.
M2 has increased more than +$7.0 trillion YoY for 8 consecutive months, its longest streak since 2021.
By comparison, before the 2020 pandemic, US and China combined M2 increased +$3.0 trillion per year on average, less than half the current rate.
Global liquidity is expanding at a historic pace.
Facts:
FACTS:
The Economy is weaker than at the onset of the worst Recessions in the last 120 years.
The Stock Market Bubble is bigger - than at any of these onsets.
And the Debt levels are higher than at any of the onsets.
1929–33 - Great Depression
2007–09 - Global Financial Crisis
1920–21 - Depression of 1920–21
1937–38 - Recession of 1937–38
1907–08 - Panic of 1907
All of them!
Now - tell me how we will not have a severe Recession and that AI will change the Economy.
In 1929, the stock market was overvalued, but there wasn’t a real estate bubble.
In 1966, the stock market experienced an overvaluation, leading to the “invisible crash.”
In the year 2000, we witnessed the infamous dot-com bubble, a stock market bubble that was distinct from a real estate bubble.
In 2008, the Global Financial Crisis was primarily caused by a real estate bubble, not a stock market bubble. This crisis was also exacerbated by the Federal Reserve’s actions, which initially masked the tech bubble of 2000 and subsequently replaced it with a housing bubble. This housing bubble provided a false sense of prosperity for a few years until the crash in 2008.
Today, we find ourselves in a stock market bubble and a real estate bubble of unprecedented magnitude, poised on the brink of a significant financial crisis and an international monetary reset.
This is simply just data analysis.
H/t
@mike_maloney