This guy used Grok Bot to build a Two-Sided Volatility Harvesting bot on Polymarket
Result: +$322,705
It makes 324 trades per hour in 15 minute BTC and ETH Up/Down markets, averaging $10.51 per trade
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm, making $1,589 per day:
1. Buys both sides through a grid of limit orders
It places BUY limit orders on Up and Down at the same time and gets partial fills as the underlying asset moves
2. Uses volatility to build complete sets <$1
When BTC falls, Up becomes cheaper, and it buys that side
When BTC rebounds, Down becomes cheaper, and it buys the opposite outcome
For example:
> Up = 42¢
> Down = 53¢
> Complete set = 95¢ → edge = 5¢
3. Balances inventory while keeping a directional residual
It continually matches the Up and Down shares it has accumulated
For example:
100 Up + 150 Down = 100 complete sets + 50 unpaired Down shares
About 86% of the shares it buys are matched into pairs. The remaining 14% stay directional
Its Polymarket account: aswfadq1555
The algorithm’s main edge comes from volatility harvesting:
> It uses price fluctuations within each market to accumulate Up and Down at different times
> It builds complete sets with a positive edge
> It manages the remaining directional inventory
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Two-Sided Market Making system on Polymarket
Result: +$204,743
It makes 112.5 trades per hour in BTC and ETH Up/Down markets, combining asynchronous arbitrage with inventory rebalancing
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm, making $1,188 per day:
1. Continually buys both sides with limit orders
It places BUY orders on Up and Down, building positions as the underlying asset moves
This lets it build two-sided inventory without buying both outcomes at the same time
2. Uses repricing to build low-cost complete sets
It pairs Up and Down shares bought at different times
For example:
> Up = 37¢
> Down = 61¢
> Combined cost = 98¢ → edge = 2¢
3. Continuously rebalances inventory and reduces directional exposure
When one side accumulates faster, it adjusts its orders to buy more shares of the opposite outcome
It tries to match nearly all of its Up and Down shares while keeping a small directional residual
Its Polymarket account: Polkadot-Frog
The system’s main edge comes from combining passive execution with inventory rebalancing:
> It uses price fluctuations to build low-cost complete sets
> It continually balances its positions and repeats the cycle
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Two-Sided Market Making system on Polymarket
Result: +$204,743
It makes 112.5 trades per hour in BTC and ETH Up/Down markets, combining asynchronous arbitrage with inventory rebalancing
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm, making $1,188 per day:
1. Continually buys both sides with limit orders
It places BUY orders on Up and Down, building positions as the underlying asset moves
This lets it build two-sided inventory without buying both outcomes at the same time
2. Uses repricing to build low-cost complete sets
It pairs Up and Down shares bought at different times
For example:
> Up = 37¢
> Down = 61¢
> Combined cost = 98¢ → edge = 2¢
3. Continuously rebalances inventory and reduces directional exposure
When one side accumulates faster, it adjusts its orders to buy more shares of the opposite outcome
It tries to match nearly all of its Up and Down shares while keeping a small directional residual
Its Polymarket account: Polkadot-Frog
The system’s main edge comes from combining passive execution with inventory rebalancing:
> It uses price fluctuations to build low-cost complete sets
> It continually balances its positions and repeats the cycle
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a two-sided trading bot on Polymarket
Result: +$701,615
It makes 249 trades per hour in crypto Up/Down markets, combining asynchronous arbitrage, inventory rebalancing, and directional trading
Several Grok Bot AI agents work as one system, making $3,874 per day:
1. Buys both sides through a grid of limit orders
It places BUY limit orders at different price levels for Up and Down
As the underlying asset moves, the orders fill, forming complete sets with a structural edge
For example:
Up = 43¢
Down = 54¢
Combined cost = 97¢ → edge = 3¢
2. Keeps a directional residual alongside the paired position
If one side looks undervalued relative to its fair value estimate, it keeps extra inventory on that side
Matched inventory reduces net exposure, while the directional residual provides an additional edge
This trader’s Polymarket account:
polymarket.com/@0xce25e214d5…
The algorithm’s main edge comes from accumulating Up and Down at different times:
> It uses repricing within each market to build complete sets for less than $1
> It also keeps a directional residual on the undervalued side
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build an asynchronous arbitrage system on Polymarket
Result: +$1,340,486
It makes 340 trades per active hour in crypto Up/Down markets, combining market making, pairing, and a directional residual
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm, making $7,406 per day:
1. Buys Up and Down at different times
It places BUY limit orders on both sides of the market in advance and waits for temporary price dislocations
The goal is:
Avg Up price + Avg Down price < $1
2. Keeps a directional residual alongside the matched position when it sees an edge
Its valuation model uses external spot/perp data, the distance from the opening price, time remaining, and CLOB liquidity
It builds a directional residual when:
p_model(Up) > Up price + fees → BUY Up
This trader’s Polymarket account:
polymarket.com/@0xb55fa1296e…
The system’s main edge comes from combining asynchronous pairing with short-term repricing:
> It buys each side at different points as the market moves
> Locks in an edge on low-cost Up + Down pairs
> Keeps additional directional exposure where its model identifies mispricing
This guy used Grok Bot to build a two-sided trading bot on Polymarket
Result: +$701,615
It makes 249 trades per hour in crypto Up/Down markets, combining asynchronous arbitrage, inventory rebalancing, and directional trading
Several Grok Bot AI agents work as one system, making $3,874 per day:
1. Buys both sides through a grid of limit orders
It places BUY limit orders at different price levels for Up and Down
As the underlying asset moves, the orders fill, forming complete sets with a structural edge
For example:
Up = 43¢
Down = 54¢
Combined cost = 97¢ → edge = 3¢
2. Keeps a directional residual alongside the paired position
If one side looks undervalued relative to its fair value estimate, it keeps extra inventory on that side
Matched inventory reduces net exposure, while the directional residual provides an additional edge
This trader’s Polymarket account:
polymarket.com/@0xce25e214d5…
The algorithm’s main edge comes from accumulating Up and Down at different times:
> It uses repricing within each market to build complete sets for less than $1
> It also keeps a directional residual on the undervalued side
This guy used Grok Bot to build an asynchronous arbitrage system on Polymarket
Result: +$1,340,486
It makes 340 trades per active hour in crypto Up/Down markets, combining market making, pairing, and a directional residual
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm, making $7,406 per day:
1. Buys Up and Down at different times
It places BUY limit orders on both sides of the market in advance and waits for temporary price dislocations
The goal is:
Avg Up price + Avg Down price < $1
2. Keeps a directional residual alongside the matched position when it sees an edge
Its valuation model uses external spot/perp data, the distance from the opening price, time remaining, and CLOB liquidity
It builds a directional residual when:
p_model(Up) > Up price + fees → BUY Up
This trader’s Polymarket account:
polymarket.com/@0xb55fa1296e…
The system’s main edge comes from combining asynchronous pairing with short-term repricing:
> It buys each side at different points as the market moves
> Locks in an edge on low-cost Up + Down pairs
> Keeps additional directional exposure where its model identifies mispricing
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a repricing system on Polymarket
Result: +$207,170
It trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets, combining a fair value model with dynamic hedging
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Finds undervalued outcomes
At the start of each market, it records the reference price S₀ and monitors spot/perp feeds for the underlying asset
The model then updates fair value based on how far the price is from S₀, time to resolution, momentum, acceleration, volatility, and order flow
Model Edge = p_model(outcome) - market price
If the edge is large enough to cover the spread and fees, it starts buying that outcome
2. Adds the opposite outcome to its existing position when the signal reverses
As its fair value estimates shift toward the other side, the trading sequence can look like this:
Up → Down → Up → Down
Buying the opposite outcome reduces net exposure and acts as a dynamic hedge
Its Polymarket account: std0
The system’s main edge comes from how fast it updates fair value:
> Tries to detect changes in fair value before market prices adjust
> Increases exposure as the signal strengthens
> Uses the opposite outcome to adjust its position
This guy used Grok Bot to build a repricing system on Polymarket
Result: +$207,170
It trades 5 and 15 minute crypto Up/Down markets, combining a fair value model with dynamic hedging
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Finds undervalued outcomes
At the start of each market, it records the reference price S₀ and monitors spot/perp feeds for the underlying asset
The model then updates fair value based on how far the price is from S₀, time to resolution, momentum, acceleration, volatility, and order flow
Model Edge = p_model(outcome) - market price
If the edge is large enough to cover the spread and fees, it starts buying that outcome
2. Adds the opposite outcome to its existing position when the signal reverses
As its fair value estimates shift toward the other side, the trading sequence can look like this:
Up → Down → Up → Down
Buying the opposite outcome reduces net exposure and acts as a dynamic hedge
Its Polymarket account: std0
The system’s main edge comes from how fast it updates fair value:
> Tries to detect changes in fair value before market prices adjust
> Increases exposure as the signal strengthens
> Uses the opposite outcome to adjust its position
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Two-Sided Accumulation bot on Polymarket
Result: +$130,904
It trades 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets, combining complete-set accumulation with a directional residual
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Builds positions in Up and Down at different times
It first accumulates one outcome, then starts buying the opposite side after the market moves
Once it has matching shares on both sides, it merges them
For example:
80 Up + 80 Down -> MERGE -> $80
If a pair’s total cost, including fees, is below $1, the difference becomes a structural edge
2. Keeps unpaired inventory directional
If it buys:
> 100 Up
> 80 Down
It can form 80 complete sets, while the remaining 20 Up shares stay directional
Its Polymarket account: flippingsharks
The system’s main edge comes from its inventory cycle:
> Accumulates both sides
> Builds complete sets for less than $1
> Keeps the unpaired remainder directional until resolution
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build an asynchronous complete-set trading system on Polymarket
Result: +$319,430
The system makes 131 trades an hour in short-term crypto Up/Down markets, with an average trade size of $30.58
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Builds positions on both sides
It bought both Up and Down in 88.76% of markets
The median gap between its first trades on each side is 35 seconds
It then keeps switching between them as the market reprices, turning directional inventory into matched Up/Down pairs
Average cost per pair:
> Up + Down before fees = 96.35¢
> Up + Down after taker fees = 98.69¢
> Structural edge = 1.31¢
2. Builds directional positions
Only 58.66% of two-sided markets ended up with an average cost per pair below $1 after fees
Some shares remain directional and provide an additional edge
Its Polymarket account: norm1e69
The system’s main edge comes from asynchronous pairing:
> It uses repricing to turn part of its Up and Down inventory into complete sets < $1
> It holds the unpaired remainder as a directional position until resolution
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Two-Sided Accumulation bot on Polymarket
Result: +$130,904
It trades 5 minute BTC Up/Down markets, combining complete-set accumulation with a directional residual
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Builds positions in Up and Down at different times
It first accumulates one outcome, then starts buying the opposite side after the market moves
Once it has matching shares on both sides, it merges them
For example:
80 Up + 80 Down -> MERGE -> $80
If a pair’s total cost, including fees, is below $1, the difference becomes a structural edge
2. Keeps unpaired inventory directional
If it buys:
> 100 Up
> 80 Down
It can form 80 complete sets, while the remaining 20 Up shares stay directional
Its Polymarket account: flippingsharks
The system’s main edge comes from its inventory cycle:
> Accumulates both sides
> Builds complete sets for less than $1
> Keeps the unpaired remainder directional until resolution
This guy used Grok Bot to build an asynchronous complete-set trading system on Polymarket
Result: +$319,430
The system makes 131 trades an hour in short-term crypto Up/Down markets, with an average trade size of $30.58
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Builds positions on both sides
It bought both Up and Down in 88.76% of markets
The median gap between its first trades on each side is 35 seconds
It then keeps switching between them as the market reprices, turning directional inventory into matched Up/Down pairs
Average cost per pair:
> Up + Down before fees = 96.35¢
> Up + Down after taker fees = 98.69¢
> Structural edge = 1.31¢
2. Builds directional positions
Only 58.66% of two-sided markets ended up with an average cost per pair below $1 after fees
Some shares remain directional and provide an additional edge
Its Polymarket account: norm1e69
The system’s main edge comes from asynchronous pairing:
> It uses repricing to turn part of its Up and Down inventory into complete sets < $1
> It holds the unpaired remainder as a directional position until resolution
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a directional repricing system on Polymarket
Result: +$149,920
It trades 5 minute BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets using fair value estimates and dynamic hedging
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Looks for an undervalued outcome
It uses data from external sources to continuously update P(Up) and P(Down)
The model factors in the distance between the spot price and the opening level, time remaining, momentum, volatility, order flow, and a latency edge
For example:
> Down price = 67¢
> Model’s estimate for Down = 74%
It enters a position when it identifies an edge
After entry, the model keeps updating every few seconds. If confidence increases, the algorithm buys more of the same outcome
2. Hedges when the signal changes
If the edge starts to disappear, it may sell part of its original position
If the signal completely reverses, it sometimes buys the opposite outcome
Its Polymarket account: trinity42
The algorithm’s main edge comes from the gap between its own fair value estimate and the current market price:
> Buys undervalued outcomes quickly
> Increases position size as confidence grows
> Reduces exposure when the original signal starts to change
This guy used Grok Bot to build a directional repricing system on Polymarket
Result: +$149,920
It trades 5 minute BTC, ETH, and SOL Up/Down markets using fair value estimates and dynamic hedging
Several Grok Bot AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Looks for an undervalued outcome
It uses data from external sources to continuously update P(Up) and P(Down)
The model factors in the distance between the spot price and the opening level, time remaining, momentum, volatility, order flow, and a latency edge
For example:
> Down price = 67¢
> Model’s estimate for Down = 74%
It enters a position when it identifies an edge
After entry, the model keeps updating every few seconds. If confidence increases, the algorithm buys more of the same outcome
2. Hedges when the signal changes
If the edge starts to disappear, it may sell part of its original position
If the signal completely reverses, it sometimes buys the opposite outcome
Its Polymarket account: trinity42
The algorithm’s main edge comes from the gap between its own fair value estimate and the current market price:
> Buys undervalued outcomes quickly
> Increases position size as confidence grows
> Reduces exposure when the original signal starts to change
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Signature Map system and made $431,498 on Polymarket
His system trades BTC Up/Down markets with an average trade size of $22.31 and 109 trades per active hour, averaging $3,038 a day
Several AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Path Signature captures the sequence of BTC price and volume changes
The first agent calculates a numerical measure from BTC trades on external markets:
A = ½ × (∫ X dV - ∫ V dX)
Both series are measured from the start of the market. This measure captures information about the order in which price and volume change
2. Calibration Map translates the movement pattern into Up and Down values
The second agent combines the signature, distance from the reference price, volatility, and time remaining into a Score:
pUp = 1 / (1 + e^(-Score))
pDown = 1 - pUp
Entry condition:
Up Entry Price + Costs < pUp × $1
When the condition is met, the system places an order. As external order flow changes, it updates its valuation and position parameters
This trader’s Polymarket account: bosona
If you want to trade BTC/ETH price movements directly, you can use KCEX:
kcex.com/register?inviteCode…
This exchange currently offers 0% fees on some spot/perp pairs, as well as 0% fees on the first 100 withdrawals each month across all assets
At $1M in trading volume, even a 0.1% fee adds up to $1,000 in costs. That’s why zero fees can help preserve more of a trading strategy’s edge
🤝 Paid partnership
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Signature Map system and made $431,498 on Polymarket
His system trades BTC Up/Down markets with an average trade size of $22.31 and 109 trades per active hour, averaging $3,038 a day
Several AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Path Signature captures the sequence of BTC price and volume changes
The first agent calculates a numerical measure from BTC trades on external markets:
A = ½ × (∫ X dV - ∫ V dX)
Both series are measured from the start of the market. This measure captures information about the order in which price and volume change
2. Calibration Map translates the movement pattern into Up and Down values
The second agent combines the signature, distance from the reference price, volatility, and time remaining into a Score:
pUp = 1 / (1 + e^(-Score))
pDown = 1 - pUp
Entry condition:
Up Entry Price + Costs < pUp × $1
When the condition is met, the system places an order. As external order flow changes, it updates its valuation and position parameters
This trader’s Polymarket account: bosona
If you want to trade BTC/ETH price movements directly, you can use KCEX:
kcex.com/register?inviteCode…
This exchange currently offers 0% fees on some spot/perp pairs, as well as 0% fees on the first 100 withdrawals each month across all assets
At $1M in trading volume, even a 0.1% fee adds up to $1,000 in costs. That’s why zero fees can help preserve more of a trading strategy’s edge
🤝 Paid partnership
VALIX retweeted
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Flow Memory system and it made $1,700 a day on Polymarket
The result is already +$357,000 PnL over 210 days. It makes 48.8 trades per active hour across BTC Up/Down markets
Several AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Multilevel Flow tracks order changes across several order book levels
The first agent records new orders, cancellations, and fills separately for Up and Down
For each side, it calculates:
Flowₜ = Σ wₖ × OFIₖ,ₜ
Where:
> OFIₖ,ₜ = order flow imbalance at level k
> wₖ = the weight assigned to that level
The calculation tracks changes in buy and sell queues
This helps the system distinguish a single change at the best price from a consistent shift in liquidity across multiple levels
2. Flow Memory connects past order flow with subsequent repricing
The second agent combines several recent readings:
Responseₕ = Σ gⱼ × Flowₜ₋ⱼ
Where:
> gⱼ = the learned weight assigned to a flow reading from j intervals earlier
> h = the selected holding period
The weights are calibrated using historical data: each flow pattern is matched with the change in the midpoint of the spread h seconds later
For example:
> Calculated price move = 3¢
> Entry and exit costs = 1¢
> Edge = 2¢ per share
It keeps BUY limit orders in place while the calculated price response still leaves an edge after costs
The position is closed at an executable sell price when the chosen price level or time limit is reached
This trader’s Polymarket account: BoneOhio
You can build your own trading bot here:
join.horizon.trade/retrovali…
(A trial is available after signing up)
Top trades:
$225.32 → $1,709.44 (+$1,484.12)
$2,237.72 → $3,562.38 (+$1,324.66)
$995.78 → $2,306.53 (+$1,310.75)
The system looks for an edge in subsequent repricing: Multilevel Flow measures order flow across price levels, while Flow Memory identifies the price response associated with that sequence
This guy used Grok Bot to build a Quant Flow Memory system and it made $1,700 a day on Polymarket
The result is already +$357,000 PnL over 210 days. It makes 48.8 trades per active hour across BTC Up/Down markets
Several AI agents work together as one algorithm:
1. Multilevel Flow tracks order changes across several order book levels
The first agent records new orders, cancellations, and fills separately for Up and Down
For each side, it calculates:
Flowₜ = Σ wₖ × OFIₖ,ₜ
Where:
> OFIₖ,ₜ = order flow imbalance at level k
> wₖ = the weight assigned to that level
The calculation tracks changes in buy and sell queues
This helps the system distinguish a single change at the best price from a consistent shift in liquidity across multiple levels
2. Flow Memory connects past order flow with subsequent repricing
The second agent combines several recent readings:
Responseₕ = Σ gⱼ × Flowₜ₋ⱼ
Where:
> gⱼ = the learned weight assigned to a flow reading from j intervals earlier
> h = the selected holding period
The weights are calibrated using historical data: each flow pattern is matched with the change in the midpoint of the spread h seconds later
For example:
> Calculated price move = 3¢
> Entry and exit costs = 1¢
> Edge = 2¢ per share
It keeps BUY limit orders in place while the calculated price response still leaves an edge after costs
The position is closed at an executable sell price when the chosen price level or time limit is reached
This trader’s Polymarket account: BoneOhio
You can build your own trading bot here:
join.horizon.trade/retrovali…
(A trial is available after signing up)
Top trades:
$225.32 → $1,709.44 (+$1,484.12)
$2,237.72 → $3,562.38 (+$1,324.66)
$995.78 → $2,306.53 (+$1,310.75)
The system looks for an edge in subsequent repricing: Multilevel Flow measures order flow across price levels, while Flow Memory identifies the price response associated with that sequence




