Thomas Rid (@RidT) header
Thomas Rid (@RidT) profile picture

Author of ACTIVE MEASURES, RISE OF THE MACHINES, CYBER WAR WILL NOT TAKE PLACE, "Attributing Cyber Attacks," more. Johns Hopkins, Alperovitch Institute.

Georgetown, German-born
Joined January 2009
Frontier labs are some of the most high value intelligence targets on the planet right now. The most remarkable thing about the OpenAI spying case and FBI complaint today is that it took this level of absolute shit tradecraft to get caught here.
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Note, very significant, his active measures operational workflow skips social media entirely: plan > recruit operatives > infiltrate target country > commit offensive act > wait for press coverage > count press coverage as success. After action report doesn't mention social media
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A few additional observations: this SDA leak hows a significant escalation in tactics and tradecraft. Most notable is the focus in infiltrating target countries and conducting active measures there, like placing pigs heads in front of mosques, vandalizing synagogues
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GPT 5.4 is out. Two noteworthy things here: both OpenAI's and Google's flagship models now outperform Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 on ARC AGI 2, and at a significantly cheaper cost per task (cost is log scale). Also: GPT 5.4 failed to catch up with Gemini 3.1 in score or cost
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M Street and Wisconsin in Georgetown taken over by a large crowd of celebrating Iranians, chanting USA USA … not what I was expecting during my run today.
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