@Roger_Conradi
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Investment Analyst | 40 years helping thousands of high-net-worth individuals earn $100B+ from energy, utility, and REIT dividends | Steady wins the race 🥇🐢💰
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Joined April 2013
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At 25
I was broke with no plan.
By 35
I owned my own home with my wife & 1st son.
By 45
We had 3 kids and I advised centi-millionaires.
By 55
I had an 8-figure net worth and the freedom to be with my family for all the important moments
I did it all by investing in 5 things: 🧵
Another good example of how the 35 states that still operate regulated electric utility monopolies are so much better off than the deregulated states—which depend on central planning by the RTOs,
utilitydive.com/news/pjm-del…
Looking forward to the 2026 MoneyShow Traders EXPO/Orlando next week!
Kicking off some ideas I’ll be sharing today at 4-5 pm ET on MoneyShow + Wolf Financial co-hosted live stream event.
MoneyShow.com
Natural gas, storage and solar—fast to build, scalable, clean and cost effective. Nothing else has been able to straight up compete generating reliable, clean and affordable electricity for years. And nothing will for years to come—except well placed wind. utilitydive.com/news/dukes-c…
Easily paired with other power sources and getting cheaper all the time.
Huge takeaway from utility and power companies’ Q2 earnings and guidance is the investment boom is just getting started.
Energy investing is not all about the Strait of Hormuz.
“The forces of division will always be vanquished by the forces of progress.” That says it all. Happy Birthday America!
New York City Mayor Mamdani just gave one of the most amazing speeches you will ever hear:
"We are told that America is exceptional because we are richer, stronger, and more powerful than everyone else.
"The truth, my friends, is that America is exceptional because here, nothing is fixed into place. The frontier may be closed. We may have walked on the moon. But the work of fulfilling the values first enshrined in the Declaration of Independence — that work endures, and it belongs to us all.
"It belongs, too, to our newest Americans: those standing here with me today, all of whom were recently naturalized. Nearly a decade ago, I, too, felt what you feel: the joy of no longer being just a New Yorker, but an American, too.
"You each hold a special power: the power to determine what America means.
"The powerful have always known their answer. America, in their view, is an arena of supremacy where only a select few are allowed freedom; where not all are created equal. America, if you ask them, becomes less the more people it welcomes. America, they will tell you, belongs only to those with the right accent or the right shade of skin. The rest of us, they insist, should be grateful for merely being allowed to visit.
"How small they are. How weak. How unoriginal.
"At every moment in our past, those who led through exclusion and isolation have tried to win power and enrich themselves by turning us against one another. Division is the oldest trick in politics — and the cheapest.
"But time and again, including 250 years ago, those forces of division have been vanquished by the forces of progress."
Happy birthday America!
Happy Independence Day!
There’s a story from the end of the Revolutionary War I want to tell as we celebrate America’s 250th Birthday, and it’s one everyone in the world can learn from.
George Washington, at that moment, after commanding the American forces to victory, was the most powerful man in the new country. Many people talked about making him King of America.
Across the ocean, King George was sitting with an American painter, and asked what he thought Washington would do now that the war was ending. The painter said he believed he would go back to his farm.
The King said, “If he does that, he will be the greatest man in the world.”
As the war officially ended, Washington came to speak to Congress and said, “Having now finished the work assigned me, I retire from the great theater of Action.” He returned his commission they’d given him in 1775 - after more than 8 years of leading the Americans to victory without pay, and he was home at Mount Vernon for Christmas.
Of course, he was elected as our first President a few years later, and after two terms, showed the same selflessness again when he willingly gave up his power and went back to Mount Vernon again.
That’s true greatness. He had all the power in the world. But power, alone, does not make you great.
Washington’s greatness came from being a true servant - to a cause much bigger than himself. His greatness was his complete lack of selfishness.
The whole story of American Independence is a story of selflessness. It’s a story of people who set their self-interest aside and worked for each other.
We’ve all heard the line about “We must all hang together, or, most assuredly, we shall all hang separately.”
Apparently, Ben Franklin might have actually never said that.
But that’s fine, because the same mentality is right there in the last line of the Declaration of Independence, published on this day 250 years ago:
“And for the support of this Declaration, with a firm reliance on the protection of divine Providence, we mutually pledge to each other our Lives, our Fortunes and our sacred Honor.”
We mutually pledge to each other.
No one was in this alone. No one was in it for themselves. This was a group of people with different backgrounds who were in it for each other.
Today is a reminder: greatness comes from what we do for each other, never what we do for ourselves.
That’s a lesson that applies no matter what country you call home.
It’s a lesson that doesn’t require any law passed by a politician, because, let’s be honest, if you’re waiting for selfless politicians, I really hope you are not holding your breath.
All of us have the power to be there for the people around us. For our families and friends. For our neighbors. For everyone.
All of us can reach for greatness.
It’s as simple as looking beyond yourself, seeing past the mirror, picking your eyes up from your phone, and pledging to be there for each other.
Happy Fourth. May you all find your own version of greatness today by lifting each other up.
Lift up your neighborhood. Lift up America. Lift up the World.
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
The financial media is screaming "hawkish hold" after last week's Fed meeting, but the real data tells a completely different story. Warsh is ending the era of the Fed "babysitter," and markets are signaling something much more positive than the headlines suggest:
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
For 50 years, the conventional wisdom has been that a weak dollar is bullish for oil. The data shows that’s no longer true. Here is the chart that proves we’ve entered a structural shift that changes everything for energy investors:
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
Restarting previously closed nuclear plants could be one of the most cost-effective ways to supply large amounts of firm, clean electricity, writes Patrick White at Clean Air Task Force.
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
Leveraged fund speculators just built the largest short position in history in 30-Year Treasury futures.
The result? A classic, massive "speculative pain trade" is underway as yields reverse back into their longstanding range.
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
While everyone obsesses over LNG tankers and AI data center power , the real "stealth export" of cheap U.S. natural gas is leaving our ports completely under the radar.
It’s embedded inside global food supply chains. Here’s why agriculture is secretly an energy derivative:
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
Knee-jerk sell-off E&Ps at the open, but stocks were never pricing in $100/bbl+ oil; in fact, that's too high for comfort as it risks demand destruction. Also note rally in oil services stocks like $SLB as potential end to conflict gives more certainty to ME projects.
It’s fair to ask why. supplychaindive.com/news/tru…
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
Is $150+ oil inevitable? 🛢️
The media says the Fed can hike rates to lower oil prices. History says they’re wrong.I’m breaking down the 160-year roadmap the IEA is missing:
📊 Why 1864 saw $166 oil 📉 Why the Fed doesn't control crude
Watch: youtu.be/-c6vLj0Xclc
Would you agree Patty that nuclear’s problem is the lack of a design that a utility can take to regulators and investors and credibly say this is what it will cost and this is how long it will take to build? In retrospect, Georgia Power put too much faith in the EPC remaining solvent to honor the Vogtle contract. No one will ever make that assumption again.
Roger Conrad, Tortoise King retweeted
The primary driver of #energy stocks and $XLE since late last year isn't #Iran, #Venezuela or any geopolitical story, it's the complete and utter collapse of the consensus bear narrative on oil, and fairytales of endless shale production growth at sub $60/bbl...
The 14 states with 5-year electricity price increases above the national average all “deregulated” in the 1990s. It’s time to allow regulated utilities to build and operate power plants again—including New Jersey. Anything else is window dressing. utilitydive.com/news/new-jer…
Time for federal bureaucrats to butt out and let investor owned utilities do their job. Forcing companies to keep aged out coal and oil plants running just drives up rates with no reliability benefit. utilitydive.com/news/miso-ut…
Looks like solid performance from investor owned utilities across the country following this unusual and severe storm—for all of these reasons.
Good job @ERCOT_ISO —the grid did great.
Gas system didn’t freeze, wind and solar did fine, winterization and electric-gas coordination since 2021 was better, efficiency and demand response tools helped, and all the new solar and battery capacity all made resource adequacy a non-concern. Hats off to all the stakeholders who played a role in this over the last few years.
And many thanks to the utility line workers who worked hard around the weekend or were on standby.