Ron Shamgar

The stock market will run a test once in a while, to see how much of a pussy you are

"Why didn't you just buy the index"

INTEL $INTC JUST HAD ITS WORST DAY SINCE THE 1970S, CLOSING DOWN -28.6% 🔴 The US Government bought 433.3 million shares of Intel stock at $20.47 on August 22nd, 2025, spending ~$8.9B Intel stock closed at $92.08 on Thursday and closed at $65.76 on Friday That means the 🇺🇸 Government's stake in Intel was worth $39.9 Billion as of Thursday's close And is now worth $28.5B, a ~$11.4B drop in one day The Government is still up ~$19.6B (+221%) on its investment

Most accurate analyst accounts on X this week, by buy calls we track (scored on price since the call): @RonShamgar 83% (5/6 calls up) @Brownmoose 70% (7/10 calls up) @alc2022 70% (7/10 calls up) @7StarMike 69% (9/13 calls up) @FIREDUpWealth 61% (19/31 calls up) All five are worth a follow. Every call scored: fintwit.ai/analyst

For $2.24 BILLION market cap - this is what you get on the ASX 🫠🫠🫠 $4DX $1.6m cash receipts for quarter 🤦‍♂️

BREAKING: Binance has been hacked with wallets across the Ethereum, Bitcoin, and TRON networks seeing outflows of -$5.7 billion. The hack includes $1.45 billion worth of Bitcoin and $875 million worth of ETH. If confirmed, this would mark the biggest hack in crypto history. We expect more information shortly.

$$MYX.AX : CEO Pay for NO Performance So the company sneaks out announcements at 7pm when they hope that nobody is watching about the CEO pay granted that is not in any way tied to performance. nitter.cf/toy59496/status/211494… Also in case you missed it notice the circa $600k Cosette retention bonus he received. Hang about you say!? The deal didn't go through and we lost a crap load of money. You know, like HALF A BILLION across the shareholder base. That's correct. But what the hell, they paid it to the management anyway... It's not like the Board had any substantial personal equity. It's always easier to pay people with someone else's money. In fact do any of you guys want to pay my electricity bill? Not only that, this CEO, less than a year into his very first gig being a CEO, is paid well above what you would expect for a $200m (and dropping) market capitalisation company especially after a Q1FY27 quarterly where underlying EBITDA has HALVED and the business is obviously in significant distress. In fact interestingly the EBITDA is roughly what he has been paid which is the another reminder of the corporate bloat in this company. This is not criticism of the CEO who quite rightly trys to get as much as he can, and in fact I think Aaron has a good mind, and properly incentivised with performance measures might actually achieve value for shareholders in selling the sum of parts. Rather it is a serious criticism of the oversight function of a Board that has no equity in a personal name and apart from Jacob little or no equity at all. You can see why I no longer have faith in the board. Don't forget to vote FOR resolution 4. Disclosure: I am a shareholder and a candidate for election to the Board. This post and my videos express my views and supports my election. It is not a recommendation to buy, hold or sell shares. Seek independent financial advice before making investment decisions.

Canaccord Genuity on SiteMinder $SDR: "We are upgrading SDR to BUY and lifting our price target to $4.10. "It has been a difficult CYTD for shareholders, with AI-driven uncertainty around SaaS business models compounded by higher interest rates and waning investor appetite for growth stocks. "We think the dynamic is beginning to turn. SDR's valuation has re-based, interest rate expectations appear closer to a peak than not, and importantly SDR continues to execute, with underlying growth on track and DR+ scaling. "The valuation sentiment around the stock is also likely to change, in our view. SDR has historically been valued on revenue and EBITDA multiples, but as profitability builds, we expect P/E to become increasingly relevant as expectations increasingly roll towards FY28E. "On our model, by FY28E, our forecasts have SDR generating sufficient NPAT that, if management delivers against its medium-term growth and EBITDA ambitions, suddenly SDR's P/E (at spot valuation of $2.87) begins to rapidly compress to ~25x FY28E and then ~15x in FY29E. "We may be early in rekindling the optimism, but the combination of continued execution, fading external headwinds and a depressed starting valuation creates an attractive risk/reward in our view." #ASX #stockinfocus #investing

$SGR- Don't be someone's Exit Liquidity

Last night, the exit polls told one story: Netanyahu had lost, but it wasn’t clear who on the other side had won. This morning, the results are telling another. Netanyahu hasn’t won yet, but the change bloc has clearly lost. I’ve covered politics since the start of the century. I have never seen a camp organize for an election as impeccably, as efficiently and as energetically as the change bloc did. It signed model surplus-vote agreements, so that no leftover votes would go to waste, and ran an unprecedented operation flying Israelis home from abroad to vote. And by the actual count, it ended up with more or less the same number of seats as in the last election. Demography beat energy, and the message also proved flawed and unsuccessful. The public wasn’t convinced that the war had been a total victory, as Netanyahu claimed, but it also refused to buy the opposition’s claim that it was a total failure. It was repelled by Haredi draft-dodging, but didn’t think the solution was a minority government propped up by draft refusers and anti-Zionists. It was disgusted when ultra-Orthodox protesters chanted “We do not believe in the rule of the Zionists,” but it was just as shocked when “Biladi, Biladi,” the Palestinian national anthem, was sung at the Joint List’s headquarters last night. Netanyahu’s position changed completely between the release of the exit polls and the arrival of the real results. Last night it seemed clear that Knesset Speaker Amir Ohana, a Likud loyalist, would be ousted and that, one way or another, Gadi Eisenkot, the former IDF chief of staff, would form a minority government. Now, by the criteria Eisenkot himself set, he has lost the legitimacy to form such a government. He promised he wouldn’t rely on the Arab parties’ votes, yet without a majority he would now need the active support of the Joint List, which looks futile and pointless. In post-October 7 Israel, there is no chance that a coalition including six candidates who lost immediate family to Hamas could last long alongside Joint List lawmakers who claim Hamas is simply a charitable organization. After the 1967 war, Defense Minister Moshe Dayan famously said Israel was waiting for the Arabs to call. In the same spirit, Netanyahu in effect told the change camp before dawn: here’s my phone number, feel free to use it. Yisrael Beiteinu’s Avigdor Lieberman, former Prime Minister Naftali Bennett and Eisenkot now face a dilemma from hell. They can go to another election, one that Israelis abroad will no longer fly home for. They can try to join Netanyahu’s bloc on tough terms, breaking their campaign pledges never to sit with him. Or they can beg the Islamist Ra’am and the Joint List, now drunk on their success, for support. And one final note: for the entire campaign, we searched for a third bloc, a centrist unity bloc between Netanyahu and his rivals. Candidates included Benny Gantz and former UN Ambassador Gilad Erdan, former general Ofer Winter and economist Yaron Zelekha, former Culture Minister Hili Tropper and who even remembers who else. They all collapsed, evaporated or vanished. And now it turns out the unity bloc may have been the Arab parties all along. Their historic, almost hysterical turnout, at rates that will need careful examination, shattered both sides’ dreams of a 61-seat majority. It reminded Jews on both sides that, after years of division, they may have to learn to sit together after all. newsletter.amitsegal.net/p/i…

Our next Coffee Microcaps Morning Meeting is happening this coming Friday, 30 October. We will be joined by @Pureprofile_IR $PPL for this Zoom webinar. Thanks to our event sponsor, @DMXAsset, for their support. #microcap #ASX Register below 👇 us02web.zoom.us/webinar/regi…