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The guys who broke the Aoki-Smith trade and that random 2010 draft pick. We left champions in 2015. We’re back in 2024 ready for a good ole’ fashioned revival.

Kansas City, MO
Joined March 2011
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Hey everyone! I’m back! We have seen this before: Kansas City off to another slow offensive start. But what if this isn’t random? 🧵 A data-driven theory on why the Royals (and a few other teams) consistently struggle early in the season:
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Not all heroes wear capes
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A lot has been made about Vinnie’s propensity for slow starts, but at this point we have to acknowledge a legitimately concerning issue: bat speed. 2024: 71.7 2025: 72.5 (58th percentile) 2026: 69.7 (19th) Bat speed only takes a few games to normalize. We are 24 games in.
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Using Thomas’s and Jensen’s sprint speeds per Baseball Savant and adjusting for leadoff and acceleration, all things being equal Thomas scores 0.08 seconds faster than Jensen. Is that worth the trade off to lose the bats later in the game? #Analytics
-Lane Thomas pinch ran for Carter Jensen in the 10th, then ran into an out at 3B -They needed a catcher, so Elias Diaz came in for Jac Caglianone -Missed out on multiple at bats from two of their 4 best hitters on the roster in extra innings Take a bow, Matt Quatraro!
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I don’t think the Royals will score 5 in the bottom of the 12th.
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A few more characters could have helped. Re: blaming CJ, I’m specifically talking about the performance that day. Giving more oxygen to the situation/Calling out Jensen (regardless of the question) is not a reason for praise. Vinnie’s response is what made it a national story.
Vinnie never blamed Jensen for the teams troubles and he didn’t publicly go out of his way to criticize Jensen, he stood at his locker and answered the question like a leader.
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There’s one plausible reason where Vinnie’s original comments may be defensible and it is the same reason Salvy’s comments yesterday raise a red flag. For some reason, the team’s veterans feel they need to say things publicly. This strikes me as a dissatisfaction in mgmt.
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This team has had problems behind the scenes for awhile. Vinnie publicly criticizing Jensen for showing up late. Blaming Jensen for the team’s troubles. Jensen and Cags joking about it publicly. Salvy publicly complaining about reason for his day off.
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This leads to a bigger idea: Not all teams are playing the same “version” of baseball in spring. And for some teams, that mismatch shows up immediately in April results.
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So when the Royals start slow offensively again… It might not just be bad luck. It might be structural.
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