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Mitchell Johnson

@SportsWithMitch

| Seattle sports, Portland Trail Blazers, Washington State FB, Gonzaga BB, tennis, golf tweeter | Former Sports Writer |

 Kent, WA
sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
Joined June 2011
  • Tweets38.7K
  • Following561
  • Followers550
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Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)Photo by Mitchell Johnson (@SportsWithMitch)
New write-up: Why I moved my Tennis Total Games Projection model from EV to a tier structure — and how it led to stronger long-term results. sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Refining a Data-Driven Tennis Totals Model: Why Tiered Betting Outperformed EV

Refining a Data-Driven Tennis Totals Model: Why Tiered Betting Outperformed EV

The original betting strategy I finalized back in November and used to begin 2026 was based on expected return per unit (EV) to identify Best Bets. At the time, I split it into separate categories …

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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First Take needs to go back to these two
First Take (@FirstTake) profile pictureFirst Take
@FirstTake15h
Replying to @stephenasmith
@stephenasmith and @RealSkipBayless are live from USC🔥💪⬇️
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🎾 Friday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 6

Tennis Picks | Nov. 6

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. WTA — Luanda 125 (QF) A…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Thursday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 5

Tennis Picks | Nov. 5

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. WTA — Luanda 125 (R16) …

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Wednesday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 4

Tennis Picks | Nov. 4

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Updated with rest of 11/4 👆
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🎾 Tuesday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 3

Tennis Picks | Nov. 3

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
291
Washington State would’ve won more games in 2026 if they hired away a head coach Since Kirby Moore was an assistant coach, no players really followed him. They have the business aspect set up, but will need time to build
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🎾 Sunday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Nov. 1

Tennis Picks | Nov. 1

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Saturday’s tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 31

Tennis Picks | Oct. 31

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. WTA — Hong Kong (Q1) Al…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Friday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 30

Tennis Picks | Oct. 30

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. ATP — Basel (QF) Holger…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Rune’s return game could be the key to this ATP Basel quarterfinal 👀 The model has Rune/Vacherot at 22.81 games vs. a 25.0 line, with Vacherot’s second serve providing an interesting matchup. Full breakdown 👆🏻
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Unless Andreescu-Zidansek/Herrero Linana produces a pick, the Rune-Vacherot match will be the only one
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🎾 Thursday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 29

Tennis Picks | Oct. 29

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. WTA — Courmayeur 125 (R…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Updated with the rest of 10/29
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These flop calls are ridiculous though
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Dame Time
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Where tf was the flop???? #Blazers
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🎾 Wednesday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 28

Tennis Picks | Oct. 28

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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🎾 Tuesday's tennis picks are live! Check out today's total games projections, picks and model edges 👇 #Tennis #TennisPicks #ATP #WTA sportswithmitch.wordpress.co…
Tennis Picks | Oct. 27

Tennis Picks | Oct. 27

ATP & WTA only. Qualifying plays are posted as one unified list, with tier shown for reference only (Tier 2 2-3 games; Tier 1 3-4). All plays are 1u. Lines via Pinnacle. Odds Pending: We’re sti…

sportswithmitch.wordpress.com
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Updated with a few more matches
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