The leading perpetual futures oracle.
Joined April 2022
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Prediction markets are known for providing market insights in aggregate; onchain prediction markets can provide behavioral insights at the user level, too. For example, some users move early and are often right.
We created a simple case study, using Stork Market Data from @Polymarket, finding accounts where:
• ≥70% of finished bets profitable
• Avg entry under $0.30
• ≥5 finished bets
• Median hold ≥6 days
283 accounts passed.
Behaviors vary widely.
The top account made 15 bets, won 80% and netted $1.17M. Another made 605 bets at a $9 median and netted $44,258. A third went 5 for 5 for $137,631.
Full case study, including the top 10 by net profit:
stork.network/research/predi…
Surging volume put RWA perpetual futures on the map for financial institutions, but activity has been slowing since July.
It's the cooling AI trade, natch—but in September, oil perps swung back into growth mode.
We'll be back next week with a look at whether the commodities trading upswing continued in October 👀
Recently, @glxyresearch dug into the behavior of Polymarket traders.
Using Stork Market Data for account-level history, researcher @wowens filtered out automated activity and measured (among other things):
- Where traders tend to specialize
- Where specialists are most profitable
Read Galaxy's full report here: galaxy.com/insights/research…
The GENIUS act enshrined 1:1 backing as a standard in real-world assets (RWAs) represented by tokens onchain. That standard isn’t going to work for tokenized equities.
Read the latest Stork Research report to learn why, and how you can normalize it: stork.network/research/token…
Prediction markets, perpetual futures, tokenized assets
Historical data & live streams
stork.network/market-data
US regulators threw the doors open for US perpetual futures in May, but trading volume got off to a slow start. Now, it seems to have found its footing.
Stork Research’s latest report looks at activity on US perpetual futures—by underlying, by venue, and by category, including RWAs.
stork.network/research/us-pe…
Fed by Stork 🪽
We’re excited to announce that Spout has raised a $2m strategic round from @DraperDragon, @Anchorage, @FlowTraders, @Taisu_Ventures, @VesselVC, @solayer_labs, @2SquareCapital and @Bering_Waters, with strategic backing from @solanalabs
Borrowing against your own stock doesn’t have to cost interest.
Post tokenized US equities as collateral. Borrow USDC at a flat 50% LTV. Pay 0% interest for as long as you hold the loan.
The lender is paid out of covered call premium written weekly against that collateral, not out of a rate the borrower pays. That is the whole trick.
Stork partner @reya_xyz proved real volume and revenue in v1. Now the perp DEX has launched v2, a fully onchain orderbook designed to bring institutional and high-frequency trading flow onchain, initially settling on Reya Network ahead of a planned move to a zk-verifiable exchange on Ethereum.
How Reya v2 works:
1. Replaces a proof-of-concept AMM ($135B volume) with a central limit orderbook, matching bids and asks directly instead of pricing against a pool.
2. Built to bring Institutional and HFT order flow onchain.
3. A finite Season 2 incentive pool rewards early participants.
On the v2 roadmap: sub-millisecond order acknowledgement, 200k TPS, zk-verifiable orders and executions using EigenDA for data availability, and a based-rollup architecture that removes single-sequencer risk.
Stork will be there every step of the way.
v2 is now live in Private Beta!
We say goodbye to the AMM (v1) that delivered $135bn in volume and served 10,000 traders. And say hello to the orderbook; the first stage of the v2 roadmap, built to deliver a high-throughput, low-latency, zk-verifiable exchange.
Private Beta only for now, as institutional market makers ramp up and as we expand the list of tradable markets.
Join the waitlist to be among the first to trade in Season 2.
Being early is your edge.
RWA perps volume dipped in September, replacing levered AI frenzy with a rotation back to gold, oil, and macro.
The major exception was @Aster_DEX, with a surge in RWA perps quoted in the $USD1 stablecoin issued by Trump-founded @worldlibertyfi. 🧵 👇
Welcome to Stork Research’s monthly report on RWA perps volume. All this plus a look at new pre-pre-IPO perps on Polymarket, the company.
stork.network/research/rwa-p…
History & real-time feeds from prediction markets and perpetual futures.
Stork Market Data is built on the same infrastructure discipline that trading venues rely upon, 24/7.
Stork Market Data powers a @glxyresearch deep dive into prediction-market historical data, with insights on how traders actually behave. Read the full report ⤵️
Stork retweeted
v2 is now live in Private Beta!
We say goodbye to the AMM (v1) that delivered $135bn in volume and served 10,000 traders. And say hello to the orderbook; the first stage of the v2 roadmap, built to deliver a high-throughput, low-latency, zk-verifiable exchange.
Private Beta only for now, as institutional market makers ramp up and as we expand the list of tradable markets.
Join the waitlist to be among the first to trade in Season 2.
Being early is your edge.
