Evaluating the ever-complex "bound giant" Thomas Jefferson. My essay for @3QD about how the truth is messy and often nuanced. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

To my friends at @nyrr who have tirelessly promoted running (as I have aged), and the @CentralParkNYC a few appreciative words 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

9/28/48, Harry Truman's train stops in San Antonio. "I am the servant of the people of the United States. They are not my servants. I can’t order you around, or send you to labor camps, or have your heads cut off if you don’t agree with me." For @3QD 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

On back stretch with @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics and Blue Movement continues. Marquee MI-Senate race leans D, 4 tossups surprise IA Senate, NV Gov, OH Gov, and 2 eye-opening Leans R---Abbott and DeSantis. No chicken counting, please. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Thomas Jefferson and Sally Hemings are back. The great qualifier to Jefferson's heroic standing remains Hemings, but that's probably wrong. It should be Jefferson's approach to the Peculiar Institution: against it, but unwilling to act on his objections. 3quarksdaily.com/3quarksdail…

Title says it well. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics (Possible money line: "Those waiting for a Republican recovery in the polls will have to keep waiting, and the wait may be for Godot.") 8 ratings changes, including a few eyebrow-raisers centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Disciplined @henryolsenEPPC piece on Senate polls with (very tempered) justification for slight Democratic optimism. Includes shout-out to @gelliottmorris washingtonpost.com/opinions/…

In what could be excruciatingly close House election GOP loss in Missouri map case (likely saving Cleaver) and other secular factors narrow net GOP advantage from Redistricting. @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Probabilities, not certainties. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

How do we judge our secular heroes? Jefferson might be the most difficult. Writer of great words, Minister, Secretary of State, Veep. President, whose vision included the Louisiana Purchase. And, slave-owner. Jefferson Expresses His Mind (On Slavery) disq.us/t/59h8565

Read @henryolsenEPPC in @PostOpinions today. Smart analysis of which way wind might be blowing on Election Night. washingtonpost.com/opinions/…

6 pockets which are likely to determine who controls the House next year. @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics 37 Districts in 6 regions and while a lot of this election will be nationalized, results here determinative, centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

A closer look at Secretary of State races from @loujacobson for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics SOS authority on elections makes Trump-induced denialism an occasional "smudge" when the state is more purple than Red centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

It's Jefferson's standing in history which turns the spotlight on his weaknesses.

You might think that centralizing power in the Presidency would render lesser jobs...less. But Governors are still important. From @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Three, AK, PA and IA move towards D's. One open state, KS could flip to GOP. centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

Labor Day "leans" from @kkondik for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics on outcome of Senate race: Democrats have a chance to retake the chamber, but a lot must go right. 5 tossups: OH, MI, TX, ME, AK but...El-Sayed? D Candidate quality v Trump unpopularity? centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

On the Anniversary of the Battle of Brooklyn, a reminder of John Adams and Thomas Jefferson Two Lions In Winter disq.us/t/58ins6c

By @jimgeraghty and, yes, nails it. Trump Administration Threatens to Demolish the Kennedy Center nationalreview.com/corner/tr…

Truman + JFK knew they needed TX+ got it. Could Blue be making a (small) comeback? Talarico-Paxton moves to tossup, Abbott softens to likely from lock @JMilesColeman for @LarrySabato @Center4Politics Three Rating Changes in Texas, All Towards Democrats centerforpolitics.org/crysta…

The very smart, very practical @henryolsenEPPC Republicans in America’s reddest state just sent their party a message wapo.st/3SBmfRh