Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Since March 2020, US airlines have been awarded $54 billion in payroll assistance (including last weekโs third round) + $25 billion in government loans (The government bailouts do impose a temporary ban on stock buybacks/dividends) google.com/amp/s/mobile.reutโฆ
For a decade, US airlines spent 96% of their free cash flow on stock buybacks โ until COVID came, then they took billions in government aid.
@profgalloway, on @HBO last night, hasnโt forgotten. ๐ฅ
(via @keithedwards)
nitter.cf/keithedwards/status/13โฆ
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
ICYMI: @AndrewBellBNN asked Poloz whether he's concerned his legacy "could been seen as leaving Canadians with a bunch of unsustainable debt." Here's how Poloz responded: bnnbloomberg.ca/video/1.1362โฆ
Stephen Poloz responds to a question about his legacy
Poloz will be stepping down as Bank of Canada governor when his term ends in June.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Trump vs. Trump: Kurds Edition
Trump Takes On His Biggest Critic: Himself
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
#FF
Trading
@canuck2usa
@AnneMarieTrades
@MalibuInvest
Fin Tech
@Likefolio
Options through volatility
@SteadyOptions_
Macro
@TN
@ukarlewitz
Markets
@fhoro
@jfahmy
@FDAadcomm
Retail Market
@JeffMacke
Fun
@dog_feelings
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
If $SPX closes below 2857, it will be the first 3% correction since 12/24. FWIW, the current streak is the 2nd-longest since March 2009. Maybe it doesn't feel like it compared to record 308 days from Nov. 2016 to Jan. 2018, but this has been much longer than normal. @NDR_Research
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Passive management is distorting the advance-decline line due to passive funds buying all 500 $SPX stocks which could result in not having a divergence at next market top. - Zulauf #CMTsym2019
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
The market continues to climb the wall of worry, as #investors continue to sell stocks at a record $113 billion annual pace. This now 10 year old bull continues to be viewed as a glass half empty.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
12-month risk/reward seems to strongly favor reward. Some cracks on the macro/fundamental front but can't argue with the strength of the advance.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Consensus Bulls finally joining the party. 50% this week (38 at lows)
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
The Consensus Bulls are having none of it (although this does not include Friday so should be higher next week)
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Almost every major equity market in the world is now in a correction or bear market, Goldman Sachs notes.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
BOAML FMS cash levels ticked up slightly to 4.8% and per the FMS Cash Rule has been in buy territory for the past 10 months. But it's still well below the 5.5%+ levels that marked the market bottom in 16'.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Looking at the full history of the indicator, Daily Sentiment Index readings above 79 have indicated extreme optimism (bearish for stocks) and readings below 24 have indicated extreme pessimism (bullish for stocks). Signals for past few years have been muddled at best.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
(1/5) @MerrillLynch Fund Manager Survey Feb 2018.
Global managers still remain overweight equities, not really reducing bullish positioning all that much from the recent extremes.
#WealthManagement #familyoffice $SPY
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
This chart by SG shows why investors spooked by the bond market rout: LOW US equity-risk premium = HARD to absorb higher bond yields.
Babak ๐ฎ๐ท ๐บ๐ฆ retweeted
Warren Buffett full interview on @CNBC today
If you don't sit through it, watch from "16:10" for three minutes to hear the most eloquent take on the new corporate tax cuts implications on earnings and valuation cnbc.com/video/2018/01/10/waโฆ

































