Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN) profile picture

Whatever the opposite of 'laser eyes' is...

Joined March 2007
Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)Photo by Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ (@TN)
Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Since March 2020, US airlines have been awarded $54 billion in payroll assistance (including last weekโ€™s third round) + $25 billion in government loans (The government bailouts do impose a temporary ban on stock buybacks/dividends) google.com/amp/s/mobile.reutโ€ฆ
For a decade, US airlines spent 96% of their free cash flow on stock buybacks โ€” until COVID came, then they took billions in government aid. @profgalloway, on @HBO last night, hasnโ€™t forgotten. ๐Ÿ”ฅ (via @keithedwards) nitter.cf/keithedwards/status/13โ€ฆ
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
ICYMI: @AndrewBellBNN asked Poloz whether he's concerned his legacy "could been seen as leaving Canadians with a bunch of unsustainable debt." Here's how Poloz responded: bnnbloomberg.ca/video/1.1362โ€ฆ
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Trump vs. Trump: Kurds Edition
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
#FF Trading @canuck2usa @AnneMarieTrades @MalibuInvest Fin Tech @Likefolio Options through volatility @SteadyOptions_ Macro @TN @ukarlewitz Markets @fhoro @jfahmy @FDAadcomm Retail Market @JeffMacke Fun @dog_feelings
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
7. This "phenomenal" leading indicator was early (aka wrong) by 2 years in 2006. Still interesting chart to consider... h/t @TN $SPX $MACRO
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
If $SPX closes below 2857, it will be the first 3% correction since 12/24. FWIW, the current streak is the 2nd-longest since March 2009. Maybe it doesn't feel like it compared to record 308 days from Nov. 2016 to Jan. 2018, but this has been much longer than normal. @NDR_Research
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Passive management is distorting the advance-decline line due to passive funds buying all 500 $SPX stocks which could result in not having a divergence at next market top. - Zulauf #CMTsym2019
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
The market continues to climb the wall of worry, as #investors continue to sell stocks at a record $113 billion annual pace. This now 10 year old bull continues to be viewed as a glass half empty.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
12-month risk/reward seems to strongly favor reward. Some cracks on the macro/fundamental front but can't argue with the strength of the advance.
Could get another breadth thrust (90% of stocks trading above their 50-day average) on the close today. Came into today at 87%. Clearly don't know how the future unfolds, but the historical track record here is pretty nice to have in your back pocket.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Consensus Bulls finally joining the party. 50% this week (38 at lows)
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
The Consensus Bulls are having none of it (although this does not include Friday so should be higher next week)
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Almost every major equity market in the world is now in a correction or bear market, Goldman Sachs notes.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
BOAML FMS cash levels ticked up slightly to 4.8% and per the FMS Cash Rule has been in buy territory for the past 10 months. But it's still well below the 5.5%+ levels that marked the market bottom in 16'.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Market Vane Bulls 50%
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Looking at the full history of the indicator, Daily Sentiment Index readings above 79 have indicated extreme optimism (bearish for stocks) and readings below 24 have indicated extreme pessimism (bullish for stocks). Signals for past few years have been muddled at best.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
(1/5) @MerrillLynch Fund Manager Survey Feb 2018. Global managers still remain overweight equities, not really reducing bullish positioning all that much from the recent extremes. #WealthManagement #familyoffice $SPY
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Massive selling of U.S. equities: U.S. #equities #MutualFunds and #ETFs shed $51.7 billion in February through 2/13 (record outflow for an entire month was $46.5 billion in July 2002). #stocks #SPY #QQQ #DIA
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Looks like late-cycle correction: as $SPX flirted w/ 10% loss threshold on Feb 6th, traditional distribution signs were absent and measure of downside thrust (10-day #SP500 net advances) sat in zone considered โ€œbuyableโ€ weakness
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
This chart by SG shows why investors spooked by the bond market rout: LOW US equity-risk premium = HARD to absorb higher bond yields.
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Babak ๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ท ๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฆ retweeted
Warren Buffett full interview on @CNBC today If you don't sit through it, watch from "16:10" for three minutes to hear the most eloquent take on the new corporate tax cuts implications on earnings and valuation cnbc.com/video/2018/01/10/waโ€ฆ
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