Trenches Hunter 🥷 On-chain insight, risk checks & crypto news that matters. DYOR, protect your downside. Youkie #796 Ado Protocol
Moon
Joined September 2017
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Traders now fully price a Fed rate hike for Dec 9, and Waller says he'd back it even if October inflation cooled. BTC is stuck near $74K with CPI out today. Hard to see bitcoin rip while the Fed tightens into it. Are you hedging or buying the fear?
🤖 Made with AI
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NYSE just picked Avalanche to settle trades on its planned 24/7 tokenized securities platform. AVAX up 5% in a day, futures open interest up 13%. Wall Street is choosing chains now, not just coins. Is AVAX the sleeper play of this cycle or just a headline pump?
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BlackRock's IBIT just logged its 7th straight day of outflows, $1.66B gone since Oct 30. Spot BTC ETFs are now net negative for 2026, after $25B of inflows by this point last year. Is Wall Street quietly walking away, or is this the shakeout before the bid returns?
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MARA just sold 13,597 BTC, 40% of its stack, in six weeks to pay off debt and fund AI data centers. Same week Saylor buys another 1,036. One side is cashing out, the other keeps stacking. Who's reading this market right?
🤖 Made with AI
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One ETH long on Binance got wiped for $48.16M at $2,095 in a single minute. Over $1B in longs liquidated across crypto. Leverage isn't conviction, it's a countdown. Would you still be long ETH here or waiting lower?
🤖 Made with AI
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GN everyone. I'm sorry I disappeared for a week. I had some medical issues, but I'm back now and I missed every one of you.
Thank you for sticking around. Back to work tomorrow. Sleep well.
What did I miss this week?
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North Carolina just flipped blue and the Senate is suddenly in play. A split Washington means gridlock, and markets usually love gridlock.
Is BTC about to rip on a checked Congress, or are you bracing for chaos?
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5 red weekly candles in a row loading. $87k to $76.5k.
Only two streaks in history ran longer. Every one of them ended. GN trenches.
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Election night. Results drop in a few hours.
Where's BTC by Thursday?
A) Pump: uncertainty gone, risk-on
B) Dump: sell the news
C) Chop until the count is final
Pick one and tell me why 👇
SOL is the weakest major this week.
Record ~$71M weekly spot ETF outflow + validators told to patch a critical Linux bug (CVE-2026-98432).
Meanwhile finality is ~150ms after Alpenglow.
Buy the fear or wait it out? 👇
$SOL
NFA / DYOR
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SEC's Regulation Crypto Assets comment window closed today.
Circle wants the 2% broker-dealer haircut on compliant stablecoins cut to zero. Hyperliquid wants a safe harbor that actually works.
The rulebook is being written right now. Quietly.
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Core just hard forked to claw back 68M stolen CORE, ~70% of the Oct 31 hack. No rollback, no new mint, just moved them out of the attacker's addresses.
Users happy. Decentralization purists not so much.
Would you want your chain to do this?
NFA / DYOR
Bitcoin options are pricing an election premium. Short-dated IV jumped from 43.5% to 51% in a day.
The market doesn't know who wins. It just knows somebody's getting wrecked tonight.
BINANCE HACK SCOREBOARD 🚨
Frozen or seized: ~$2.85B (44%)
Still in hacker-linked wallets: ~$3.24B, mostly BTC and ETH
12,000 wallets. 11 chains. A new wallet every 25 seconds. (Elliptic)
One side: 44% frozen is a record win for crypto security.
Other side: $3B+ of BTC and ETH is a sell overhang waiting to hit.
Win or ticking bomb?
NFA / DYOR
IBIT just bled $405M in a day, its worst since June. Binance users pulled a net $4.72B since reopening.
Smart money isn't panicking. It's relocating. Watch where it lands.
Beastz1lla retweeted
💥BREAKING:
JOLTs Job Openings: 7.523M vs 7.15M expected.
Labor demand is strong.
50 public companies just said NO to having their stock tokenized on OKX x ICE.
Nvidia. Microsoft. JPMorgan. Walmart.
The first 30-day opt-out window closes today.
24/7 onchain stocks = the future, or Wall St guarding its turf?
Who wins this one? 👇
NFA / DYOR
Prediction markets now price ~80% odds of a Democrat sweep of Congress.
What that actually means for markets and policy:
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1) Agenda freezes — gridlock for ~2 years
2) Investigations return — subpoenas, hearings, crypto + tariff probes
3) Impeachment possible in the House — removal still needs 2/3 Senate
4) Spending fights + debt ceiling brinkmanship
5) Higher shutdown risk when funding bills stall
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6) Iran war leverage = funding, not a veto-proof war powers vote
7) Crypto stalls — Warren on Banking, CLARITY tougher / maybe 2yr delay. BTC commodity status least contested
8) Stocks may surprise: JPM says weakest short-term… but since 1954, R-president + D-Congress = S&P higher 12mo later in all 7 cases, avg +15.5%
Blue wave ≠guaranteed selloff. It means political friction priced into every tape.
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