₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
$BTC:
Binance needs to replace the missing assets. Whatever cannot be restored through recoveries or existing company holdings needs to be BOUGHT BACK. The exact purchase amounts have not been announced.
The estimated impact is $6.3 BILLION, with approximately $3 BILLION already frozen. The Frozen Funds will be Re-Minted and sent back to Binance while the Frozen funds will remain frozen forever. The full $6.3 billion represents 3.91% of all Binance holdings, once Tether/ Circle re-issue the frozen $3 billion, the remaining hacked amount falls to $3.3 BILLION, or 2.05% of total Binance assets. So in case nothing gets additionally frozen in the next days, simply translates into: Binance is forced to re-purchase $3.3 BILLION of stolen assets and that includes a big amount of Bitcoin. And in another way of translation this would mean, the Hacker holds $3.3 Billion worth of BTC and he won’t sell it as Hackers prefer BTC, and on top Binance needs to purchase Crypto and BTC worth $3.3 Billion. So overall, and mathematically correct this hack brings an inflow of $3.3 bn. This is why hacks are less harmful than liquidations such as FTX.
Let the bears celebrate the panic. I remain VERY bullish. In my view, the bull market continues, my longs from $80,400 and my spot holdings from $60,000 remain open, and this hack does NOT shake me out. I entered this market prepared for volatility. Let the bears celebrate today’s drop.
Yesterday Bitcoin was $2,000 above my long entry. Today, it is $2,000 below it. And I haven’t made a big deal out of it, ignore the volatile fluctuation and I’m trusting @cz_binance for 100%. The bull market needs to continue and I feel sorry for everyone who is capitulating based on this FUD.
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
The attacker is dumping every alt for ETH.
PEPE, LINK, ENA, AAVE. Millions at a time.
18,270 BTC still just sits there. $1.44B across 19 wallets.
Even they won't touch the Bitcoin.
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
So Binance-linked MMs have allegedly been trying to break Bitcoin below 80k for over a week now.
And they haven’t managed to push it down significantly.
Why?
Because massive whales have been accumulating billions worth of $BTC throughout this entire period.
Now here’s where things get very interesting.
I believe the last straw for Binance was $HYPE suddenly attracting legitimate institutional interest and attention.
We’re talking about a roughly $4B increase in market cap within just 16 hours, starting from around $20B.
Do the maths.
20B + 20% in a single day.
And all of this while Bitcoin refused to break down significantly.
So in my view, Binance had two problems on its hands.
Bitcoin refusing to break below 80k.
And HYPE suddenly attracting dangerous amounts of attention.
What followed?
A swift market rug under the cover of an alleged hack. To cuck momentum.
And this is where things get even stranger.
A hack that was very conveniently contained by USDC and Tether.
Maybe a tad TOO quickly for my taste.
I’ve witnessed countless hacks in this space since 2018, and something about this one feels extremely odd.
It’s not how North Korean hackers usually operate either.
They typically manage to move a significant chunk of the stolen funds before anyone can intervene.
Yet this time, almost the entire $2B was reportedly frozen within a remarkably short period.
Interesting, isn’t it?
Given the reach of international law enforcement, I struggle to imagine many actors capable of pulling off something of this scale and escaping the consequences, apart from groups operating beyond that reach, such as Lazarus.
And if you think the official narrative automatically tells the whole story, that’s on you.
In my opinion, Binance is doing more harm to this industry than good.
And I believe much of that harm is deliberate.
First 10/10.
Now this.
Market manipulation at its finest, if my suspicions are correct.
SHUT YOUR MOTHERF*CKING EXCHANGE DOWN AND REMOVE YOUR CLAWS FROM THIS SPACE.
I’m counting the days until the Trump administration is gone, because I believe the scrutiny surrounding these players will intensify significantly.
And if wrongdoing is established, those responsible should face the consequences.
Stay safe out there.
Sincerely yours,
Skully
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
🚨 INSIGHT: After every major crypto hack, $BTC has gone on to new highs
Mt. Gox (2014): $BTC roughly halved. It hit $19.7k by 2017, nearly 100x off its post-collapse low.
Bitfinex (2016): $BTC fell ~20%. It was back above pre-hack levels within 3 months and hit new all-time highs in 2017.
Coincheck (2018): The hack hit during the 2018 bear market. $BTC climbed from its $3.1k bottom to $29k by the end of 2020, then reached $69k in 2021.
Binance (2019): $BTC dipped ~4%. It rallied ~136% in just 7 weeks.
FTX (2022): $BTC fell ~22% in a week to ~$15.5k. It was up ~134% a year later and hit a new ATH of $73.7k by March 2024, ~375% off the low.
Bybit (2025): The largest hack on record at the time. $BTC dipped ~5%, hit a new ATH exactly 3 months later and went on to $126k, ~70% above its 2025 low.
Binance (2026): $BTC is down ~3% so far, Binance says user funds are SAFU, and ~$2.4B of the stolen funds is already frozen.
Not financial advice, and past performance doesn’t guarantee future results. But the pattern speaks for itself.
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
CardoneCapital acquired another 15 BTC at $78,494. I am still waiting for All in Podcast @jason to accept my bet. 🤔
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
TIME TO PUT UP OR SHUT UP.
I've instructed AI to write a Solidity smart contract to settle the $1 MILLION Bitcoin bet between Grant Cardone and Jason.
No more talk. No more excuses.
Here's the deal:
Grant and Jason each deposit $1M USDC into an Ethereum smart contract.
Chainlink verifies Bitcoin's price.
If BTC breaks $126,210.50 before October 28, 2028, Grant collects the entire $2 MILLION.
Otherwise, Jason takes it all after the deadline and proof window.
No lawyers. No escrow agents. No backing out when the bet goes against you.
The money is locked. The rules are fixed. The winner gets paid.
The prototype needs testing and a security audit before deployment.
@GrantCardone is ready to bet on Bitcoin.
@Jason, are you willing to put $1 MILLION behind your prediction, or was it all just talk?
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
“When will the war in Iran end? Whenever I want it to end." So much for the legal fiction that it isn’t a war.
U.S. law and the Constitution prohibit the Executive branch from fighting a war that isn’t declared or authorized by Congress.
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
🔥BREAKING: Real-estate mogul @GrantCardone challenges @Jason Calacanis over his statement, "Bitcoin will never break all-time high again."
Cardone says he will bet Jason $1,000,000 that $BTC breaks ATH of $126,210.50 on or before Oct. 28, 2028.
"I’m happy to trust you to pay or if you prefer we can each escrow the dollars with independent party." - Cardone
Talk about betting with conviction 🚀
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
JUST IN: 🇹🇭 Thailand's Supreme Court officially recognizes Bitcoin as legal property.
Supply Side of the Equation:
Current (2024–2028)
Per Block Daily Annually
3.125 450 BTC 164,250 BTC
After 2028 halving
1.5625 225 BTC 82,125 BTC
After 2032 halving
0.78125 112.5 BTC 41,063 BTC
At an illustrative Bitcoin price of $100,000, that’s approximately:
Today: $45 million in new supply per day.
After 2028: $22.5 million per day.
After 2032: $11.25 million per day.
Couple this with Metcalfs Law on the Numerator side and Price moves UP!
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
Bitcoin will never break its all-time high again." — Jason Calacanis
Jason, I'll bet you $1,000,000 it will break its ATH. Here are the terms:
Bitcoin hits or exceeds $126,210.50 on or before October 28, 2028, 12PM PST
I’m happy to trust you to pay or if you prefer we can each escrow the dollars with independent party.
The bet is either settled when Bitcoin hits the ATH or on October 28, 2028.
@jason Do we have a bet?
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
Saying there’s no reason to buy Bitcoin because anyone can create a cryptocurrency is like saying there’s no reason to learn English because anyone can invent a language.
Good
THE CEASEFIRE HAS COMMENCED
The ceasefire between Ukraine and Russia took effect at 4:00am Moscow time on October 27, 2026.
Timing was accelerated two days ahead of schedule to protect the safety of civilians and to facilitate the delivery of critical humanitarian aid. The ceasefire’s geographic area has expanded beyond Oleshky, within the Kherson Region, to provide safe passage for the humanitarian convoys.
General Valery Gerasimov, Joint Chief of the General Staff of the Russian Armed Forces has confirmed.
This Monte Carlo simulation was inspired by @sminston_with's idea.
It's an empirical method where we let the price chart run forward with a random number generator that produces moves according to BTC's historical market.
What I changed:
- added an understanding of where it is in the cyclic market structure
- uses BTC's real probability distribution reconstructed from historical record instead of fitting it to a known ideal distribution
- used 2018 bottom to 2022 bottom as input data, deliberately throwing out earlier price data (which was BTC's primordial era where 100x was easy). This encapsulates better modern day BTC markets with derivatives, ETFs and resulting fast move liquidations
I kept the power law scaling of the future path to account for diminishing returns of each cycle (work pioneered by @Giovann35084111).
Note I highlighted the 28th percentile because that path matches BTC's pattern of the next bottom bouncing off the last top.
nitter.cf/sminston_with/status/2…
My good friend Monte Carlo and I ran Bitcoin out to 2034. 5,000 times 🎲
Not one run ended below today's $80K.
The median finish: $1.48M 🚀
- - -
Each line on the chart is one run, and the pink curve on the right shows the final distribution in 2034. Even the bottom 5% finish around $464K, almost 6x from here.
He's very optimistic, and honestly so am I 😄
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
JUST IN: SWISS HEDGE FUND MANAGER RICHARD BYWORTH JUST SAID THE US IS SECRETLY BUYING MORE #BITCOIN FOR ITS RESERVE
"SCOTT BESSENT IS A HEDGE FUND MANAGER"
"HE'S NOT TELLING ANYONE UNTIL HE'S FINISHED BUYING"
AMERICA BUYING BTC
BULLISH 🚀
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
These two mice are the exact same age, the human equivalent of 85.
The mouse on the right was given an antibody blocking a single inflammatory protein (IL-11) starting in late middle age.
Starting treatment at human-equivalent age 55:
- Extended median lifespan by 25% in both males and females
- Prevented grey hair, frailty, and muscle wasting
- Cut late-life cancer deaths in half
Three anti IL-11 antibodies (that might extend human lifespan) are already in human clinical trials right now.
₿odhi Lager 🤙 ∞/21 retweeted
My good friend Monte Carlo and I ran Bitcoin out to 2034. 5,000 times 🎲
Not one run ended below today's $80K.
The median finish: $1.48M 🚀
- - -
Each line on the chart is one run, and the pink curve on the right shows the final distribution in 2034. Even the bottom 5% finish around $464K, almost 6x from here.
He's very optimistic, and honestly so am I 😄

























