@TheLege2

Former credit trader, now Family Office. Austrian School. Here for the humor and the odd nugget. Opinions are mine.

Joined November 2021
“But one also finds in the human heart a depraved taste for equality which impels the weak to want to bring the strong down to their level and which reduces men to preferring equality in servitude to inequality in freedom.” Alexis de Tocqueville
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The battle against the Digital Duty of Care Bill is a battle for free speech. All Australians have skin in the game.
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A diesel export ban won’t help fix rising fuel prices. Here’s why. 👇🧵
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TheLege retweeted
Between 1837 and 1863, the United States ran no central bank, and prices barely moved. This is no coincidence. After Andrew Jackson killed the Second Bank of the United States in 1836, America entered what historians call the Free Banking Era. Banks operated under state charters, competed with each other, and issued their own paper notes backed by gold and silver. No Federal Reserve. No lender of last resort handing out cheap money to well-connected institutions. The result? Average annual inflation sat somewhere around zero. Some years actually saw mild deflation, meaning your dollar bought more over time. Imagine telling that to someone who watched their grocery bill climb 20% between 2020 and 2023. Free market thinkers have pointed to this period for decades because it demonstrates a fundamental mechanism: competition keeps banks honest. If a bank in Ohio issued more paper notes than its gold reserves could support, people caught on fast and demanded redemption. The bank either held enough gold or it failed. There was no bailout waiting. Yes, banks did fail sometimes. Free banking critics love bringing that up. But bank failures in a competitive system are exactly how bad actors get flushed out. Depositors learned to check a bank's reputation. Publications like the *Bank Note Reporter* gave people real information on which institutions were solid. The system wasn't perfect, but it produced something modern central banking has never once delivered: sustained price stability without a government committee deciding what money should cost. The Fed has existed since 1913, and the dollar has lost over 97% of its purchasing power since then.
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TheLege retweeted
Nero debased the Roman currency in 64 AD and lit the fuse on an inflation that burned for two centuries. He reduced the silver content of the denarius from roughly 90% to 75%, and shaved gold coins down in weight simultaneously. The state needed money to rebuild Rome after the fire, fund military campaigns, and finance imperial vanity projects. Minting debased coin was faster than taxation, and it transferred the cost to every Roman holding savings. Prices rose. Merchants adapted. Roman price edicts from later emperors confirm what market actors already figured out: more coins chasing the same goods means each coin buys less(something children are able to grasp, but your local government econoists still denies). You held denarii; the imperial treasury held real goods purchased with freshly debased metal. By the third century, emperors like Gallienus pushed silver content below 5%. Diocletian then issued the Edict on Maximum Prices in 301 AD, threatening death for merchants who charged above his approved rates. Merchants simply stopped selling. Price controls attack the symptom while the debasement continues, producing scarcity as a result. Every move the Roman state made, modern governments copy: outspend revenue, conjure money from nothing, dismiss the fallout, then prosecute anyone who prices accordingly. Inflation is taxation by deception. Rome is but one case in a long historical pattern, running across three thousand years. Only one thing has changed: how fast the currency gets destroyed.
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TheLege retweeted
Every government-issued paper currency in history has collapsed. Every single one. Rome debased the denarius until it held almost no silver. Weimar Germany printed the mark into oblivion by 1923, destroying middle-class savings in under four years. The Continental dollar, the French assignat, the Zimbabwean dollar, the Venezuelan bolivar. The list runs long and the ending never changes. Central banks manage fiat currency to fund government spending that tax revenue cannot cover, not to protect your purchasing power. Inflation is a tax. Every dollar created without corresponding production transfers purchasing power from savers to first spenders, which is always the government and its connected institutions. The dollar has lost over 97% of its purchasing power since the Federal Reserve opened for business in 1913. That loss did not happen accidentally; the Fed ran the printing press, and you absorbed the damage. Defenders will argue that modern central banking is more sophisticated than Weimar. The math remains identical: spend beyond revenue, monetize the gap, dilute the currency. Sophistication only determines the speed of the destruction. No fiat currency has ever survived indefinitely. Not one government has voluntarily relinquished the power to inflate. Given those two facts, the current dollar's long-term trajectory requires no guesswork.
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The one sector governments left mostly alone delivered forty years of continuous price collapse and it destroyed the central planners' core argument in the process. A transistor that cost $7.50 in 1961 costs less than a millionth of a cent today. Your 2026 smartphone carries more computing power than a 1990 Cray supercomputer that cost $30 million. Storage, bandwidth, processing speed: every metric deflated while quality exploded. This is what markets do when the state steps back. Compare that to healthcare, education, and housing, three sectors drowning in subsidies, licensing regimes, and regulatory capture. Prices in all three outpaced inflation every decade since 1980. Government intervention reprices risk, blocks competition, and rewards incumbents for lobbying instead of innovating. The Federal Reserve spent those same forty years printing money and insisting deflation was catastrophic. Falling prices drive demand, not panic. Intel, Apple, and AMD competed ferociously, drove costs down, and generated trillions in real wealth. Nobody waited to buy a computer because prices might fall next year. Mises identified capital allocation as the economy's core problem: who decides where resources go? Entrepreneurs decided in tech, taking losses when wrong and profits when right. Bureaucrats decided in healthcare and education, socializing losses and mandating consumption. You live with the consequences of that distinction every single day, every time you renew your health insurance and watch the premium climb while your phone bill drops.
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“I never quite bought all the hype on Green Hydrogen!” - Chris Bowen, 2026….. Don’t tell me…..you’ve changed your position right? LIEBOR HATES AUSTRALIA AND AUSTRALIANS….. #FireTheLiar #PuntTheCunts
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TheLege retweeted
Rome fell in 410 AD not to Gothic swords but to five centuries of imperial fiscal rot that left nothing worth defending. Alaric's Visigoths walked through a city that had already hollowed itself out. The Roman state had spent generations debasing its currency, the denarius dropping from roughly 85% silver under Nero to under 5% by the mid-third century. Every emperor who shaved the coins was taxing citizens without asking. Prices rose, trade contracted, market's signals went dark. Diocletian responded to his own inflation with the Edict on Maximum Prices in 301 AD, threatening death for merchants who sold above state-set ceilings. Merchants stopped selling. Goods vanished. The state that caused the shortage then prosecuted people for the shortage. Capital fled the cities. Wealthy Romans retreated to self-sufficient rural estates, the precursor to medieval serfdom. The division of labor, that engine of civilization, collapsed ward by ward. Roman infrastructure required tax revenue; tax revenue required a productive economy; a productive economy requires sound money and secure property rights. The empire severed all three simultaneously. By 410, Rome's population had fallen from perhaps one million to a fraction of that. The army hired Gothic foederati because Roman citizens had nothing left worth fighting for, and the treasury had nothing left to pay them with. Alaric didn't defeat a thriving empire; he merely knocked over a corpse.
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TheLege retweeted
Jamestown nearly starved itself to death through a spreadsheet decision made in London. The Virginia Company established the colony in 1607 as a joint-stock venture, but crucially mandated that all food, land, and production flow into a common store, distributed equally regardless of individual contribution. Then, the predictable result: by the winter of 1609-1610, roughly 500 colonists shrank to 60 survivors eating rats, leather, and each other. Collectivized production destroys the price signal that tells producers what to make and how hard to work. Every bushel of corn John Smith grew belonged equally to the man who slept through harvest. This structured incentive to produce nothing masquerades as generosity. Governor Thomas Dale fixed this in 1614. He allocated private plots. Output increased dramatically, immediately. Colonists who owned their yield guarded it, cultivated it, and traded it. Property rights attached effort to reward. The famine ended. The Virginia Company's London directors could not know local conditions, soil quality, individual skill, or daily weather. No central administrator ever can. That knowledge lives dispersed across thousands of actors, readable only through prices and ownership. Strip those mechanisms and you get Jamestown's "starving time," every time, without exception, across every continent and every century that has tried the experiment since.
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My speech at Reform Fringe. Thanks to Net Zero, Britain has the highest industrial electricity prices in the developed world. Domestic prices are also increasing the cost of living. How do we unravel net zero and cut £30bn/yr from electricity system costs. A thread 🧵(1/12)
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Things that are dragging down the country according to Burnham Thatcher Brexit Bond markets Things that are actually dragging down the country Highest personal tax in history Largest welfare state bill in history Largest civil service headcount in history Highest energy prices in history Highest government debt in history Britain’s biggest problem is too much Government. And their answer to everything… is MORE government
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The Jones Act of 1920 is a masterclass in how protectionism destroys the thing it claims to protect. Congress passed the Merchant Marine Act to ensure American dominance in domestic shipping. The mechanism: any cargo moving between two U.S. ports must travel on ships that are American-built, American-owned, American-flagged, and crewed by American citizens. Sounds patriotic. The numbers tell a different story. In 1960, the U.S. merchant fleet carried roughly 25% of American waterborne trade. Today that figure sits below 2%. The Jones Act fleet has shrunk to around 100 oceangoing vessels. South Korea and Japan each operate thousands. You protect an industry by mandating it has no competition, and somehow it still collapses. The irony is almost impressive. The cost structure the law creates is grotesque. A Jones Act-compliant ship costs three to five times more to build in American shipyards than the same vessel built in South Korea. Operating costs run double. Puerto Rico, entirely dependent on sea freight, pays dramatically inflated prices for basic goods because every container must arrive on a compliant American ship rather than a cheaper foreign carrier that already passes nearby. After Hurricane Maria devastated Puerto Rico in September 2017, the Trump administration waived the Jones Act for ten days. Then reimposed it, because the domestic shipping lobby spends heavily on Congress. Protecting producers from competition destroys value for consumers and ultimately the producers themselves. Insulated from competitive pressure, American shipyards never modernized. Sailors never became more productive. The fleet rotted while the lobby cashed checks. Congress built a wall around American shipping and the industry died inside the wall.
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TheLege retweeted
Every time a government raises taxes beyond what the productive class tolerates, the market gives its verdict: capital leaves. Ireland cut its corporate rate to 12.5% in 2003, and multinationals flooded in. Apple, Google, and Pfizer restructured their European operations around Dublin not because they liked the weather, but because the math was undeniable. By 2015, Ireland recorded GDP growth of 26% in a single year, driven substantially by relocated corporate assets and intellectual property. Meanwhile, France raised its top income tax rate to 75% under Hollande in 2013. Gerard Depardieu famously moved to Russia. Eduardo Saverin renounced U.S. citizenship before Facebook's 2012 IPO. Capital flows in response to cost signals. When the cost of staying exceeds the cost of leaving, people leave. Businesses leave. Capital leaves. You see governments respond to this with fury rather than reflection. The EU pressures low-tax member states. The OECD's 2021 global minimum tax agreement, now partially implemented across 140 countries as of 2026, exists specifically to eliminate the competitive pressure that forces governments to restrain themselves. It functions as a cartel agreement among states to prevent you from shopping for better governance. Free market thinkers have explained since Mises that taxation is not a neutral transaction. Every tax above the minimum necessary for basic order distorts production, reshapes investment decisions, and transfers resources from those who created them to those who control the political apparatus. Tax havens expose this directly. They force governments to compete rather than collude. That competition disciplines the worst extractive impulses of the state, which is precisely why powerful states want it destroyed.
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The letter in today’s Times as it appeared in print.
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TheLege retweeted
Socialism should be classified as a religion, not an economic system, because it behaves exactly like one and fails by the same standards every time you test it as science. It runs on faith over evidence. A century of famine, gulags, and collapsed economies from the Soviet Union to Venezuela never shakes a true believer. Each failure gets the same answer religions give when prophecy fails: it wasn’t real socialism, it wasn’t done right, next time will be different. That is not a hypothesis responding to data. It has its own eschatology. Marx promised a final state of history where class conflict dissolves and abundance arrives, a secular version of the same promised land every millenarian religion has preached. It has martyrs, sacred texts, heresies, and true believers who treat Das Kapital the way others treat scripture, quoting chapter and verse to settle arguments rather than checking the passage against reality. None of that is a reason to ban it. Religious freedom means people get to organize their private lives around whatever creed they choose, including this one. A commune of adults who voluntarily pool everything, share labor, and reject private property among themselves is doing exactly what monasteries have done for a thousand years. Let them. Nobody is harmed when consenting adults live out their faith on their own dime. The line should sit exactly where it sits for every other religion: you can practice it, you cannot impose it. A Christian cannot force you to tithe. A socialist should have no more power to force you into collectivized property than a Mormon has to force you into his church. Voluntary socialism among believers is a lifestyle. Socialism imposed by the state on people who never converted cannot be classified as economics, but rather a forced conversion(with a tax code attached). A religious crime against humanity.
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Britain restored the gold standard in 1821, pegging sterling at £3 17s 10½d per troy ounce, and the following decades gave you one of the most instructive experiments in monetary history: falling prices coexisting with explosive real growth. Prices fell. Roughly 50% between 1820 and 1850 by some price indices. The textile mills of Manchester kept expanding. Railway track mileage in Britain jumped from virtually zero in 1820 to over 6,000 miles by 1850. Real wages climbed. The orthodox panic about deflation, the kind you still hear from central bankers today, would have predicted stagnation. Instead you got the industrial revolution, accelerating. The mechanism is simple once you strip away the Keynesian fog. Deflation under a gold standard reflects genuine productivity gains: producers squeeze more output from the same inputs, and prices fall because goods become cheaper to make. This is healthy deflation, not demand collapse. The cotton spinners of Lancashire caused falling yarn prices through innovation. Sound money advocates have always stressed this distinction. Falling prices from productivity growth reward savers, keep capital costs honest, and force businesses to earn their profits through efficiency rather than inflating their way to margins. The British experience between 1821 and 1850 is an inconvenient data point that modern central bankers quietly ignore: a hard currency, shrinking prices, and the fastest sustained economic expansion the world had yet seen. Simultaneously.
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Venice built the greatest commercial empire in European history without a central bank, without industrial policy, and without a single economic development agency. While Byzantine bureaucrats strangled Constantinople with regulations and Frankish kings debased their currencies, Venetian merchants created wealth through voluntary exchange and sound money. The lagoon dwellers who fled Attila's hordes in 452 AD had nothing but salt marshes and fish. No natural resources. No agricultural surplus. No inherited infrastructure. What they possessed was something far more valuable: distance from the coercive apparatus of mainland states. This geographic accident forced them to survive through trade rather than taxation, commerce rather than conquest. Venice's constitution deliberately fragmented power to prevent any single authority from controlling trade. The Doge held ceremonial functions while competing merchant families checked each other's ambitions. No guild could monopolize an industry without rivals organizing alternative trading networks. When the state tried to restrict private commerce in 1297 with the Serrata del Maggior Consiglio, it marked the beginning of Venice's decline, not its peak. The Venetian ducat maintained its gold content for over 500 years while every other European currency suffered debasement. Merchants could calculate profits across decades, plan investments across generations, and accumulate capital without worrying about monetary manipulation. Compare this to England, where Henry VIII cut silver content by 83% in just 20 years. Voluntary association and sound money create abundance. Coercion creates poverty. Venice proved this. The same economic laws that enriched Venetian merchants still operate today, waiting for governments brave enough to get out of the way.
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TheLege retweeted
Rome handed out free grain to 40,000 citizens in 73 BC. By 46 BC, Julius Caesar found 320,000 people lining up for their monthly ration. That eight-fold expansion happened in under three decades, and it shows you how welfare states actually grow. No Roman senator stood up and announced a plan to addict a third of the city to government bread. It happened incrementally, through political competition. Each magistrate who wanted votes expanded eligibility. Each expansion normalized the next one. The citizen who once considered the dole shameful eventually expected it, then demanded it, then organized politically to protect it. This is the core mechanism free market thinkers have identified across every era: once you create a transfer program, you create a constituency for that program. Recipients vote. Administrators build careers. Grain merchants who supply the state develop a stake in keeping the contracts flowing. The political economy locks in. Caesar, to his credit, actually cut the rolls back to 150,000 through verification audits. It was one of his more economically coherent moves, though the Senate still murdered him. His successors quietly let the numbers climb again. What did the dole require? Massive grain imports from Sicily, Sardinia, and Egypt, organized through state logistics at state expense, funded by taxation and conquest. When the conquest revenue dried up, the obligation remained. Rome had written a check against future military success, and future military success eventually failed to arrive. The lesson is not complicated. Distribute a benefit and you distribute dependency. Distribute dependency and you distribute political power to whoever controls the distribution. The grain dole didn't weaken Rome overnight, but it made every subsequent reform politically impossible.
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