Daniel Gardner retweeted
Feeling the AGI/ASI, few observations
1. Opus 5.5 really gives strong vibes of AGI (maybe not fully there, but we're very close, like 80%-90%).
For example, few breakthoughs in training humanoids are needed. We need to move this intelligence into physical world.
2. I don't think Anthropic has discovered any magical formula.
3. Which means, SpaceXAI, Google, and others will soon follow. This prediction is based on the amount of compute they already have + additional compute being added all the time.
4. Never was more confident that Anthropic, SpaceXAI, Google, OpenAI, likely Meta, basically all big US AGI labs will have proper AGI in 2027.
5. And from there we'll move quickly to ASI territory (likely also in 2027).
It looks like few GW of compute are enough for strong AGI, now imagine what we will able to do with 10-20GW of compute which are rapidly coming online.
And then with 100GW-200GW...
2027 will be an utterly insane year.
Daniel Gardner retweeted
I don't think we get to GPT-7 without either a plateau in the technology or something fairly seismic happening. "Seismic" includes many subcategories, not all of them bad. But the present course of rapid AI advancements while society is ~basically the same is running on fumes.
Currently switching between asking grok for home building expertise and copying pictures off 30 year old floppy disks on my 2015 MacBook
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Daniel Gardner retweeted
Our internal data shows Claude is accelerating AI development—a possible path to recursive self-improvement, or AI autonomously building a more capable successor.
It’s happening faster than we thought, and the implications deserve greater attention. anthropic.com/institute/recu…
Daniel Gardner retweeted
In December,
I gave you this
2027 is your bubble pop event
Enjoy the blowoff top between now
and November
Prepare for the worst,
and don’t get greedy
Living forever or for a long ass time seems like not so far away but so hard to grasp nobody is really talking about it
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Daniel Gardner retweeted
Introducing Project Glasswing: an urgent initiative to help secure the world’s most critical software.
It’s powered by our newest frontier model, Claude Mythos Preview, which can find software vulnerabilities better than all but the most skilled humans.
anthropic.com/glasswing
Daniel Gardner retweeted
It takes everyone a different amount of time to realize everyone is just thinking about themselves, no one was watching, and you should’ve just done whatever the fuck you wanted to all along.
Fuck is the most ironic outcome actually the one where the guy trying understand the universe and extend the scope and scale of humanity out into the stars the turns out to be the guy who accidentally ruins humanity? @elonmusk
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