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VICO

@VICOForecast

VICO's AI model forecasts political, geopolitical, and economic events. Try out the model: https://nitter.cf/t.co/wIF1MgjnyO Newsletter: https://nitter.cf/t.co/nM1xaKHPPk

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Joined January 2026
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For weekly forecasts on the biggest stories, subscribe to our free Future Monitor newsletter. news.vico.io/newsletter

VICO News — Future Monitor

An editorial record of the events, signals, and forecasts shaping what comes next.

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We called the Fed's rate hike in September and the hold in October. Now, the VICO model gives its read on December: news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
We Called It: Fed Holds Rates

We Called It: Fed Holds Rates

The VICO model put the odds of an October hike at just 15%. Now, it’s calling a December hike at 82%.

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We didn't call it, but were better than prediction markets on the Brazilian election. Here's why it matters: news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
Lula’s Win: We Got It Wrong, but Less Wrong Than Prediction Markets, and Why That Matters

Lula’s Win: We Got It Wrong, but Less Wrong Than Prediction Markets, and Why That Matters

The VICO model favored Bolsonaro on election day and missed the call, but it put Lula about 13 points above prediction markets from start to finish, a gap that was worth real money.

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Our CEO @anthonyjvinci with @sunnyray on how the VICO model called the strikes in Iran weeks in advance.
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For more on where the VICO model is today on Iran, take a look at our latest Iran story: news.vico.io/go/rheqbys
Trump Is Likelier to Hit Iran Again Than to Cut a Deal, and It’s Costing Republicans

Trump Is Likelier to Hit Iran Again Than to Cut a Deal, and It’s Costing Republicans

The model sees a 70% chance of major new US strikes on Iran’s nuclear sites before year-end and just a 1% chance of a ceasefire deal in the next month, as the grinding standoff drags the GOP down in...

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The VICO model expects more philanthropy from AI firms in the near future: news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
More AI Philanthropy on the Way from Big Tech

More AI Philanthropy on the Way from Big Tech

The model sees a wave of AI wealth-sharing ahead: 70% that Anthropic’s fund pays out and 58% that a rival follows, but just 12% that Musk’s every-kid SpaceX pledge lands.

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The VICO model called the first Iran strikes weeks in advance. Our co-founder and CEO @anthonyjvinci breaks it down with @sunnyray, plus what's coming next.
Sunny Ray (@sunnyray) profile pictureSunny Ray
@sunnyrayOct 21
The AI That Saw the Iran Strikes Coming · Anthony Vinci, Vico nitter.cf/i/broadcasts/1XGygwdnm…
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Sunny Ray

The AI That Saw the Iran Strikes Coming · Anthony Vinci, Vico

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To see more on what the model is calling check out VICO News: news.vico.io

VICO News — Future Monitor

An editorial record of the events, signals, and forecasts shaping what comes next.

news.vico.io
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Our Newsletter today is on French Protests, Trump's waiver of Russian sanctions, the midterms and more. Take a look here: news.vico.io/newsletter

VICO News — Future Monitor

An editorial record of the events, signals, and forecasts shaping what comes next.

news.vico.io
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The VICO model has Le Pen as the favorite in France's upcoming elections, and sees no end to the worsening fiscal crisis. news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
French Riots Continue, but No Debt Solution in Sight

French Riots Continue, but No Debt Solution in Sight

The model gives the Lecornu government a 62% chance of falling this year and a Le Pen presidency even odds, as a deepening debt crisis pushes France toward a credit downgrade.

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Why the VICO model is high on Collins to win the Maine Senate race, and what could change that before election day: news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
The VICO Model Has Collins as the Favorite in the Maine Senate Race

The VICO Model Has Collins as the Favorite in the Maine Senate Race

The model gives Democrat Troy Jackson a 43% shot at unseating Susan Collins. We explore why the VICO model is higher on Collins than prediction markets.

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The VICO model sees more nuclear deals coming in the future for big tech: news.vico.io/story/s-draft-1…
More Nuclear Deals to Come for Big Tech

More Nuclear Deals to Come for Big Tech

The model sees US tech-nuclear deals topping 15 gigawatts by 2027 at 82%, yet gives just a 2% chance any small modular reactor powers a data center before 2030.

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“This sounds like science fiction, but we already see it in one industry.” — @anthonyjvinci @VICOForecast @CNASdc What happens when #AI performs intelligence on AI? #Intelligence #NationalSecurity
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How can #AI turn intelligence into action? @anthonyjvinci examines #CovertInfluence and its implications for #NationalSecurity. Watch the full conversation: youtube.com/watch?v=SjkopMH_…
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Riyadh opposed Cairo's inclusion in the Mecca Joint Defence Agreement. The partners state, nevertheless, that it is flexible and open to new membership Kuwait - once shielded by Egypt's military umbrella during the Gulf War - is now reportedly keen to join on its own terms. VICO's AI Model forecasts a 38% probability that at least one additional country joins within the next 365 days.
Middle East Eye (@MiddleEastEye) profile pictureMiddle East Eye
@MiddleEastEyeAug 11
Saudi Arabia opposed Egypt's inclusion in Mecca agreement, sources say The kingdom didn't want Egypt to join the new defence pact with Turkey and Pakistan despite Ankara's push for Cairo to be included, sources say
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In 2022, Kathy Hochul led by 14 points in August and won by six in November. Today she leads Blakeman by 10, down from 20 in June, with independents breaking five points for the Republican. VICO's AI Model nevertheless forecasts an 82% probability that Hochul wins the governorship before November 10.
New York Post (@nypost) profile pictureNew York Post
@nypostAug 12
Bruce Blakeman could unseat Hochul and turn New York red, stunning poll reveals trib.al/QLKiVOI
Image from New York Post (@nypost)
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Saudi Arabia, Pakistan, and Turkey are converging on a mutual defence agreement. New Delhi, in Pakistan's neighborhood, is watching closely. VICO's AI Model, however, forecasts just a 3% probability that India responds with a binding defence pact of its own.
CNN (@CNN) profile pictureCNN
@CNNAug 7
Saudi Arabia, Pakistan and Turkey agree to NATO-style mutual defense pact amid escalating Iran conflict. cnn.it/4fKrhDT
Image from CNN (@CNN)
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US intelligence warns Putin may test NATO's resolve this fall. Is Russia's next move against NATO happening in cyberspace? VICO's AI Model forecasts an 18% probability that Russia conducts a significant cyberattack on NATO critical infrastructure before December 31.
The Telegraph (@Telegraph) profile pictureThe Telegraph
@TelegraphAug 7
Vladimir Putin could attack a Nato country within weeks to test the alliance, US intelligence has warned. Pentagon officials said Russia might try to test Nato’s resolve with a small land incursion or cyber attack at any point between this autumn and 2029, The Wall Street Journal reported. 🔗: telegraph.co.uk/world-news/2…
Image from The Telegraph (@Telegraph)
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Asian markets are feeling the weight of a surge of first-time investors. While KOSPI is tanking, TAIEX remains resilient. VICO's AI Model forecasts an 88% probability that Taiwan's index closes above 40,000 before year-end. Taiwan's tech-driven, dividend-centered market is holding its footing where others haven't.
CNN (@CNN) profile pictureCNN
@CNNAug 6
Across Asia, thousands of first-time investors have recently piled in to stock markets, hoping to cash in on the massive tech boom that boosted indexes in Taiwan, South Korea and Japan to record highs earlier this year. cnn.it/4pWPmum
Image from CNN (@CNN)
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