Willis (@VViIIis) header
Willis (@VViIIis) profile picture

🦍BAYC #5314 | 🍌Banana Best Ball III 👑 @sbsfantasy | VViIIis.eth | 👷Fantasy 🏈 Tools: https://nitter.cf/t.co/YpgVlKNjns & https://nitter.cf/t.co/QDaxzBhyat

Houston, TX
Joined November 2013
Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)Photo by Willis (@VViIIis)
Quite fitting that my biggest fantasy win to date would come in web3. Thanks @SBSFantasy @BorisVagner @RichVagner for creating such an awesome project!
Congrats to @VViIIis for winning Banana Best Ball III and a prize of 8.139 ETH.
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Checking in on @SBSFantasy BBB IV after 8 weeks Highest scoring team is a head scratcher with 3 QB 6 RB 3 WR 2 TE 1 DST, but can't argue with 1st! Feel good with a Top 10 Adv. Rate of users over 50 teams.
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👋 @peteroverzet Would love to discuss the SPY tournaments with you and the community one of these Mondays!
What actually wins single-entry Spys? I pulled 29 main-slate SE Spys from my 2026 history (Weeks 1-7, 55,099 lineups) and compared the 540 that finished top 1% with the whole field. Inspired by @peteroverzet and @CuppsAnalytics streamed Spy study. A thread 🧵
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#IDontWantToOverreactBUT the last time I did this with the Vikings their QB went on to win a Super Bowl with his next team, buuut I’m done with Kyler! Release GTA 6 so mini murray can really lose sight. Bring back Cousins and maybe, just maybe I will see the Vikings win the Super Bowl before I die. @tyschmit
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The proper way to present data if you are building tools you want people to use No need to @ anyone, this is zero sum to begin with
Replying to @VViIIis
Benchmarking: next to eight experienced single-entry players in the same $100 Spys, Longshot cashed the most often (41% vs 11-36%) and had the 2nd-best median finish (ahead of 67% of the field). We build chalkier and closer to projections than they do.
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Quick update on Longshot, the single-entry NFL optimizer I've been building with Claude. The goal: 1st place in three $100 DraftKings Spys every week. Here's how it works, what we played in Week 8, how it stacks up, and the season P&L.
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Season P&L, every contest: 36 entries, $3,975 in fees, $3,555 won, 18 cashed. Net -$420 (-10.6% ROI). The $100 Spys alone are +17%. Up $750 through Week 4, then Week 6 (-$900) and Week 7 (-$300); Week 8 was +$50.
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Next: keep grading the challengers against the plan every Sunday, fold the season study into lineup building, and fix the model's known blind spot on QB + own-RB stacks. Graphics made with Field Report
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Week 8 DraftKings NFL single-entry Spy breakdown: 3 main-slate Spys, 7,221 lineups. What the top 1% played, what sank everyone else, and whether our Weeks 1-7 study held up 🧵
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What flipped: QB $7K+, QB + 3 teammates and QB + own RB. All three are Burrow, who was in 99% of top 1% lineups. One QB swings QB-level traits hard in a week; over 8 weeks QB + own RB is still a fade (x0.70) and the other two are inside noise.
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Takeaway: 1st place ran through Burrow + Chase + Higgins with a Titans bring-back, while the most popular core (Flowers, Stevenson, Broncos) had almost no path there. Graphics made with Field Report
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