AZ native, son of immigrants, ex-Navy PhD Social Psychology – dissertation on envy and antisemitism Data science, media reliability, bias in academic research

Arizona
Joined July 2014
Link to my report on his data fraud: validscience.substack.com/p/…
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Last week, I updated my report on Arday's data fraud with an addendum on his suicide: "Suicide to escape responsibility for one’s actions is a massive moral failure. It's smart, smart, smart to make suicide a sin, as Christian and other faiths have done, or to make honorable suicide require ripping through your guts with a blade and convincing a friend to chop your head off immediately after (seppuku). Suicide should not be valorized. It should not generally make the person more sympathetic, certainly not if they’re villains. That’s a disastrous cultural trend, and it will have devastating results if it grows. Don’t encourage suicide. Don’t make it redemptive or a way to secure victim status. Leftists are converging on a suicide threat culture. It started with their threats that trans-indoctrinated children would kill themselves if they were denied the chemical sterilization and surgical mutilation they were brainwashed into demanding. Now, they’re trying to bar public criticism of academic frauds and villains because they might kill themselves. This is outrageous. Arday was a bad person who tried to harm the innocent and who shattered sacred norms of truthfulness in scholarship and science. The knave called the police on a journalist who politely emailed him about the plagiarism and scientific fraud allegations last year. Being in Britain, this actually worked! The police investigated the journalist for four months before giving up. Arday also called the police on an academic who emailed him about his plagiarism and fraud." ---- The NYT soft-pedaled Arday's corruption: "accusations that he plagiarized portions of his doctoral thesis and embellished his personal narrative" No, he massively plagiarized his dissertation. He also stole data – quotes from purported participants – for at least one published journal article, an article that was supposed to report his own pointless study. And of course siccing the police on people who emailed him about it. And he didn't "embellish" his personal narrative – he fabricated it, from pig's heads to knife-wielding stalkers, to his ridiculous 300/600 mile run stories and daily marathons, brain tumors, assault-induced epilepsy, illiteracy until age 18, severe autism, and on and on. He was an impostor unlike anything we've seen. His "work" was entirely focused on this new leftist ideology of racial navel-gazing, chronic racial rumination and victim-synthesis, and vicious hatred of white people. His public speeches and media appearances revealed him to be a moron with nothing to say, and yet...
It’s all too predictable.
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Replying to @asymmetricinfo
Does it matter? We need a free market for price discovery and to have much lower prices, as well as a less authoritarian and robotic system.
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Replying to @DrunkRepub
Relatedly, this blew me away. nitter.cf/ValidScience/status/21…
Similarly, the Tucson Sci-Fi and Fantasy Writers meetup wants attendees to be vaxxed and boosted. For COVID. For a meeting on October 1 in the year of our Lord 2026. "We prefer that attendees by fully vaccinated unless the individual’s health conditions make this problematic. Booster shots are strongly encouraged." These are deeply confused, disturbed people. I left the group about 90 seconds after joining – a record.
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Replying to @LGConwayIII
He doesn't embody these virtues though, the taking feedback and so forth. When I called out the false and misleading claims he and Knowles had made about firearms laws and longevity, he dismissed me in favor of "real scientists", by which I think he meant himself... I wrote up the false claims here: validscience.substack.com/p/… @BorkNathanial checked my work on his own Substack. Van Bavel came up again with his study trying to trick participants into becoming leftist activists, figuring out what messages work, etc. I wrote that up in my recent report on how invalid most climate consensus research is: validscience.substack.com/p/… To trick participants, Van Bavel had used an invalid consensus estimate that treated a paper on fingerprint solvents as part of the scientific consensus, among many other irrelevant papers using an invalid method.
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Similarly, the Tucson Sci-Fi and Fantasy Writers meetup wants attendees to be vaxxed and boosted. For COVID. For a meeting on October 1 in the year of our Lord 2026. "We prefer that attendees by fully vaccinated unless the individual’s health conditions make this problematic. Booster shots are strongly encouraged." These are deeply confused, disturbed people. I left the group about 90 seconds after joining – a record.
A Massachusetts lesbian bar is dropping its mask mandate for one night a week and is now facing a wave of backlash for the move. Last Ditch Bar in Greenfield made Saturdays mask-optional while struggling to stay afloat financially. Critics of the move are accusing the venue of "ableism," complicity in a "mass disabling event," and putting immunocompromised patrons at risk. One of the owners broke down in tears at a community meeting, saying she's behind on rent and struggling to keep the business alive. The two other owners stepped back from daily operations months ago, including one who had enrolled in clown school and another who is a drag performer using it/its pronouns. Read how the dispute spiraled into chaos: foxnews.com/us/massachusetts…
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Replying to @runthinkwrite
Also, trans-age.
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Replying to @Theo_TJ_Jordan
Not a good time for first contact. We could never let aliens see The View.
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This **recently renewed** NIH grant is dedicated to getting illegals onto Medicaid in California: Understanding Mis- and Disinformation About Health Care Access and Their Impacts on Decision-Making Among Latino Immigrants: reporter.nih.gov/project-det… The "misinformation" they refer to in the title is the belief that illegals DON'T qualify for Medicaid, when in California they DO. We've already given these activists (who are based in Hawaii for some reason) over $2 million in taxpayer dollars. Jay just re-upped them in February. "Recent studies, however, have shown that even when eligible, many do not enroll because they fear deportation or distrust the government. This fear and distrust were exacerbated in 2019 when the Trump administration changed the definition of the “public charge” rule, which allows for the denial of a visa or permanent residency if immigrants are dependent or likely to become dependent on public benefits including Medicaid. Approximately 193,000 eligible undocumented Latino immigrants in California did not enroll in Medicaid because of this change, even after the Biden administration reversed the definition in 2021." Has the admin restored their 2019 change? I have no idea, but I wouldn't assume that it matters, and again this grant was just renewed in Feb.
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Replying to @LeorSapir
It's funny that he already has "shockingly sober" in his bio.
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Replying to @jessegenet
More packaging and shipping videos. I want to see that flute ruler 😄
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They're deranged. Point of order: It's not HRT. They're not *replacing* hormones. They're injecting cross-sex hormones because they're mentally ill or a new thing we have no words for.
Trans activists inject themselves with HRT in defiance outside NYU Langone Health after the hospital stopped providing puberty blockers and cross-sex hormones to children following pressure from the Trump Administration:
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Replying to @feelsdesperate
I loved her in Orphan Black. Then She-Hulk happened.
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Replying to @lemire
See the conversation I just had with Gemini on how to achieve simdjson speeds with HTML. The web is crazy inefficient. The bottom of the convo is where it addresses my HTML ideas: share.gemini.google/vcTiZiKO…
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Joe Duarte retweeted
📢The American Society of Plastic Surgeons decided to put evidence above politics in the care of gender-dysphoric youth. We're thrilled to announce that the past president of @ASPS_News will speak at SEGM's upcoming conference in DC Nov 5-7. Register for in-person & online⬇️
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I have every relevant estimate, journal article, and data point here, including Leor's, except for Do No Harm's, which I haven't read yet: validscience.substack.com/p/…
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Replying to @R_H_Ebright
What's the power of these radios? How are you picking up the signals?
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Amazing. The solar-powered tags weigh only 0.06 grams, a tenth the weight of the butterfly. I'm surprised that they're able to adapt to that load.
The two Monarch butterflies I radio-tagged on Sep 11 now are 1,223 km (in Georgia) and 460 km (in Virginia) southwest from the release point. Two of the three I radio-tagged on Sep 13 now are 438 km (in Virginia) and 379 km (in West Virginia) southwest of the release point.
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Replying to @EasterbrookG
Do you explain what's wrong with Aaron Rodgers? I don't understand why he came back.
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Replying to @ScottAtlas_IT
It sounds like the White House learned that NIH is still funding lots of invalid leftist grants, like: Examining Anti-Racist Healing in Nature to Protect Telomeres of Transitional Age BIPOC for Health Equity Intersectional discrimination and linkage to HIV prevention and care in transgender women in Ecuador Ecological Momentary Assessment of Racial/Ethnic Microaggressions and Cannabis Use among Black Adults And many, many more. Jay wouldn't do anything about them. Without a systematic framework, NIH won't catch most of the rigged or invalid grants (DOGE didn't) and won't be able to defend its termination decisions very well, in court for instance. Jay's approach of canceling a few grants because they don't fit with the director's "priorities" is extremely fragile, unscientific, legally iffy, and doesn't implement lasting NIH reform via a smart anti-ideology framework.
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