Pair trader | LP provider | On chain| Ex poker pro Sharing my more rapid market takes at https://nitter.cf/t.co/cdIo1dxrN1
Joined March 2024
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Freeroll. Lets have some fun
🚨 $400 POKER TOURNAMENT & VAULT LAUNCH
Our top PurrPoints holder, @ValkyrieFinance is officially LIVE as the 2nd external manager on Pear! 🍐
To celebrate, we’re hitting the tables this Friday. Come vibe, play some poker, and talk crypto with the manager himself. ♠️♥️
💰 Prize Pool: $400
👀 The Catch: Deposit just $10 in the vault to keep 100% of your winnings (or get slashed 50% 🔪)
🏦 Vault: vaults.pear.garden
🃏 Play: app.purrpoker.xyz
Who's taking down the final table? 🐾
Join our Discord for more details.
Appreciate the kind words and the support, Huf. Looking forward to building a track record in public.
Incredibly happy to announce that @ValkyrieFinance has chosen Pear's Vault Infra to publicly run his L/S book
I have followed him for many years here: t.me/valkyrie_finance_channe…
Vault: vaults.pear.garden/0xdf6917e…
"The asset management layer for Hyperliquid" 🫡
Valkyrie Finance retweeted
We are LIVE with our 2nd external manager on Pear's Vault infrastructure.
Skilled pair trader @ValkyrieFinance has launched their long/short strategy vault.
This vault employs a discretionary crypto pairs trading strategy focused on relative value, taking long positions in stronger coins and short positions in weaker ones.
Allocate now, there is a $250K cap on this vault.
vaults.pear.garden/
Longed more $BTC on that breakout. Think thats the line in the sand everyone is looking at. Breakout traders are going to long that while short traders are going to cover their shorts
Longed more monero:native as a catchup play to $ZEC. On the last monero:native pump to its recent ATH, monero:native recently lagged $ZEC before making its move. monero:native is also not just a weak beta to it. It is showing real use case as a privacy coin. It is the premier drug coin and the premier coin for scammers. AI exploit more vulnerabilities, scammers gets more coins and buy more monero:native. Pretty high conviction in this trade
Valkyrie Finance retweeted
Ey whoever hacked me, in case you're seeing this, you fucked up
I live on chain
Tracked all your tx and you think custom contracts can hide you? Wrong.
You eventually transferred stolen funds to @kucoincom
KYC only you retard
Pls can support from @kucoincom team reach out, got criminals laundering using your exchange
Would appreciate frens sharing the post for visibility
My biggest loss earlier this year came from a macro trade: long oil and short crypto and equities during the Iran war. I put the position on too large, in a market where I don’t have a proven edge. Worst of all, I had no clear invalidation criteria, so I covered far too late.
What made it more frustrating is that I’ve made a similar mistake before. Last year, during the tariff saga, I also leaned short. The difference was that I invalidated myself faster, so the drawdown stayed manageable. This time I convinced myself the Iran war was a much bigger issue than tariffs, so I held on longer. When the market didn’t confirm what I expected, I should have covered the shorts instead of forcing my view onto price action. In other words, I repeated the same mistake—just more severely.
The second major mistake was FOMO-ing into a $DRAM long in late June. After watching some of my stock picks underperform all year, I abandoned them and rotated into the leader ($DRAM). I did this despite seeing late-cycle “top” signals, like the extreme Korean leverage. Under normal conditions, I would be looking to short $EWY in that kind of setup, but I ignored my own instincts because the memory trade had been relentlessly strong and the warning signals hadn’t mattered—until they suddenly did. I broke my rules, chased momentum, and took a hit during the momentum selloff. That loss was well deserved on my part.
Stepping back, the common thread is clear: I’ve been dabbling too much in stocks and macro where I don’t have a consistent edge. I did well in stocks last year largely because the environment was “easy mode.” This year it wasn’t, and I should have traded far less as i dont have edge during hard mode.
From now on, i will simply only trade crypto mostly and avoid stocks until I think the stocks easy mode is back on.
added to $NBIS after it broke its ATH. Just gonna left curve it and bet on one of the fastest horse
Monthly review( Apr 2026):
Charts below show my portfolio performance(excluding airdrops) for April and since inception.
Performance
• Apr: Portfolio -19.67% | BTC 12.09%
• Since 1st June 2025: Portfolio -9.88% | BTC -27.73% (2.1x volatility ratio)
I took a long time to write this because I was too busy moping around. Time heals, and now I can look at the month objectively and accept the money I lost. There is no sugarcoating it: I traded badly, sized too big, refused to accept earlier losses, and dug myself into a deeper hole.
The only saving grace: I’d rather make this mistake now than when my portfolio is much larger.
Notable events
2-week ceasefire: Going into the announcement, I was net short, which was obviously wrong in hindsight. Trump threatening nuclear warfare on civilians in Iran was always likely a bluff, and he was always more likely to go to the table. Furthermore, funding was negative going into the event, which meant most people were already hedged. The R/R to stay short was terrible. I could have simply covered and reassessed. I didn’t.
Key mistakes
Don’t get too attached to macro views. I don’t have much experience here, yet I was massively short based on it. I should have invalidated my thesis much sooner. This feels similar to last year’s tariff saga, when I stayed net short while the market kept grinding up. The difference then was that I wasn’t as net short and I had $BTC and $HYPE longs, which softened the blow.
Don’t oversize when shorting stocks. Stock flow is very different from crypto because options flow matters a lot more. That’s a hard lesson I learned this month.
Lastly, I need to invalidate myself and take the L much sooner instead of just prayin .
Will be doing a public journal almost everyday from now on. Used to do it privately but missed it sometimes as I am lazy lol. Doing it publicly will hold me more accountable
Trading journal day 1:
Feeling pretty overwhelmed as I am underperforming after the election. Prior to the election, I was performing well as I was right on BTC.D trending towards end of November. It was pretty easy to choose the longs and shorts at that time. Just have to long BTC lol.
Then the election looms and I closed my positions as I thought i do not have an edge there. Thought of longing $AAVE then pussied out lol. Then Trump won and I thought it was sell the news event where $BTC will dump first before resuming up. That is when i will 3x long $BTC. Alas it never come. The selling pressure was absorbed by the spot market. I wasnt conditioned to the regime change and did not pivot fast enough. I thus waited for the dip that never come as dips become shallower. This left my perps account having underwhelming performance
My spot/meme account was doing ok though it can be better. Missed quite a few runners as I was pinching saving such as $PIPPIN and $LUCE. Also missed out on $PNUT as I thought it is going to be a one and done narrative. Missed out on DOGE as I dont want to pivot to the ETH chain as I wanted to focus on solana and base chain as i tend to not perform well on ETH chain. I also make a mistake on BASE chain as I size too little on $RUSSELL which i have pretty high conviction on.
Moving forward, I think it it will be positive EV for me to transfer most of my perps account on the next dip to my spot account as I already missed the Bitcoin trade and on chain will offer greater returns. Also, I will be more selective of coins I will enter and enter them with bigger size on shallower pullbacks with higher take profit target as right now, exposure to the market is more important than timing the market.