Mapping the 2026 Wisconsin State Legislative Elections Live https://nitter.cf/t.co/8JV23YrVeR
Madison, WI
Joined February 2021
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I'll be adding one more district to the Wisconsin Elects 2026 project soon. The only Independent vs Republican race that will be on the live tracker.
You can check out the redesigned website here: sites.google.com/view/wi2026
In 2024, WI Assembly Republicans in two-way races (n=78) overperformed by an average 3.59% margin relative to President Trump's 0.86% margin, implying an R+4.5 legislative ballot.
This would be an 11-12% swing towards Democrats that could flip strongly Republican seats.
Among likely voters, the legislative vote closely mirrors the vote for governor, with 51% saying they will vote for the Democratic legislative candidate and 44% for the Republican. #mulawpoll
This would favor Democrats to win AD85, AD30, and AD92, expanding their majority beyond the simple 50-49 majority that would come with a sweep of the five key battlegrounds to 53-46.
Democrats' ability to pass the National Popular Vote Interstate Compact before the 2028 Presidential Election likely hinges on winning the PA Senate and either the WI Assembly or NV Governorship.
Announcing @WisconsinElects, a new site providing precinct-level results for the 2026 elections in Wisconsin!
Most outlets only give a vague idea of what's actually going on under the hood in each county on election night, but this is the full picture.
sites.google.com/view/wi2026
