
$BTC price action daily: key levels, liquidity, scenarios π My free TG - https://nitter.cf/t.co/ExkzwYjlKr π₯ YouTube - https://nitter.cf/t.co/mBTLA668Yw
Joined October 2010
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Told you. One more dump is inevitable in the forth quarter
BANK OF AMERICA WARNS FED COULD DELIVER 50BPS HIKE IN DECEMBER
Bank of America says October's hot CPI report virtually guarantees a December Fed rate hike β and opens the door to a larger 50bps move.
Headline CPI rose 0.4%, while core CPI climbed 0.3%, marking a third consecutive upside inflation surprise. BofA now estimates core PCE inflation at 3.3% YoY.
Price pressures are spreading across goods and services, with electronics, airfares and hotels driving increases.
BofA still expects 25bps in December, but sees growing risk of another hike in January rather than March.
The bank warns the Fed is falling behind inflation and calls October's decision to hold rates a potential policy mistake.
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bitcoin:native collected liquidity <73k, but so far remains within downtrend on Daily (and lower timeframes). Lower High on Day TF at 81188, so while price is below that level, bearish market structure remains valid.
Weekly/Monthly 20EMA are high above at ~76400 and ~78170 respectively acting as a magnet when divergence is too large. May expect a bounce there.
Nearest 4H Lower High at 75548 (liquidity pool just above it), but impulse move there may start after crossing above 74824 (week open).
π‘Today is bank holiday in USA - Veteran's Day. Bond market closed. That means that crypto might have a lower volume and easier to manipulate. Though that doesn't mean there will be a volatility day.
Biggest liquidity pool on the downside is around 62300. So if that dump won't stop around 69k, then 62k may be reached much faster than anyone can expect.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 75760 / 76520 / 77750
Below: 68730/ 67810 / 62300
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73333, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Stock Indices pumped yesterday, but bitcoin:native didn't follow. The weak bounce it made didn't even reach nearest key liquidity level I've marked.
Today at 13:30 UTC Inflation Rates and CPI - market will react sharp with high volatility and BTC might visit both higher and lower liquidity pools I've marked yesterday.
The rest remains the same. BTC is within downtrend. Invalidation of Daily downtrend is above 81188. For lower timeframes nearest market structure level is at 75748. Till price cross above that level too early to talk about the bottom.
The bounce to Weekly/Monthly 20EMA will happen sooner or later. The only question is how low price may drop before that and where will be those dynamic SR levels by that time.
Biggest liquidity pool on the downside is around 62300. So if that dump won't stop around 69k, then 62k may be reached much faster than anyone could expect.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 75560 / 76520 / 77750
Below: 73000 / 68730/ 62300
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73333, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Feel really sorry for Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang. He is 63 and in a good shape. Found a nice looking woman only 43 years old. Maybe even fell in love (never know when this may happen). And now the whole world is blaming him and making jokes around his situation.
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Ethereum collected liquidity above ~2428 and dumped together with the rest of the market.
Still covering the gap left from August pump that covers area down to 1943.
Most probably will wick lower as the biggest liquidity pool hides under 1900. After that worth looking for buy opportunities. Adding that price to alarms as well as October low at 2172 to watch re-test.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 2160 / 2275 / 2460
Below: 1900 / 1856 / 1820
β° ethereum:native telegram alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2450, 2173, 1900
Ethereum re-tested 2023 close, created new Lower Low at 2281.22 and bounced. But it remains within downtrend on Daily with invalidation above 2527.
π₯ Nearest upper liquidity pool is above ~2428.
Week open at 2328 correlates with Week 20ema - TG alarm is set for the cross of it.
π High Timeframe:
Month - may expect re-test of Monthly bullish breaker at 1963-2256 zone
Week+Day - wide fair value gap left on August pump at 1943-2222 zone
Therefore while ethereum:native remains within downtrend it has all the chances to cover those gap zones from higher timeframes. If it bounce from Weekly 20ema, may go for re-test of 2430. But don't forget that market structure flip is above 2527.
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W20ema, 2640, 2527, 2281.22
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October CPI just dropped:
Core +0.3% MoM (vs 0.2% exp) β third straight hot month
Headline +0.4%
Sticky inflation locks in December Fed hike odds and is a clear risk-off signal for stocks & crypto. Higher-for-longer rates incoming.
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Stock Indices pumped yesterday, but bitcoin:native didn't follow. The weak bounce it made didn't even reach nearest key liquidity level I've marked.
Today at 13:30 UTC Inflation Rates and CPI - market will react sharp with high volatility and BTC might visit both higher and lower liquidity pools I've marked yesterday.
The rest remains the same. BTC is within downtrend. Invalidation of Daily downtrend is above 81188. For lower timeframes nearest market structure level is at 75748. Till price cross above that level too early to talk about the bottom.
The bounce to Weekly/Monthly 20EMA will happen sooner or later. The only question is how low price may drop before that and where will be those dynamic SR levels by that time.
Biggest liquidity pool on the downside is around 62300. So if that dump won't stop around 69k, then 62k may be reached much faster than anyone could expect.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 75560 / 76520 / 77750
Below: 73000 / 68730/ 62300
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73333, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
bitcoin:native crossed under September low at ~74909β
I don't enjoy being a bear prophet, but at this stage chart leaves no other options. We had five red weeks in a row and the last one increased downside momentum. So we should be waiting for final collapse through the gap to finally find some ground for support.
What worries me is that the biggest liquidity pool on the downside is around 62400. So if that dump won't stop around 69k, then 62k may be reached much faster than anyone could expect.
Invalidation for bear scenario is above 81188 - that is the nearest fractal high on Daily and the way chart appears now it is impossible to reach now. But dynamic levels at Monthly/Weekly 20EMA are relatively close and still may influence the price.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 75780 / 76480 / 77260
Below: 72930 / 69050 / 62390
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#Bitcoin #BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Yesterday bitcoin:native closed with bearish engulfing breaking down all major dynamic support levels. My Monday HTF bearish forecast was correct β
Weekly chart just millimeters away from crossing down September low (~74909) and cover wide gap below it. Chances for that to happen are close to 100%. The only question is when it will happen and if there will be a bounce to Weekly/Monthly 20EMA before that.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 76750 / 77200 / 78000
Below: 75060 / 68900 / 62200
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
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Week ahead: Nov 9β15, 2026 β key market events
(All times UTC. β
= must-watch)
MON 9 Nov
β’ π¨π³ China Oct CPI/PPI β OUT: CPI +0.7% y/y (vs 0.8% f'cast, 0.9% prior); PPI +5.7% y/y (vs ~5.3%, 5.0% prior)
β’ 17:25 π¬π§ BoE Gov Bailey speaks
TUE 10 Nov
β’ ~00:00 π―π΅ BoJ Summary of Opinions (Oct meeting) β clues on next hike after hold at 1.25%
β’ ~03:00 π¨π³ China Oct trade balance β cons. ~$126.5B (prior $133.5B)
β’ 06:30 π―π΅ SoftBank Q2 results β Vision Fund / AI sentiment
β’ πΊπΈ Fed's Waller speaks
β’ β
13:30 πΊπΈ Oct CPI β cons. +0.3% m/m / core +0.2% m/m (prior +0.6% / +0.3%). Biggest print of the week for the Fed path into the Dec FOMC
β’ 18:00 πΊπΈ $42B 10-year note auction
β’ π¦πͺ USβRussiaβUkraine talks open in Abu Dhabi (through Wed)
WED 11 Nov
β’ πΊπΈ Veterans Day β bond market closed, stocks open
β’ 07:00 π©πͺ Germany Oct CPI (final)
β’ π OPEC Monthly Oil Market Report
β’ π¦πͺ Abu Dhabi talks, day 2
β’ π COP31 in session (Antalya, through Nov 20)
THU 12 Nov
β’ β
07:00 π¬π§ UK Q3 GDP (prelim) β cons. +0.7% q/q (prior +0.5%)
β’ 13:30 πΊπΈ Initial jobless claims β cons. 194k (prior 189k)
β’ 15:00 πΊπΈ Oct existing home sales β cons. 3.86M (prior 3.99M)
β’ 18:00 πΊπΈ $25B 30-year bond auction
β’ 19:30 πͺπΊ ECB President Lagarde speaks
β’ After US close πΊπΈ Cisco + Applied Materials earnings β AI infra / chips read-through
FRI 13 Nov
β’ 09:00 π IEA Oil Market Report
β’ 10:00 πͺπΊ Eurozone Q3 GDP (2nd estimate)
β’ β
13:30 πΊπΈ Oct PPI β cons. +0.4% m/m / core +0.3% m/m (prior +1.3% / +0.7%)
β’ π¨π³ China Oct credit / M2 (date TBC)
NOT this week: no FOMC (next Dec 8β9), no US PCE (Nov 25), no NFP (Dec 4), no ECB/BoE/BoJ rate decisions.
Watch:
Β· CPI surprise β rates, USD, Nasdaq
Β· Abu Dhabi headlines β oil, risk
Β· SoftBank / AMAT / Cisco β AI trade
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Yesterday bitcoin:native closed with bearish engulfing breaking down all major dynamic support levels. My Monday HTF bearish forecast was correct β
Weekly chart just millimeters away from crossing down September low (~74909) and cover wide gap below it. Chances for that to happen are close to 100%. The only question is when it will happen and if there will be a bounce to Weekly/Monthly 20EMA before that.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 76750 / 77200 / 78000
Below: 75060 / 68900 / 62200
π High Timeframe Forecast: dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Pump to Daily 20EMA as forecasted β
Got stopped within FVG above it.
Market seems to be very excited after US midterms results. Even German index DAX pumped to new ATH today. But since bitcoin:native is highly manipulated asset I'd be ready to see correction at some point, as on that pump it has left several wide gaps behind.
The nearest under Daily 20EMA will be revisited without any doubts. For deeper correction watch LPs at ~79200, ~78666 and ~77490. Once price action there show buyers taking control, worth giving a chance for a long with stop under 75690.
Since what we see now can be taken as a bull flag, before dipping, market may move higher first. In this case the only nearest worthy zone to watch and wait for is ~82200.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81400 / 82200 / 83100
Below: 79200 / 78666 / 77490
π High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Yesterday's AI selloff has spread to Asia, and it's worse there. South Korea's Kospi plunged nearly 9% and hit a circuit-breaker halt, Japan's Nikkei fell roughly 5β7% to around bear-market territory, and Taiwan had its steepest point drop ever, with TSMC falling the maximum allowed in a day π
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It is not a meme coin chart. It is Dow Jones 30 Index at 1H π
JUST IN: πΊπΈ Magnificent 7 crash after Democrats win House & Senate.
Meta $META: -7.33%
Tesla $TSLA: -11.59%
Apple $AAPL: -1.42%
Nvidia $NVDA: -9.28%
Amazon $AMZN: -5.17%
Google $GOOGL: -4.10%
Microsoft $MSFT: -4.16%
Over $2.5T wiped out of the US stock market today.
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Pump to Daily 20EMA as forecasted β
Got stopped within FVG above it.
Market seems to be very excited after US midterms results. Even German index DAX pumped to new ATH today. But since bitcoin:native is highly manipulated asset I'd be ready to see correction at some point, as on that pump it has left several wide gaps behind.
The nearest under Daily 20EMA will be revisited without any doubts. For deeper correction watch LPs at ~79200, ~78666 and ~77490. Once price action there show buyers taking control, worth giving a chance for a long with stop under 75690.
Since what we see now can be taken as a bull flag, before dipping, market may move higher first. In this case the only nearest worthy zone to watch and wait for is ~82200.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 81400 / 82200 / 83100
Below: 79200 / 78666 / 77490
π High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 81188, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
As forecasted - bitcoin:native made a small recovery bounce and then dipped into the next liquidity pool under 76k β
Now price seem to target gap around 79.4k and LP above it correlating with Daily 20EMA.
π― Nearest Key Levels
Above: 78854 / 79700 / 81398
Below: 77522 / 76990 / 75170
Its a choppy shit, so I won't forecast anywhere further.
π High Timeframe Forecast: I expect a dump during Q4, as the Fed is expected to raise interest rates on December 8β9
β° Free TG alarms set for: Y VWAP VAH, D/W/M 20ema, 84875.2, 81954, 78853.5, 76270, 73653, 68241
TradingView - tradingview.com/symbols/BTCUβ¦
#BTCUSD #BTCUSDT #Trading #CryptoTrading #CryptoMarket #LiquidityPools
Sold spot while writing this review. Will be buying back either on stop or once I see bulls taking control.
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Why does this shitcoin behave like it is SP500 in it's better days?
just:native most probably will do same pattern it did before - fake breakout, then dip, then maybe back to uptrend again. Only 42% to ATH from here.
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The hacking campaign against cooling systems in Europe has reached hospital supplies. France's blood service, EFS, says attackers took over refrigeration at three plasma storage sites and tried to raise the temperature from β30Β°C to 110Β°C, but alarms caught it before any plasma was lost.
WTF!? Can you just unplug fridges from internet?
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