Austin Adams

Pretty wild how @longdotxyz has been one of the main catalysts for bringing tokenized stocks onto @RobinhoodApp Chain, with every $1 of stock that buyers paid into Long pools followed by ~$1.90 of new minting of that same stock within three days and ~$2.80 within a week That holds after controlling for each stock, each day's market-wide minting, and the stock's normal DEX volume, and buying into Long pools shows no link to minting in the days before it. Even in raw, uncapped data with AMC and SPY left out, it is still ~$1.40 within three days and ~$2 within a week. Scaled across every stock, the main estimate works out to Long being behind roughly a fifth of the ~$160M of stock minted on the chain since July, while pools on other launchpads like Bankr, PONS, and PAIR show a weaker and less consistent link and have released more stock than they absorbed over the same stretch The clearest examples came from Long's biggest launches, as onchain AMC went from 112,732 shares the day before "A Meme Coin" launched on 09/03 to ~2.9M the day after, HIMS went from 275 shares to ~2,400 in the three days after Boner Coin launched on 08/20 with Long pools absorbing 41% of the new supply, and NVDA supply rose 158% in the week after Artificial Inu launched on 07/14, compared to 35% for the median stock MONITOR took longer to get going, with PLTR supply up 64% in its first week against 87% for the median stock, but it kept climbing. When @JTLonsdale quote-posted MONITOR on 09/23, its value went from ~$1.1M to ~$10M in under two hours, and its pool traded 1.4x all tokenized PLTR in a single hour, while PLTR supply rose ~11% that day to double its pre-launch level as Long pools took in ~1,250 PLTR, and supply was still ~3% above its pre-post level the next day Long isn't the whole story, since Long pools hold only ~$14M of the ~$170M of tokenized stock onchain and the size of the estimate depends on capping a cluster of $2M - 7M mint days, mostly in SPY and AMC, that otherwise swamp it, but the pattern is consistent enough to say the Long memecoin trading is pulling new shares onchain rather than just recycling the ones already there These pairs have also started to attract real social capital, with @vladtenev following "A Meme Coin", @AndrewDudum following "Boner Coin", and @JTLonsdale following + quote-posting MONITOR, all for something that is still relatively nascent The next catalyst could come from Robinhood itself, since @vladtenev says 1:1 in-kind redemption and voting are coming to Robinhood Stock Tokens, which would give holders a reason to keep shares onchain rather than just trade them /board_sit