@ahmedMathPhys

Iam a twitter traveller.

Joined August 2022
Amazing book
This rare book will teach you more about acquiring companies and building conglomerates than 99% of Wall Street biographies. Here are my key takeaways: A thread 🧵
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What I’ve been reading/re-reading
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Some call it a bible, others are puzzled by the diminished role of monetary aggregates. And certainly, it is worth reading. A thought-provoking book by a Nobel Prize winner! "Interest and Prices: Foundations of a Theory of Monetary Policy" by Michael Woodford. amzn.to/47P5sho "Interest and Prices seeks to provide theoretical foundations for a rule-based approach to monetary policy suitable for a world of instant communications and ever more efficient financial markets. In such a world, effective monetary policy requires that central banks construct a conscious and articulate account of what they are doing. Michael Woodford reexamines the foundations of monetary economics, and shows how interest-rate policy can be used to achieve an inflation target in the absence of either commodity backing or control of a monetary aggregate. The book further shows how the tools of modern macroeconomic theory can be used to design an optimal inflation-targeting regime--one that balances stabilization goals with the pursuit of price stability in a way that is grounded in an explicit welfare analysis, and that takes account of the "New Classical" critique of traditional policy evaluation exercises. It thus argues that rule-based policymaking need not mean adherence to a rigid framework unrelated to stabilization objectives for the sake of credibility, while at the same time showing the advantages of rule-based over purely discretionary policymaking." amzn.to/47P5sho
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Francis Fukuyama: The end of history was never the end of politics Jennifer Szalai's profile revisits Francis Fukuyama's famous argument about the end of history and his continuing concern with the future of liberal democracy.
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Ne kadar iyi bir haber! Bu kitabın ingilizcesini 3 sene önce okumuştum. Cidden erken cumhuriyet dönemi hakkında alışılmışın dışında ufuk açıcı bir kitap. Devlet-toplum ilişkilerinin dayandığı mikro-patronaj ağlarını ve diğer küçük unsurları oldukça incelikli biçimde inceliyor(…)
Murat Metinsoy'un The Power Of The People (Cambridge, 2021) kitabı nihayet Türkçede. Halkın Gücü: Modern Türkiye'nin Oluşumunda Gündelik Direniş ve Muhalefet, Koç Üniversitesi Yayınları'ndan çıkıyor. Güzel haber.
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By the way, for those who really want to understand the broad scope of American diplomatic history (and not just the midwit version that starts with WWII), an excellent book is “We May Dominate the World” by my friend Sean Mirski. It focuses on the period from the Civil War to WWII, where—for better or worse—Latin America was unquestionably the main focus. I generally find those who decry our Administration’s priorities shockingly ignorant of this history and of the Western Hemisphere more generally.
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Ajay Shah's article presents an important shift in India's economic geography. Traditional theories of industrial competitiveness emphasize labor, capital, natural resources, and technology. But when energy costs change, the profitability of entire industries can shift.
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Oh, almost forgot to share the most recent book arrivals from this week!
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Uttar Pradesh
Supporters of Congress leader Ajay Rai and UP Congress president Aradhana Mishra Mona clashed at the party office in Lucknow. Blows were exchanged, shoes were huled over allegations that Rai's supporters were absued.
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マイケル・ペティス「中国は今日の主要経済国の中でおそらく最悪の債務動態を抱えています。その債務対GDP比は2番目に高く(日本に次ぐ)、史上最も急速に成長」 つい先日、私も中国の債務に関する記事を書いたばかり。日中比較のグラフがこちら。 記事本体のリンクは↓
FT: "China’s growing debt pile is constraining the government’s fiscal capacity for sweeping new stimulus to revive flagging domestic demand and strengthen economic growth, studies of state finances show." Although you probably wouldn't know this from reading the Chinese or foreign press, China probably has the worst debt dynamics of any major economy today. Its debt-to-GDP ratio is the second highest (after Japan) and is the fastest growing in history. ft.com/content/a0ffc43a-231a… via @ft
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INDIA'S DEVELOPMENT PARADOX: WHAT IF OUR BIGGEST PROBLEM ISN'T GROWTH, BUT WHAT GROWTH HIDES? Across four September 2026 EPW @epw_in editions, one question emerges: who benefits, who is counted, and who bears the cost? Household borrowing rises while financial resilience weakens. Odisha's fiscal strength coexists with human-development gaps. Women contribute to production, yet unpaid care remains outside conventional GDP. Youth unemployment persists despite falling aggregate rates. Caste enumeration needs reliable classification; poverty demands multidimensional measurement. Rural job guarantees require meaningful access, not merely statutory promises. Climate adaptation must protect women farmers, forest communities and heat-exposed urban residents. Clean cooking requires sustained LPG use, not connections alone. And geopolitics? BRICS or strategic autonomy means little without domestic research, industrial capacity and social cohesion. A policy announcement is not lived progress. UPSC: GS1—inequality; GS2—rights, federalism, welfare; GS3—jobs, inflation, climate; GS4—accountability. THE REAL QUESTION: Are we building a developed India—or merely celebrating improved indicators? #UPSC #CSE #IAS #EPW – at Chandigarh, India
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This is a slide from Terence Tao's 'Math 2.0' public lecture yesterday evening at Caltech. I am highly confident that, if the cure actually worked, almost any Stage 4 cancer patient would tell you that human comprehension of its mechanism is completely irrelevant to them.
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Terence Tao needs to be given a copy of Antifragile. Birds take off, then some academic branch lectures birds how to fly & takes the credit for it.
This is a slide from Terence Tao's 'Math 2.0' public lecture yesterday evening at Caltech. I am highly confident that, if the cure actually worked, almost any Stage 4 cancer patient would tell you that human comprehension of its mechanism is completely irrelevant to them.
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Very valuable! "Technology, Productivity, and Economic Growth" by Susanto Basu, Lucy Eldridge, John Haltiwanger, and Erich Strassner. amzn.to/4hQy6Dp "Current technological developments in several industries, such as the rise of artificial intelligence and innovations associated with the green energy transition, are likely to have significant and wide-ranging effects. This volume explores the implications of rapid changes in advanced technology and considers how to conceptualize and model these advances and improve measures of productivity and economic growth. The study of these issues is facilitated both by new methods for using and integrating disparate data sources and by the availability of new data sources. The chapters in this volume leverage these developments to offer fresh insights into long-standing issues in productivity analysis and technological change." amzn.to/4hQy6Dp
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Tower of Basel: The Shadowy History of the Secret Bank That Runs the World Adam LeBor 2013 Part 1 There is something profoundly disturbing about the possibility that a country’s government can collapse, its people can be driven from their homes, its children can be murdered, its national wealth can be confiscated, and yet the international financial institutions handling that wealth can continue operating almost as though nothing has happened. This is the world that investigative journalist Adam LeBor examines in Tower of Basel, published in 2013. It is a history of the Bank for International Settlements, an institution established in Switzerland in 1930, and of the extraordinary relationships between central bankers, governments, wartime economies, and international finance. But to understand why this institution matters, we must first understand the world in which it operated. We must understand the countries that were invaded, the people who lost everything, the gold that disappeared, the banks that handled it, and the financial decisions that continued long after the human beings affected by them had lost their ability to resist. Because this is not simply a story about gold. It is a story about power, sovereignty, institutional responsibility, and the disturbing ease with which the suffering of human beings can disappear behind the language of financial administration. And much of what follows is not speculation. The historical record includes central-bank ledgers, parliamentary debates, captured German financial documents, postwar investigations, restitution agreements, and the official history of the Bank for International Settlements itself. Some of these events are central to LeBor’s investigation. Others are drawn from separate archival investigations that illuminate the wider financial system in which the BIS operated. They must be distinguished, because understanding history requires knowing not only what happened but also what the evidence actually establishes. Europe before the catastrophe: the lives that existed before the money was taken In the years preceding the Second World War, Europe was still struggling with the consequences of the First World War. Germany had suffered military defeat in 1918, the collapse of its monarchy, political revolution, economic upheaval, and the burden of reparations imposed through the postwar settlement. The German hyperinflation of 1923 had devastated the value of money, wiping out savings and undermining confidence in financial institutions. The Great Depression, beginning in 1929, brought another wave of unemployment, poverty, bank failures, and political instability. These events mattered because money was not an abstract concept to the people experiencing them. A lifetime of savings could disappear when a currency collapsed. A person who had worked for decades might discover that the money intended to support retirement could no longer purchase necessities. A business owner might lose access to credit. A farmer might be unable to finance the next planting season. A family might be forced to sell possessions simply to survive. The effects of monetary instability were felt in kitchens, workshops, farms, and crowded city apartments long before they appeared in historical accounts of central banking. Yet the consequences were not confined to Germany. Across Europe, governments faced financial pressures, political extremism, and growing uncertainty about the international order. In this environment, central bankers sought ways to stabilize monetary relationships and manage the financial obligations left by the First World War. The Bank for International Settlements was created in Basel, Switzerland, in 1930. archive.org/details/towerofb…
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Library Journal review of my new book "Boiling Point: How America Brought War to Ukraine" "An eye-opening history of U.S. involvement in Ukraine, arguing that 75 years of covert conflict between the U.S. and Russia set the stage for the current war in Ukraine."
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Libro que intenta precisar qué elementos del asesoramiento producen resultados.
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The article uses "pensioner communism" to describe Britain's political settlement, in which pensioners have enjoyed relatively strong income protection while working-age households face increasing fiscal pressures.
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CEA Nageswaran’s op-ed judges Make in India the fair way, against peers who weathered the same decade of pandemic, tariff wars and geopolitical conflict. India comes out ahead. From 2002 to 2013, world exports tripled from $6.2T to $18.8T. From 2014 to 2025, they grew by less than two-fifths. Even so, India’s share of world manufacturing value added rose from 2.4% to 3%, a bigger gain than Brazil, Mexico, Indonesia or South Africa made. India’s manufacturing value added grew 73%, against 51% for China and 36% for the world. That came while China’s surplus tripled to $1.19T and German industrial output fell 14% below its 2018 level. home, manufacturing’s share of GVA rose from 14.7% to 16.1% in three years, and factories added 14 lakh jobs in 2024–25. Solar module capacity grew from 2.3 GW to 192 GW, and electronics exports hit $47.96B. Industrialisation is the work of decades. In a decade unkind to historic laggards, India built capability faster than the world around it @businessline
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What's the psychology behind technologists turning into doomers? Does "longtermism" lead to unnecessary speculation? Will regulations ultimately become get-out-of-jail-free cards for companies? These, and other issues, addressed in this WSJ article.
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