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Data-driven research, at its best, presents you with results that surprise you. 😲
When I began studying Seattle's minimum pay standard for delivery drivers, I personally expected to see high-attachment delivery drivers making more money after the policy went into effect. 1/13
Featured in the latest Digest: Impact of Minimum Pay Rules on Gig Delivery Drivers
nber.org/digest/202603/impac…
Andy Garin retweeted
A new draft of our paper "Understanding Migration Responses to Local Shocks"
➡️ We show conventional regressions in the literature are misspecified
➡️ We propose theory-consistent specifications for the impacts of both observed and counterfactual shocks
andrew.cmu.edu/user/bkovak/b…
🚨Understanding Migration Responses to Local Shocks
New version of paper with @borusyak and Brian Kovak!
1/6 Many papers find that local labor demand shocks have sizable effects on wages and employment, but surprisingly small or imprecise effects on local population.
Andy Garin retweeted
🚨Understanding Migration Responses to Local Shocks
New version of paper with @borusyak and Brian Kovak!
1/6 Many papers find that local labor demand shocks have sizable effects on wages and employment, but surprisingly small or imprecise effects on local population.
Andy Garin retweeted
You guys made us go through all this when 90% of TWFE estimates were fine?! :-)
Andy Garin retweeted
Ok, this is in progress! Here's a preview
(Top-5 pubs from the last ten years with a simple TWFE specification + replication data; matched samples between TWFE, Callaway-Sant'Anna, and Borusyak-Jaravel-Spiess)
with thanks to Astra, Kevin Chen, & Jon Roth
New NBER Book released: The Economics of Place-Based Policies
nber.org/books-and-chapters/…
Andy Garin retweeted
Exciting News:
The Econ Department at GW is hiring! Not one, not two, not three, but FOUR assistant professors -- in trade (2), macro, and applied micro. JOE ads coming very soon.
Come work with me!
Andy Garin retweeted
OK, a personal @DAcemogluMIT story. Little known fact: Daron was my advisor. Surprising perhaps because I do public economics (I may be his only empirical PF student?). He shaped my understanding of how to do economics.
Folks out here taking cheap shots at Microeconomic Origins of Macroeconomic Tail Risks
ok if you're going to dunk on acemoglu why would you go after his best work (institutions) instead of his worst stuff (everything else)
economist.com/finance-and-ec…
Me after a few drinks:
“Everyone talks too much about wage posting monopsony models and not enough about acemoglu hawkins 2014 which is equally plausible and has radically different implications”
"Give an economist a few drinks, however, and some of them will venture their true opinions about this giant" economist.com/finance-and-ec…
Yes?
No economist accuses him of truly poor research, let alone academic malpractice. But is Daron Acemoglu’s reputation justified by his scholarship? economist.com/finance-and-ec…
Andy Garin retweeted
I am not happy about the Economist’s article, which feels like a hit piece. There is also a background to it, which is more troubling (as I will share at some point). I asked them to allow me to respond. I am waiting for their answer. If not in the magazine, I will share my response here.
Andy Garin retweeted
I’m a “no” on this, an illustration of why I think the housing issue is *the* key to improving people’s experience of the economy.
Note that only supply expansion can prevent the downward mobility dynamic, rent control does nothing for young families.
slowboring.com/p/to-save-cap…
Andy Garin retweeted
We're hiring! This academic year, we are searching for up to five tenure-track positions. Up to three at the assistant professor level and two with tenure. Postings on @AEAjournals Job Openings for Economists (JOE) will go live in August. Interfolio links are below:
Andy Garin retweeted
This is one of my biggest public policy bugaboos: you look at a place and notice that it’s poor, but places aren’t poor, people are, you have to ask where did the higher earning people go
This quoted post is unavailable.
Residents of poor neighborhoods see earnings growth similar to richer areas, and those who gain tend to move out. This selective migration keeps poor neighborhoods poor, from @andy_garin, Ethan Jenkins, @evanmast2, and @BryanAStuart nber.org/papers/w35381
Tenured and grateful.
Grateful to be at a special place like Heinz with wonderful colleagues, for my advisors and mentors, for all the collaborators, students, and research assistants I’ve worked with and learned from, and to my family for being on this ride with me.
Andy Garin retweeted
A surprising amount of economic commentary on technological change is like this.
A decline in car break-ins across Oakland is being welcomed as a public safety win, but it is also contributing to a downturn for some local auto glass repair businesses. ktvu.com/news/auto-glass-rep…
Andy Garin retweeted
It's true that unemployment has gone up for recent college graduates. Many are concerned that AI is doing this.
But how then do you explain the simultaneous rise in teenager unemployment? They work in restaurants and ice cream shops.
Does that sound like AI? agglomerations.eig.org/p/sme…
Andy Garin retweeted
After a violent settler attack, an Israeli rabbi visited a Palestinian community and heard testimony of men beaten while bound and families terrorized.
“When they saw us they recoiled in fear at the kippot on our heads.”
That should stop us in our tracks. Our Jewish values call on us to demand better than this.
Yesterday, Rabbi Yehuda Gilad from ישיבת מעלה גלבוע visited the West Bank and wrote the statement below (provided in our translation):
“With God’s help, Rosh Chodesh Nisan, ‘a time of atonement for all their generations.’
Yesterday, I went through a difficult and deeply unsettling experience. I visited Khirbet Humsa (about a 30-minute drive from our yeshiva), where a pogrom by “hilltop youth” took place a week ago. I heard the details of what happened there from several sources, including Ruti, a woman I have known for years and trust completely.
It turns out that in the middle of the night, a group of rioters (around 30–40 people) arrived equipped with clubs and many zip ties. They bound the men (and apparently also two foreign volunteers, though I am not certain of this), and then beat them all over their bodies with fists and sticks. We saw many remnants of the zip ties at the site. The men required hospital treatment in Afula for injuries of varying severity. At the same time, the attackers stole the entire herd—about 300 animals—belonging to the few families who live there in unimaginable poverty. When I first heard there was also sexual violence, I did not believe it…
Yesterday we arrived at the site with Ruti, a friend of mine who is well known to them. When they saw us—Rabbi Avidan Friedman and me—they recoiled in fear and gestured anxiously at the kippot on our heads. Ruti tried to calm them, explaining that we were not among the attackers. Still, at the beginning of the encounter they were hesitant and frightened.
I heard directly, firsthand, from a young man what had happened there. From his expression, the blue bruise around his eye, and his sorrowful gaze, it was clear he was telling the truth. In that same conversation (with the help of a translator), he described in detail the prolonged abuse they endured while bound. Then, with visible shame, he described something I had previously been unable to believe. I find it difficult, and my hands tremble as I write this about Jews, and yet I will write it because I am convinced it indeed occurred: yes, these perpetrators painfully bound his genitals. Not to mention the humiliation inherent in this.
These events recall the pogroms our ancestors endured in various exiles. Have we become like the worst of the nations?
I want to turn to the question - what must be done? But I feel I am still at the stage of crying out.
Alas, what has become of us?”

































