Barry Naughton (@bnaughton) header
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Professor of Economics @ School of Global Policy and Strategy, UC San Diego

San Diego, CA
Joined March 2009
Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)Photo by Barry Naughton (@bnaughton)
You could even argue that the combination of high-speed telecom, ubiquitous sensors, and AI goes back to the "offset strategy" adopted by DoD under Carter in the late 1970s (William Perry, coming from Silicon Valley).
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Excellent thread by Pettis. Note that the "these people" he's excoriating are Nikki Haley and the WSJ editors, *not* Schumer, Biden, and Pelosi shown in the picture!
1/4 It's astonishing how little these people know about American economic history. While economic freedom has certainly been one of the great strengths of the American economy, the claim that government support for industry... wsj.com/articles/central-pla…
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Barry Naughton retweeted
This ‘best books’ website asked me to cite some on modern China. Quite a few, but for reasons laid out, my 5:Scott Rozelle and Natalie Hell, ⁦@bnaughton⁩ ⁦@yuenyuenang⁩ ⁦@LizEconomy⁩ ⁦@MareikeOhlberg⁩ ⁦@CliveCHamilton⁩ shepherd.com/best-books/on-u…
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After brief pandemic-caused slowdown, atmospheric CO2 resumes rise to new peak. Sigh.
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Super important post from Andrew Batson. 20 m. more people in GD and Lower Yangtze than known! We need much more analysis. Maybe rural-urban migration has slowed (but less than we thought) and urban inter-regional migration (esp. out of NE) has grown (faster than we knew).
Most of the discussion about China's census has focused on low fertility. But that wasn't a surprising result at all. What is more surprising and interesting is the apparent increase in migration, which contradicts many expectations and previous studies.
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Barry Naughton retweeted
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Barry Naughton retweeted
New GER-CN auto entanglements from past 5 weeks: 1. VW w/ majority stake in JAV JV, 2. VW w/ stake in Gotian High Tech (Batteries) 3. Thyssen-Krupp sells E-Mobility branch to CN investor 4. BMW and Alibaba deepen strategic partnership 5. Mercedes w/ stake in Farasis (Batteries)
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Student and Exchange Visitor Program (SEVP): Allow F-1 and M-1 students to remain in the US with online-only classes - Sign the Petition! chng.it/Rzmwz6Rt via @Change
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You would never look at this and conclude that US and China are engaged in a struggle for technological dominance-AI is global with SF Bay as global hub
Wow. Google absolutely dominates the International Conference on Machine Learning! It holds the 1st, 4th, and 8th spots on the list! (ht @joftius)
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1/2 Significant drop in 2018 births in China, acc to prelim data tucked into NBS first batch of econ data (in Chinese). From 17.23 m. in 2017 to 15.24 m. in 2018, fertility drops from 1.24% to 1.09%. stats.gov.cn/tjsj/zxfb/20190…
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2/2 Birthrate Decline: One Child Policy is gone for good (policies already somewhat pro-natalist), parents have had time to adjust. Slight decline in # women child-bearing age only accounts for small part of drop. Looks like permanent shift to low fertility equilibrium.
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Every single border member of congress — myself included — opposes the wall. Every. Single. One.
I have no idea what the answer is but would love to know how many House members with districts directly along the southern border support the wall, in proportion to the length of their district's border with Mexico.
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THE BIGGEST ONE-DAY INJECTION ON RECORD #PBOC
#PBOC injects net 560 billion yuan via open market operation on Wed.
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China exports up 9.9% for all of 2018, but down 4.4% YoY in Dec. China imports up 15.8% for all 2018, but down 7.6% YoY in Dec. Prob shows exports were pre-shipped before tariffs hit, now dropping, & that domestic demand in China is now decelerating rapidly. Ominous omens.
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Barry Naughton retweeted
Sick, sad that we accept this pettiness yin our leadership!
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Of special interest to social scientists who examine innovation policy. Please consider this interesting opportunity at an outstanding University!
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This is the final China Leadership Monitor to be edited by Alice Miller, who has done a tremendous job of leading this project from the beginning. Thanks, Alice!
A balanced look at China's Economic Policy under Trade War Conditions, as it tries to move beyond "Tit for Tat" and put together a coherent medium-term policy response to Trump. hvr.co/2LGJhxG via @hooverinst
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A balanced look at China's Economic Policy under Trade War Conditions, as it tries to move beyond "Tit for Tat" and put together a coherent medium-term policy response to Trump. hvr.co/2LGJhxG via @hooverinst
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