@brainlessbidi
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Crypto trader & digital asset investor β¦ Markets, onchain research & asymmetric bets & Podcast hostπ Building conviction before the crowd.
SolFrancisco
Joined February 2022
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UPD: Check the explainer video for the Season 1 of the Evolution Playing Cards
βοΈCompletely decentralized contest
π¦200eth Reward Fund
π¦203 winners
If you win 20eth for the first place during Season 1, wyd? #trophyhunters
evopc.trophyhunters.io
we didnt even notice how it became normal for politicians to start creating memecoins and rugging us...
If you invested $1,000 in Hunter Biden's crypto memecoin $LAPTOP today, you would now have $10
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bitcoin:native CHOP CONTINUES.
Today, 87,584 traders were liquidated, the total liquidations comes in at $265.93 million.
π°ππΈπΉπΌπ½ retweeted
We have been circling Stonkbrokers for weeks, so we finally brought the person behind it on the show. SimpleFarmer joined us for his first appearance on the Block Runner podcast to walk through how a project on Robinhood Chain went from almost nothing to a five figure floor, and why we think the breakthrough underneath it is bigger than the price action everyone is watching. We come from the NFT world going back to 2019, so we have watched collection after collection with incredible communities stall out because they were impossible to trade. Simple Farmer frames it perfectly. These teams were driving a Ferrari with bicycle wheels. The talent and the culture were there, but the infrastructure never was. His answer is the Anvil AMM, a permissionless contract that pairs an NFT to a clean ERC20 at a fixed rate so a collection can finally have real liquidity.
youtube.com/watch?v=iGbSQb3hβ¦
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there's gonna be a new project soon even better than the last one!
NFTNate made a very deep review of TrophyHunters on his YT channel! You need to watch it - youtube.com/watch?v=v0bA9zitβ¦
@NFTNate_
π°ππΈπΉπΌπ½ retweeted
we didnt even notice how it became normal for politicians to start creating memecoins and rugging us...
If you invested $1,000 in Hunter Biden's crypto memecoin $LAPTOP today, you would now have $10
π°ππΈπΉπΌπ½ retweeted
$BTC
A weekly close around here should all but confirm the 12/25 EMA crossover...
Historically, that shift has preceded some strong momentum phases higher.
Interim, $82β83k is the key zone.
For continuation longs, I want to see price trade through supply and find acceptance above it alongside the 365D rolling VWAP. Do that and thereβs scope for the move to accelerate, particularly if shorts are forced to unwind and would look for price to trade the range qtr / value area high around 90k
If rejected, $78.5β79k the 3-week composite VAH... is the first level I want to see hold. Lose that and Iβd look for rotation back through value towards the opposite extreme as an intraweek trade.
On a deeper HTF correction, $68β72k is the major reaction zone, 12/25 bands + macro mid. Hold there and the broader bullish structure remains intact.
Even an extended range, imo, is more about accumulating value than invalidating the HTF thesis.
My broader bias shifted in July: see earlier tweet.
Spot: buying key levels / confirmed breakouts.
Perps: trading level to level on both sides - which is mainly what I comment on... separate from the HTF view.
Good luck
$BTC
Higher Time Frame
Having shorted this move from the 125s, I personally see little value in continuing to press swing shorts at these levels.
My focus has shifted back toward spot accumulation, where I believe the more attractive asymmetric play lies in identifying high-quality buying opportunities for the longer-term move over the next several quarters.
stellar:native is sitting at $0.18 and somehow the market acts like this chart has no memory. It does. Every major expansion left a level behind. $0.299 β $0.637 β $0.797 Thatβs the roadmap Iβm watching. And notice whatβs happening now:
stellar:native is once again trading near the bottom of its historical range after years of compression. Nobody cares down here. Theyβll care after $0.30 breaks. Theyβll get excited above $0.60. And near $0.80, suddenly everyone will have a thesis on Stellar. If the full expansion shown on the chart plays out weβre talking about roughly +3,300% from the projected base. Same asset. Different price. Completely different psychology.
#Bitcoin Cycle Shift? Same zone. Similar angle. Quarterly RSI is once again showing the structure seen around previous major cycle shifts. Todayβs FOMC should be interesting to see whether the market confirms or challenges this setup.
Just bought 8600 5000/7000 ETH call spreads for march 2027
Basically if ETH is below 5k by then we lose $238k
But if ETH goes anywhere higher, we make all the upside on 8,600 ETH
At $6k that's $8.3M profit
At $7k that's $17M profit
1x downside, 71x upside.
Perps could never provide this because
- to get 8.6k eth exposure I'd need like $4M in collateral (5x perp)
- Even with a 5x perp if eth dips to just 1.9k I'd be liquidated and lose it all before the expire
- If funding rates are 10% it would cost me over $1M in funding fees to hold the position until late march
Instead I paid $238k all in and never need to spend another cent
ty for the copy trade @koolkrypto223
it just took 10 minutes on the @DeriveXYZ RFQ system
note: dcf cap holds drv (and these spreads)
$ETH just killed its own sacred rule. The one that forced you to buy ETH to use it. And while the plebs cry out that ETH is dead, the smart ones, on the other hand, understand that we've just made it unstoppable. Let's take a step back calmly. Because this is huge, for real. Before, the rule was brutal. You want to interact with the Ethereum network? You pay in ETH. No ETH, no access. A barrier to entry for the whole world.
@VitalikButerin
just blew up that barrier. Soon you'll pay your fees in stablecoin, or someone will pay them for you. No more obligation to hold ETH to use the chain. And now, the herd panics. "No need for ETH anymore? Then ETH is dead." They sell. They gloat. They think they're clever...π π·Because ETH doesn't actually change the equation at all. You pay in stablecoin up front, but behind the scenes, someone is still buying ETH to settle the network.π·#Ethereum just ripped out the one friction point that was driving millions of people away, without touching for a single second what gives ETH its value. π· Because the real value of ETH was never the toll fee. It's the fact that we stake it, that it secures the chain, that it serves as collateral for an entire system worth trillions. That, no one has touched. On the contrary, we've just made it bulletproof. An asset you buy out of obligation is fragile. The day the obligation vanishes, everything collapses. An asset you hold because it keeps the whole structure standingβthat never collapses. Ethereum just shifted from the first to the second right before your eyes. In two years, the ones who cried death to ETH this week will buy back in higher, swearing that no one could have seenπ
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BREAKING:
Today is the day.
The Senate holds its cloture vote on the CLARITY Act.
2:15 PM ET.
Needs 60 votes. Republicans hold 53.
Same day, the FOMC announces its rate decision.
Same day, the House Financial Services Committee marks up the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve bill.
Three major catalysts. One day.
Here's where the vote count actually stands.
More than 100 Democratic-requested edits already in the bill.
Two Democrats, Gallego and Alsobrooks, backed it in committee.
Warren still calls it "dead on arrival."
GOP senators are already bracing for it to fail, per Semafor reporting.
Polymarket odds sitting near 15-20%.
Coinbase's own backup plan, if this fails: the SEC and CFTC are ready to move with rules regardless.
11 months of negotiation comes down to this afternoon.
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This is getting ridiculous.
$BTC pumped from $76,000 to $80,000 on Friday liquidating $385M in a few hours!
Then, $BTC immediately dumped back to $76,800 liquidating $300M more!
And since then, $BTC pumped back above $78,000 liquidating another $425M.
$1.1B total Crypto liquidations over the weekend!
But this is the important bit:
In my last update, I said reclaiming $78,000 would favour $80,000 next.
Thatβs exactly what happened.
Bitcoin reclaimed the zone and pumped almost perfectly to $80,000. I also said losing $76,000 cleanly would open $74,000 - $75,000, but instead the $76,000 area has been swept and defended twice.
Bitcoin now has roughly $3.7B liquidity below between $73,500 - $77,000 and $2.3B above between $78,500 - $81,000. This means the HTF liqudity imbalance has shifted back towards the downside, which means another failed recovery could still create a much deeper pullback.
On the LTF, the largest liquidity zones sit at $75,700 - $77,000 below and $78,300 - $78,800 above, making these the likely levels to sweep next.
Whales have stacked huge bids from $74,000 - $76,500, while major sell walls remain from roughly $79,000 - $83,000. This means there is still strong demand below from whales buying dips but equally very large walls above that are proving challenging to break through.
Meanwhile, spot demand has started recovering slightly from the lows and OI has cooled, but futures traders are still selling and Coinbase Premium remains heavily negative. This means the market is recovering, but real spot demand still isnβt strong enough yet.
So to make things simple for you:
- $77,000 and $78,300 are now the two LTF magnets
- $3.7B below between $73,500 - $77,000 is the HTF liquidity risk
- Reclaim $79,000 and I favour another $80,000+ sweep; lose $76,000 cleanly and $73,500 - $75,000 comes back into play
Iβll post any changes to my positioning and the key levels Iβm watching in the free Telegram (link in bio).