@capybaraReborn has hurt his fans w/ reckless stock picks. We’re here to analyze, shit post, & help his fans get gains instead of losses.
Alberta, Canada
Joined January 2026
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Survive the choppiness with good risk management techniques and knowing when entering is worth the risk.
Rules that every New Trader must know about.
I broke every single one of them more times than I'd like to admit. And they taught me expensive lessons.
Save this. Share it with someone who needs it.
-Prof
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Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
THE MOST IMPORTANT POST YOU'LL READ TODAY.
If we look at a typical market cycle, many growth, high momentum and popular stocks experienced their Mark Up phase in April and May.
Distribution followed from June to September.
Now, many of these names have entered the Mark Down phase.
What makes this cycle so powerful is how quickly each phase happens and how easily traders get caught on the wrong side of it.
During Mark Up, prices move so aggressively that many traders either miss the rally or take profits way too early.
Then comes Distribution. Traders see prices pulling back from their highs and buy the dip. Each dip buy is rewarded with another bounce, reinforcing their conviction as they accumulate increasingly large positions.
But when Mark Down begins, the dip quickly turns into a prolonged decline, leaving many traders completely REKT.
Then there are the cautious traders who think they're being smart waiting for much lower prices.
Buying a popular stock at a huge discount feels comfortable, but they end up repeatedly trying to time the bottom in an asset that could spend months or years consolidating before its next meaningful move higher.
And this is exactly what we're seeing right now.
Many of the high flyers from the previous cycle aren't going back to their old highs anytime soon.
They'll continue to produce big rallies, giving existing holders hope and attracting fresh buyers who provide exit liquidity while largely trading sideways.
Eventually, the retail traders who didn't capitulate through price will capitulate through time.
They get tired of holding a position that's going nowhere, lose conviction and sell, often just before the next Mark Up phase begins.
This doesn't mean the same script will play out for every stock, but it's an important market dynamic to understand.
The next group of winners that will carry the market higher will be the ones quietly finishing their accumulation phases that nobody is talking about.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
Today made it very clear that every trader needs this in their playbook...
The OVEREXTENSION REVERSAL
Today was a perfect reminder of why every trader should understand this setup.
After several consecutive days of selling, some of the weakest stocks in the market started putting in extremely aggressive reversals.
But WHY does this happen?
Think about the psychology behind it...
After 3-4 consecutive red days:
-Longs begin capitulating
-Sellers start chasing the downside
-Shorts become increasingly confident
-Price gets extremely extended below the 8 EMA
-Selling volume begins accelerating
Eventually you reach a point where most of the selling has already occurred and late shorts are entering near the lows
All it takes is buyers stepping back in to create a very aggressive reversal
Shorts begin covering, late sellers get trapped, and fresh demand starts pushing price higher
This is where the OVEREXTENSION REVERSAL comes into play.
Here's exactly what I look for:
1. EXTREME OVEREXTENSION
Ideally 3+ consecutive down days or gap downs
Price stretched significantly below the 8 EMA, sometimes 3x ADR or more
The further price gets away from the moving averages, the more interesting the potential mean reversion becomes
2. SELLING EXHAUSTION
I want to see volume increasing into the lows
Sometimes you'll get a massive volume candle but price stops making progress lower
This can indicate selling is being absorbed
Remember, volume is only useful when combined with price action
3. UNDERCUT AND RECLAIM
This is my favorite confirmation
Price undercuts the previous day's low, trapping additional shorts, then aggressively reclaims that level
Ideally with a hammer or bullish engulfing candle on the 5/15m chart
Now we know that buyers are taking control
4. CONFIRMATION AND EXECUTION
I'm NOT trying to catch the exact bottom
I want to see:
A reclaim of an important intraday pivot
Higher lows beginning to form
Volume expanding on the upside
Pullbacks occurring on lighter volume
Key level being tested (100/200SMA)
The reversal low gives us a clear invalidation level, while previous resistance and the moving averages provide potential areas to study for the recovery
Here's the most important part...
An overextended stock is NOT automatically a long
It can always continue lower
The overextension creates the opportunity, but PRICE ACTION and VOLUME provide the confirmation
And don't mistake these moves for long-term market bottoms
This is a TACTICAL reversal setup
Sometimes the best day-trading longs come from stocks that have been getting absolutely destroyed for several consecutive sessions
Study today's charts and you'll see exactly what I mean
One of my favorite setups to have in the playbook
Bookmark this and go study past examples
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
My top 10 mistakes in my trading career. What to avoid to make sure you don’t make the same mistakes as I did:
1. Inverse/leveraged ETF’s have DECAY. The longer you hold, the longer you get punished.
2. Do not MARKET buy low volume stocks. Only limit orders. The spread will make you lose -3% right from the start if you market buy.
3. Investing in semi’s, electrical equipment, hardware, memory, is NOT diversified. It’s one single leveraged bet on one theme. Don’t fool yourself. They will all move the same.
4. If you have FOMO, do NOT go all-in. Start small. 1/5 position size. Then add more once you realize you were acting like an idiot.
5. BUY when others get stopped-out. Look at obvious stop-loss areas. Buy there instead.
6. Don’t do anything drastic or crazy. Always do it small first. Markets are topping? Don’t sell, just trim. Markets bottoming? Don’t go all-in, build slowly. Markets can keep going up or down for a VERY long time.
7. Stocks grind up slowly. Stocks fall fast. Don’t let your emotions make you stupid.
8. TRIM when everyone is happy. And buy more defensive stocks.
9. BUY when everyone is sad. And buy more high growth tech stocks.
10. Individual stocks do NOT matter. It’s the entire portfolio working as a system that matters. Which ones are the superstars? Which ones are the role players? Which one is the rookie? Build your system and team around your strengths.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
Showing up every single day, even when price action sucks for months on end. Redrawing chart patterns, tracking flows, logging price action and constantly adjusting price/trend line alerts.
That’s the work that pays off when conditions finally improve. The difference between a good year and a great year.
Will never be outworked.
Never outhustled.
Always prepared to make the most of the opportunities given.
Ready to cash in on some “lucky” plays 🤝
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
Here’s something I wish I learned sooner.
The market doesn’t care how long you’ve held a stock.
It doesn’t care what price you paid.
It doesn’t owe you breakeven.
Every day you hold a position…
It has to earn the right to stay in your portfolio.
Emotions will make you stay in a position
When logically you should have moved on weeks ago.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
The 21EMA is the cleanest pullback level in trading. Period.
Most traders panic at pullbacks.
The best ones build their watchlist.
12 leaders pulling back or near their 21EMA right now. This is where the cleanest entries get made.
$AMD $ARM $INTC $MRVL $LITE $DELL $NBIS $HUT $GNRC $BE $HOOD $RDDT
Here's the rule that took me years to learn:
- Leaders pull back to the 21EMA. They bounce. They run again.
- Leaders undercut the 21EMA and reclaim quickly.
- Laggards pull back to the 21EMA. They slice through it.
The 21EMA is the line that separates winners from losers in any market.
I have 1000s of 21EMA examples. And its my bread and butter.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
ROBOTICS & PHYSICAL AI CHEATSHEET:
(so you know whats going to explode next...)
$17B was invested into robotics and physical AI in Q1 2026.
That's nearly 10× more than in 2020.
These 16 companies will benefit the most:
1. $OUST – $42.02 52wk: $16.40–$51.50
Ouster's lidar sensors give robots and autonomous vehicles 3D spatial awareness for safe navigation.
2. $SYM – $41.24 (52wk: $23.59–$87.88, 1yr: +16.0%)
Symbotic's AI robots automate warehouse logistics, replacing manual labor with autonomous pallet/case handling.
3. $AEVA – $20.04 (52wk: $8.83–$38.80)
Aeva's FMCW 4D lidar detects velocity and position instantly, key for autonomous driving perception.
4. $RRX – $221.56 (52wk: $127.96–$236.35)
Regal Rexnord's motors and motion control components are the muscle inside industrial automation systems.
5. $SERV – $6.02 (52wk: $5.78–$18.64)
Serve Robotics builds autonomous sidewalk delivery robots, scaling embodied AI into everyday last-mile logistics.
6. $VPG – $135.40 (52wk: $25.49–$148.39)
Vishay Precision's sensors enable force/weight feedback critical for humanoid robot grip and balance.
7. $AMBA – $62.16 (52wk: $40.81–$96.69)
Ambarella's edge AI chips give cameras and robots on-device computer vision without cloud latency.
8. $ISRG – $404.70 (52wk: $414.30–$610.45)
Intuitive Surgical's da Vinci robots pioneer robotic-assisted surgery, the gold standard in medical automation.
9. $TSLA – $379.71 (52wk: $288.77–$498.83)
Tesla's Optimus humanoid and FSD stack apply real-world AI training data at massive vehicle scale.
10. $QCOM – $220.71 (52wk: $121.99–$259.92)
Qualcomm's edge AI chips power robotics, drones, and AI data centers beyond its core smartphone business.
11. $FFAI – $0.26 (52wk: $0.21–$3.61)
Faraday Future pivots into embodied AI humanoid robots, though execution risk remains extremely high.
12. $RR – $1.94 (52wk: $1.73–$7.43)
Richtech Robotics builds AI-powered service robots and a humanoid (DEX) for hospitality and industrial use.
13. $NNDM – $1.40 (52wk: $1.19–$2.32)
Nano Dimension makes additive manufacturing printers for electronics, enabling rapid robotics hardware prototyping.
14. $NVDA – $192.71 (52wk: $151.49–$236.54)
Nvidia's GPUs and Jetson/Isaac platforms are the compute backbone training every major physical AI system.
15. $PATH – $10.55 (52wk: $9.20–$19.84)
UiPath's software robots automate enterprise workflows, the digital-labor counterpart to physical robotics.
16. $KSCP – $1.91 (52wk: $1.78–$10.14)
Knightscope's autonomous security robots patrol real-world sites, an early commercial physical-AI deployment.
The robotics supercycle is starting already $OUST exploding and $MU says in their Q3 earnings the next 2 years will be massive for robots.
♻️ RESHARE this post and write 1 comment, I'll DM you my top 3 plays for robotics.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
SK Hynix stock is about to begin trading on the US exchanges on July 10th
SK HYNIX IS GOING PUBLIC IN THE 🇺🇸 IN JUST 3 WEEKS
SK Hynix is planning a $29.4 Billion US listing with trading set to begin on July 10th
This would be one of the top five share sales in history, comparable in size to Saudi Aramco's record 2019 IPO.
SK Hynix controls 57% of the global high-bandwidth memory market by revenue. HBM is the chip that sits inside every NVIDIA GPU powering the AI buildout. Without it, the data centers do not work.
The numbers behind the business:
Q1 2026 operating profit: $24.3 billion, a record high
Q1 2026 sales: $34 billion, nearly tripling year over year
Stock performance: +300% in Seoul this year
Market cap: over $1 trillion
The proceeds will fund additional capacity expansion and purchases of EUV lithography machines needed to make next-generation chips.
Lead underwriters: Bank of America, Citigroup, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
BREAKING: Micron stock, $MU, surges over +10% after reporting stronger than expected earnings.
The stock has now added +$120 BILLION in market cap since reporting earnings.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
One thing about gaps:
Gap ups act as support below current price.
Gap downs act as resistance above current price.
Once an upside gap is filled and price pushes past it, that gap line becomes new support.
Same in reverse. When price breaks the gap-up support, that line flips and becomes resistance.
Put 3 years in- you will see it
Put 5 years in - you can make a killing from it.
$SPCX - First gap filled, the lower one will get filled. Not only that you'll be able to buy below IPO price. No serious investor should ever be pushing to buy this above $200. Most of the accounts pushing it have casino sponsors so that should tell you what kind of trade it is.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
3 years on X. 6 years on Stocktwits.
This week alone:
→ Someone left corporate and now trades for a living - spends 3x more time with family
→ Someone expecting their first baby has the funds to give them the best life
→ Someone paid off their parents' mortgage
I get to be part of stories like this every single week.
If I had to give you ONE post to follow to the T - this is it.
The framework that's helped change lives:
A). Technical Analysis
Price action. 2 moving averages (9 EMA and 21 EMA). Volume. Bull flags. Wedges.
Relative strength on red days.
That's it.
B). Allocation
No more than 15% per trade. That's the limit, not the goal. Most trades should be 7-10%.
The 15% is reserved for your highest conviction setups only.
C). Stop Loss
Your SL is NOT optional. If you can't pre-define your loss, you shouldn't be in the trade.
Valid stop loss levels:
→ Horizontal support
→ Swing low
→ Undercut of a moving average
Anything else is a guess.
D). Trade Frequency
Long term investor: 15-20 trades per year
Swing trader: 15-20 trades per month
Day trader: Only when you see an opportunity
Overtrading kills more accounts than bad setups.
E). Sentiment Lows (Where Fortunes Get Built)
VIX at 30 → You buy.
VIX at 50 → You buy more.
VIX at 70 → You buy as much as you can.
(That last one comes once a decade. Don't be one of the people who fumbles it.)
F). Events & Assets to Avoid
→ Bio companies with binary catalysts
→ Stocks heading into earnings (unless that's your edge)
→ Halted stocks
→ Low float pump and dumps
→ Anything you can't explain in one sentence
G). Environment Check
Track sector rotation.
Watch bonds, yields, and the dollar.
Monitor NAAIM, AAII sentiment.
Stocks making new highs vs new lows.
This tells you what kind of market you're in BEFORE you trade it.
H). People to Follow
→ Those who take accountability
→ Those who are open about losses
→ Those who actually share real positions (not just hindsight wins)
→ Those willing to admit when they're wrong
The impact this platform allows me to make is unmatched.
This is the real power of community, humility, and paying it forward.
200,000 people now follow me between two platforms. I'm the only one who hasn't changed. Still read every comment. Still reply to the ones where I can offer real value. Still take losses publicly. Still call my own mistakes out before anyone else does.
That's not going to change at 500K. Not at a million. Not ever.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
SUMMARY OF FED DECISION (6/17/2026):
1. Fed leaves rates unchanged for the 4th straight meeting
2. 9 out of 18 officials expect at least one rate hike this year
3. Fed lowers its median 2026 US GDP projection from 2.4% to 2.2%
4. Fed now sees PCE inflation not returning to its 2% target until 2028
5. Fed says inflation "remains elevated" relative to their goal
6. Today's Fed decision was reached in a unanimous 12-0 vote
The Fed appears to be bracing for more inflation.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
Cant ride trends? I will fix it for you.
1. Go on a monthly chart
2. Look for a monthly base, trendline touch
3. Enter the breakout
$RDDT gave that to you at 140. And it is very early in the session.
After Google, Meta, Microsoft, and Apple, this may be the next company sitting on a goldmine of human data.
Inverse Capybara Stocks retweeted
Do this and you will never get stuck holding losers or sell a leading stock early.
1. Zoom out to Weekly & Monthly timeframe.
2. Look for long term consolidation breaks
3. Ride them as long as Weekly 9EMA holds
People miss out on moves because they dont zoom out.
$INTC Intel broke out of 4 year downtrend at $40 and went up by 225%.
Over the last two months it pulled back, consolidated and tested the weekly 9EMA for the first time.
It put a false breakdown, and broke out of a bull flag last week.
Intel is going much higher than most people are ready to accept.
