NBA Past and Present
Indiana, USA
Joined December 2018
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Jalen Williams is out for the season.
OKC title odds: 37% → 17%
Still the favorite. Just a much thinner one.
Full Projections
craftednba.com/season-projec…
Made a pretty substantial update to my metric for quantifying “Basketball IQ.”
Same idea as in 2024: measuring on-court decision-making, not grading anyone’s intelligence.
The full table is live. Top 10 in the image.
#NBA
The Wolves are 3–1, and the projection has them at 50–32. That is 7.5 wins above the preseason number.
The Heat are 0–4, down to 33–49.
Full projections, updated every hour ->
craftednba.com/season-projec…
25-12 against the spread to open the season.
Only games where our number was at least a point off the market, locked before tip.
Totals are 21-18 over the same stretch.
Today's lines:
craftednba.com/nba-picks-tod…
9-2 against the spread. 5-4 on win totals.
Every line for the season is on the picks page, live. The ones that hit and the ones that don't.
Tonight's is up.
You can't win 'em all. Unless you win your first three.
Today's lines are updated. Open a team and you'll see the exact minutes behind the number.
craftednba.com/nba-picks-tod…
CraftedNBA retweeted
If you want to make an entry in the Apbrmetrics NBA team win projection contest, DM the set to me by tomorrow.
apbr.org/metrics/viewtopic.p…
Our 2026-27 win projections are locked for tip-off.
Thunder 63-19. Nobody else clears 53.
Our boldest call: Spurs 51 wins. Vegas says 60.5.
2× APBR contest champs, 19-1 vs DARKO, LEBRON, ESPN and others.
craftednba.com/season-projec…
Which past seasons look most like LaMelo Ball’s 2026 campaign?
I searched every NBA season. These are his 10 closest overall matches between 2010 and 2019.
Bayless, Nate Rob, Lillard.
1/4
Our 2026-27 win projections are live for all 30 teams.
Thunder 63-19 at the top. Our biggest calls vs Vegas: Spurs 8.6 under, Knicks and Heat 7.5 under, Grizzlies 5.9 over.
2× APBR contest champs, 19-1 vs DARKO, LEBRON, ESPN and others over the last four years.
craftednba.com/projections
