@danielhatke

Dad. Operator. Reader. Builder. https://nitter.cf/t.co/G4BnVisA6X | https://nitter.cf/t.co/9Wdl0b0o8L | https://nitter.cf/t.co/yF2giWCNx2 | Japanese Equities: https://nitter.cf/t.co/Dixh8brzp1

Colorado, USA
Joined October 2007
Jealousy and envy are the ugliest and most destructive emotions within the human mind. Unfortunately, they too compound with network effects.
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
Fiscal dominance. And it begs the question; if hikes don’t have the same effect, is going further really the answer?
The Fed may have to go further than in prior cycles to slow down activity Hikes don't have the same effect as before
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
Still thinking about this incredible tweet
We discovered a sophisticated recording device that was hidden inside one of our offices. We used our models to understand the device and where it had come from, identifying that a specific employee had planted it a few days earlier. We referred the matter to the FBI, and we’re grateful to the agents and prosecutors who moved quickly to make an arrest. The FBI’s investigation is ongoing and we will continue to support their work. At this time, we have no indications of this individual inappropriately accessing or exfiltrating model weights, source code, or customer data. The employee was terminated. We take protecting our technology, data, and people seriously, and as a matter of national importance. Our security program is designed to protect against a wide range of threat actors, from insider risks to cybercriminals to nation states, and this case is an example of how AI can help address these sophisticated security threats.
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
90% of the time i'm looking for advice, i'm really just looking for permission
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Once you have a team setup and you think you’re pretty happy, run this:
Send this to your chief of staff @bot : "Get all the bots together and send each one off to improve one thing. Be proactive and impress me, but nothing that needs my permission. Find the gaps I haven't thought of."
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
I'm increasingly partial to the argument that increases in the fed funds rate will do little to lower inflation, and may be counterproductive. - AI investment is unlikely to slow because interest rates are slightly higher - Energy is highly inelastic and rate changes can't alleviate the current supply shock - Higher rates hurt supply-side solutions in housing, energy, autos, and other capital intensive industries - Higher borrowing costs raise business operating expenses, some of which is passed along to consumers - A large percentage of debt is fixed-rate, dampening the feedback loop but hurting new homeowners, small businesses, and investment - An economy increasingly dominated by services is less sensitive to rate changes - This century has repeatedly demonstrated how blunt interest rate policy can be, both in stimulating inflation when it's low and suppressing it when it's high
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Instead of one big fourth turning that ends in a war, what if we get a dozen little ones across a decade? Different pockets of the country, different years, each rearranging the floor on its own schedule. A cold crisis. Less cinematic, harder to call, probably what we're in.
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
Keep going. Thoreau
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Nepal, 2017. I wanted to cross into Tibet. China wanted eighteen days of lead time, so we didn't go. Inside Tibet, people were setting themselves on fire in protest and almost nobody reported it. A permission slip is the softest form of a wall, what’s stopping you?
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
We’ve seen you use Notion alongside Grok Bot, Claude, Instinct, Muse, and more. Here are 7 setups worth stealing 🧵
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My dad's lesson: the prostate kills every man if something else doesn't get him first. Mine came early, right before 40. Antibiotics kept failing until one drug stood between me and sepsis. You start thinking about dying. Surgery took the organ. I kept the reflection.
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
Art, as a representation of the last thing humans can be better at than machines, will become more valuable than ever before. Neil Gaiman’s advice to graduating students seems more apt than when he gave the speech originally: “Life is sometimes hard. Things go wrong, in life and in love and in business and in friendship and in health and in all the other ways that life can go wrong. And when things get tough, this is what you should do. Make good art. I’m serious. Husband runs off with a politician? Make good art. Leg crushed and then eaten by mutated boa constrictor? Make good art. IRS on your trail? Make good art. Cat exploded? Make good art. Somebody on the Internet thinks what you do is stupid or evil or it’s all been done before? Make good art. Probably things will work out somehow, and eventually time will take the sting away, but that doesn’t matter. Do what only you do best. Make good art. Make it on the good days too. And Fifthly, while you are at it, make your art. Do the stuff that only you can do. […] The old rules are crumbling and nobody knows what the new rules are. So make up your own rules. Someone asked me recently how to do something she thought was going to be difficult, in this case recording an audio book, and I suggested she pretend that she was someone who could do it. Not pretend to do it, but pretend she was someone who could. She put up a notice to this effect on the studio wall, and she said it helped. So be wise, because the world needs more wisdom, and if you cannot be wise, pretend to be someone who is wise, and then just behave like they would. And now go, and make interesting mistakes, make amazing mistakes, make glorious and fantastic mistakes. Break rules. Leave the world more interesting for your being here. Make good art.” If you’re complaining about AI’s impact on art, it just means you were probably not making only the stuff you can do. And, yes, that will continue to be worth less and less.
Every time I see stuff like this I just see a status war. People used to gain approval and power from making art, and now they are no longer valuable to others through this method, so there is a huge push to stigmatize the competitor and maintain their old position
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Daniel Hatke retweeted
Read Jacob Savage on what went wrong with kids' books. thefp.com/p/how-grown-ups-ru…
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The kind of thing that starts a revolution, if they weren’t glued to their phones.
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What's the smallest thing you built this month that you used to pay someone for, or never did because you couldn’t afford it? Mine: A GTD agent that manages things for me. I’ve needed an EA for many years. Busting at the seams here, this agent is making my life better.
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Then the rest comes back. Optimism is downstream of motion.
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Problems are soluble. Not easy. Soluble. Be the pilot in command.
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Everyone sells optimism from the mountaintop. I'm writing this from a hard chapter.
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Here's what works for me: I don't wait for the mood to change. I make a little progress. Any progress.
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Long weeks. More shots on goal. Fewer guarantees. I get stuck in ruts of pessimism more than I'd like.
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