David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume) header
David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume) profile picture

A rock-climbing father of two and software developer. @dblume@mastodon.social, https://nitter.cf/t.co/xC6EvbuDNN He/Him

Silicon Valley
Joined November 2006
Photo by David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume)Photo by David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume)Photo by David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume)Photo by David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป (@dblume)
If you remove my programming editor (vi) from my work identity (David), you get my home identity (Dad).
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
THE MOST INCOMPETENT WAR IN HISTORY: SARAH PAINE ON TRUMPโ€™S IRAN DISASTER Dr. Sarah Paine, a leading historian of great-power conflict and strategy, delivers a blunt verdict on the Iran war. She calls it one of the most incompetent wars in human history. The decision ignored basic principles of assessment, put maximum costs on America itself, and left permanent damage to the countryโ€™s power and alliances. This is not hindsightโ€”it is the predictable result of hubris meeting reality. THE CORE VERDICT โžก๏ธ โ€œThe Iran war is probably one of the most incompetent wars in human history.โ€ โžก๏ธ A competent war puts the costs on the enemy and minimizes them for yourself. โžก๏ธ This one did the opposite. THE COST CATASTROPHE โžก๏ธ It trashed the US economy. โžก๏ธ It blew the US alliance system. โžก๏ธ Iran is hurting, but the collateral damage is taking down the worldโ€™s economy. โžก๏ธ That transforms the United States from a partner into an annoyanceโ€”and for many, a primary adversaryโ€”because it is threatening their economies. โžก๏ธ โ€œThatโ€™s breathtakingly incompetent.โ€ THE STRATEGIC BLIND SPOT โžก๏ธ Any serious assessment looks at the enemyโ€™s strengths and your own weaknesses, plus everyone else who might intervene. โžก๏ธ That was absent. โžก๏ธ The first thing Iran would do is shut Hormuz. Narrow seas close in wartime. Ukraine already showed this with the Black Sea. โžก๏ธ Shore artillery, mines, and other tools stop traffic. There is no mystery here. โžก๏ธ The big naval base in Bahrain becomes unreachable. The fallback is Diego Garcia, 2,500 miles away in the middle of nowhere. โ€œThat would be a mess.โ€ THE HUBRIS THAT MADE IT POSSIBLE โžก๏ธ The people making the calls are historically unqualified for the job. That makes them profoundly dangerous. โžก๏ธ Type A hubris assumes all decisions that matter happen in the United States. โžก๏ธ Type B hubris assumes being good at one thing makes you good at everything. โžก๏ธ Half-court tennis: you only watch your own side and never study the other team. โžก๏ธ The Iranians understand Americans far better than Americans understand them. THE UNFEASIBLE OBJECTIVE โžก๏ธ Trying to โ€œsolveโ€ Iran with 90 million people was never realistic. โžก๏ธ Nazi Germany had roughly 80 million and required an occupation force of about 1.5 million just to hold it after the warโ€”before counting everyone else. โžก๏ธ The goal was unattainable. Pursuing it guarantees overextension and a bad ending. โžก๏ธ The lesson the world takes is simple: get a nuke. The war incentivized proliferation. โžก๏ธ This was a pivotal error. The choices that existed before are gone and will not return. โ€œWe will never be the trusted partner ever again. Itโ€™s done.โ€ THE BOTTOM LINE The Iran war did not merely fail. It maximized American costs, destroyed trust with allies, and handed every rival a clearer reason to treat the United States as a threat to their own prosperity. Competence would have contained the problem at affordable cost. Hubris chose the opposite. This is what permanent strategic damage looks like. #IranWar #SarahPaine #StrategicIncompetence #HormuzDisaster #USHubris #AllianceCollapse #CatastrophicMistake HT: YouTube The Diary Of A CEO
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Wow. I woke up to an impressive number of upset people who apparently donโ€™t understand how LLMs work and canโ€™t cope well with me pointing it out. An LLM is a statistical next-token prediction model. Thatโ€™s how it works. Itโ€™s an extraordinarily sophisticated calculator performing math you could theoretically do by hand (if you were sufficiently masochistic). Math doesnโ€™t know what itโ€™s calculating. Pi doesnโ€™t spend its evenings contemplating the nature of circles, and c doesnโ€™t ponder the relationship between matter and energy. That doesnโ€™t make the results any less accurate, impressive, or useful. Between inference requests, an LLM isnโ€™t sitting around thinking. It isnโ€™t reconsidering its answers, wondering whether it made a mistake, contemplating its existence, or questioning whether itโ€™s conscious. Its weights remain fixed (it doesnโ€™t learn), and computation resumes when it receives input. We know this because we designed these systems. The architectures, mathematics, implementations, and research are extensively documented. You can study them yourself. Of course, some people immediately lean into comparisons of biological intelligence or philosophical debates over consciousness because that is what they know. But biological intelligence and artificial neural networks are fundamentally different systems. Similar outputs donโ€™t establish equivalent internal experiences. I experience consciousness directly. I infer that other humans do too because we share biological structures and processes. We donโ€™t have equivalent evidence for an LLM, and nothing about its known operation gives evidence of conscious experience. Which brings me back to my original point. To me, understanding is conscious comprehension. It means being aware of information, recognizing its meaning, and experiencing that comprehension. If I wasnโ€™t conscious I could not understand. We can perform actions unconsciously. We can produce correct results without knowing why theyโ€™re correct. But I distinguish those capabilities from consciously understanding what weโ€™re doing. An LLM can solve complex problems, explain difficult concepts, and produce remarkably accurate information. I give it full credit for those capabilities. But producing an answer that we rationalize as understanding isnโ€™t the same as experiencing understanding. You donโ€™t have to agree with my definitions. We can debate functional understanding versus conscious comprehension all day, but that wonโ€™t establish whether an LLM actually experiences anything. The right debate is thisโ€ฆ Could machines exhibit something different from human consciousness, something measurable, meaningful, and worth studying? I think so, absolutely! Iโ€™m entirely open to discussing โ€œmachine consciousnessโ€ in terms of observable, testable computational properties. We built these systems, we can instrument them, examine their internal mechanisms, and investigate what theyโ€™re capable of. That seems far more productive than endlessly arguing over whether a machine experiences life the way humans do. So hereโ€™s my question: How would you define machine consciousness, and more importantly, how would you measure it?
Not sure who needs to hear this but.... An LLM doesn't "understand" anything. It is a statistical model that spews out tokens based on probabilities calculated through massive matrix operations and context, not an understanding of the subject matter.
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Hello again! Here's our piece from Sunday about Twitter. Bye! youtube.com/watch?v=p7ZG_xWYโ€ฆ
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
WOW! Protesters created a HUGE human sign on San Franciscoโ€™s Ocean Beach reading โ€œNo Kings YES on 50โ€ to support Californiaโ€™s Prop 50 and stand up against Donald Trumpโ€™s fascist regime
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
The Government is now shut down,but apparently no body called the school in Bronx that had come to the Capitol for their tour today so theyโ€™re getting the treat of a lifetime since AOC agreed to give them the tour herself! Im loving this for all of them! ๐Ÿ’™๐ŸŽค๐Ÿ”ฅ
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Everyone trying to use murder as a pretext to persecute perceived enemies before they know a thing about the the killer is saying they don't really care about the killer's identity or motivation, which are incidental and immaterial to the goal of advancing their political agenda
The last time the radical Left orchestrated a wave of violence and terror, J. Edgar Hoover shut it all down within a few years. It is time, within the confines of the law, to infiltrate, disrupt, arrest, and incarcerate all of those who are responsible for this chaos.
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
I like the fact that Earth has an entire surplus continent, but everyone still fixates on Mars. We have barren ice desert at home!
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
โ€œThere are three ways to ultimate success: The first way is to be kind. The second way is to be kind. The third way is to be kind."-Mr. Rogers
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Animation by Yoh Yoshinari* | Neon Genesis Evangelion (1995) #penciltest #sakuga #genga #2danimation
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How unfillable is the hole in your soul that one could be the literal richest person in the world and then be upset that America has an agency that helps the poorest in the world? mastodon.social/@carnage4lifโ€ฆ
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Elon Musk is a terrible president.
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
today is exactly 25 years since the greatest newspaper comic strip ever was published
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Bill Watterson, the genius behind Calvin and Hobbes, on creating a meaningful life
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
a=(x,y,o=mag(k=x/4-12.5,e=y/9+9)/9)=>point((q=x+99+tan(1/k)+o*k*(cos(e*9)/2+cos(y/9)/.7)*sin(o*4-t*2))*.7*sin(c=o*e/30-t/8)+200,200+y*cos(c*4-o)-q/2*cos(c)) t=0,draw=$=>{t||createCanvas(w=400,w);background(6).stroke(w,46);for(t+=PI/60,i=2e4;i--;)a(i%100,i/250)}#ใคใถใ‚„ใProcessing
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
ใ‚คใƒณใ‚ฏ็ต‚ใ‚ใฃใŸโ€ฆใ‚ใจใฏ็€ๅฝฉใฎใฟใ€‚
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
This is good, actually. She barely shows up and doesnโ€™t do the reading. To borrow a phrase I saw elsewhere, itโ€™s like giving someone an unplugged controller.
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
This scene is literally just god hand gameplay
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
Whether it's Tim Walz expanding his state's school lunch program or Matt Gaetz giving cocaine and Ecstasy to underage sex workers, both sides have taken controversial approaches towards feeding children.
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
legacy software companies adding an ai chatbot to their product
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David Blume ๐Ÿง—โ€โ™‚๏ธ๐Ÿ‘จโ€๐Ÿ‘ฉโ€๐Ÿ‘งโ€๐Ÿ‘ฆ ๐Ÿ‘จ๐Ÿปโ€๐Ÿ’ป retweeted
My meager education in biology and evolution gave me the mistaken impression that evolution optimized everything. But it didn't. One example is the recurrent laryngeal nerve (RLN). It goes from behind your ear, loops down below your aorta, and then back up to the voice-box 1/2
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