Are you still forgetting, or do you already remember? Part 1
Let's assume that we don't know each other before and we meet for the first time at a conference.
Now if I tell you my name, you'll probably remember it after 5 minutes (as long as you listened to me, which isn't always the case at conferences).
After a day there is a higher chance that you will have forgotten it.
And after a week you will have forgotten the majority of the names that were said to you at the conference.
This is the famous forgetting curve. The more time goes on, the more you forget. And most of the forgetting happens in the first few hours. This is probably due to our brain filtering out information that it does not consider relevant.
The fact is: Our brain is not good at remembering things but rather efficient at forgetting.
But what if I told you that forgetting is a choice?
With the right technique and tools, you can remember almost anything.
At least that's what Australian physicist Michael Nielsen claims.
But first things first:
Assuming you remember my name the day after the conference (for example, because you add me on LinkedIn or start a conversation with me again), the forgetting curve is flattened.
My name is now more firmly anchored in your brain. And each subsequent memory anchors the name more firmly in your mind. After a few repetitions it will probably be saved for a lifetime. This works even better if you recall actively and not passively.
Space repetition tools like Anki exploit this principle. In Anki you create flashcards that you have to answer later. Depending on your assessment of the answer, the algorithm decides when to ask you the question again.
They are very popular among students: Anki cards are mostly used to prepare for exams. But I believe most users use Anki incorrectly and only scratch the surface of what is possible. Anki is not just a tool for...
1
96
binge-and-purge studying (this term refers to the repetition of hundreds of flashcards before exams in order to recall the knowledge on the day of the exam, only to forget it again afterwards).
The magic of Anki is that it enables you to retain information for a lifetime with relatively little time investment.
Ideally, you only have to repeat an Anki card six times in the first year. If we need on average 10 seconds for each repetition, we would spend 1 minute of learning time per year to retain a particular piece of information.
Of course, this number can vary. Some things are easier for us to remember, such as the names of people we already interact with. Others require more repetition on average, such as learning Chinese characters.
Six is the number of repetitions if we don't make a mistake while retrieving.
The miracle happens in the second year. Now all that is needed is one more repetition, because the forgetting curve continues to flatten and the gaps increase exponentially.
Ideally, you only need nine repetitions within the first 10 years and about 10 repetitions in 40 years.
A fact can therefore be learned over the course of a lifetime in less than two minutes.
Of course, this is the ideal case: in my experience, the most effort goes into the first few weeks, when the most repetitions take place.
If the card is poorly worded or the topic is difficult, you may have to repeat it a lot until you really memorize the card. When I use Anki to learn Chinese characters...
1
47
...many require me 10 or more repetitions to even get them to sit in my brain. But once they sit, I know I can keep them for the rest of my life with very little effort.
In his essay “Augmenting Long-term Memory,” Michael Nielsen writes that he incorporates facts into his Anki system when he believes they are worth 10 minutes of learning time.
I think that's a good rule. Because even if you could theoretically remember everything, you don't need to remember everything.
You don't have to remember the name of every person you meet at a conference, but for some persons, this effort of a few minutes is definitely worth it. In the end who or what you remember is always your decision.
A question that is often asked at this point is why we should even remember facts these days.
Well, that is the topic for the next part of this essay series. 😊
24
philipp ⚡ retweeted
Some bitcoiners want bitcoin as money and think price appreciation is counterproductive because it makes people hold bitcoin instead of spending it. Other bitcoiners want bitcoin to keep appreciating as an asset without becoming money, so it doesn't upset the government. In my view, bitcoin can't become money without its value rising, and its value can't keep rising without it becoming money. If bitcoin keeps working as designed, it keeps appreciating until it becomes money.
Money is the general medium of exchange, the thing people are most likely to trade. What you are most likely to trade is the thing in which you have the largest cash balances. Bitcoin will only become money when its cash balances are large and held by a very large number of people, and for that to happen, Number must Go Up. If bitcoin cash balances are tiny, it cannot be money, no matter how much we larp circular economies and annoy merchants to accept it only to convert it to fiat to pay their rent and staff. If bitcoin keeps appreciating until its cash balances are the largest of any cash in the world, people will use it for trade, and it will be money. You won't have to pester a merchant to accept it, because his own cash balance, and the cash balances of his landlord and staff, are mostly in bitcoin, and they all want it.
Bitcoin will have to appreciate enormously to work as money, whether you like it or not. And if bitcoin keeps appreciating, people will use it as money, whether you like it or not.
Embrace the NGU.
philipp ⚡ retweeted
Bunch of people losing their shit: how does he have the time to be Stripe's CEO AND read Brothers Karamazov?
Same people are surprised by how fast the most effective operators text back. I think all comes from the same place: short feedback loops, which build causal models.
If you act on ideas *fast* they don't stay as ideas long which means you get feedback on errors *fast*. This compounds over time and all your models become causal: they track the actual moving structures of the world. If you don't act on ideas fast they proliferate and become these big castles, these flights-of-fancy that might be barely tethered to reality.
Brothers Karamazov was Einstein’s favorite novel, a verdict he shared with Freud, Hillary Clinton, and Murakami. Dostoyevsky was Pope Francis’s favorite author. Indeed, he approvingly quoted Elder Zosima; perhaps an interesting case of art molding life. At the risk of betraying my relative shallowness and inferiority, I confess that I did not love it.
Written in the shadow of the death of Dostoyevsky’s son (also Alyosha), and, more broadly, after a life of repeated tragedy, Karamazov attempts most of all to address the problem of evil in Christianity. Ivan presents a trenchant argument, asking how the suffering of children may possibly be explained given the existence of a supposedly benevolent God (Dostoyevsky collected real court cases for Ivan), culminating in Ivan’s famous return of the ticket.
The book gives some sense for how dislocating the nineteenth century must have been. The ascendant authority of science, the spread of materialist philosophy, the doctrine of evolution, the aftermath of the French revolution and its supposedly enlightened empiricism: in Karamazov, we get the feeling that finding some kind of consilience wasn’t just an abstract philosophical challenge, but a source of intense spiritual torment. If inherited tradition is no longer an adequate basis for faith, why would we rationally cleave to an apparently irrational theology? All of this was in the air: it was only two years later that Nietzsche declared God to be dead.
Perhaps demonstrating the utility of the novel as a medium, Dostoyevsky does not even attempt to solve the problem, but merely to illustrate a response, showing how individuals (Alyosha, Elder Zosima) may in the face of the inherent injustice present in the world nonetheless pursue lives of benevolence and charity: theodicy-by-example. In so doing, Dostoyevsky tacitly concedes that none of the teetering justifications expounded over the centuries can actually survive critical pressure and be defended through pure logic.
Ultimately, though, I don’t find myself being fully compelled by Dostoyevsky’s characterization of the problem or his proposed solution. As another sprawling confrontation with and attempt to reconcile the problem of evil, Grossman’s Life and Fate is maybe a useful counterpoint. Unlike Karamazov, Life and Fate shows actual people confronting great wickedness. Ikonnikov, a small but important figure, is ordered to help in the construction of a gas chamber. He refuses, with full awareness of the consequences that will ensue. The Karamazovs, by contrast, live middle class lives unvisited by greater events. Ivan has money, education, and leisure; his torment is the invention of his own mind and thus a kind of self-indulgence. Even Alyosha, the novel’s most sympathetic character, is never tested. His crisis is spiritual: there is a slightly comic kerfuffle about Zosima’s noisome corpse, which challenges his faith, but no circumstance requires him to stake his life or even his comfort.
Thus, a fundamental issue with Karamazov is that the problems of the book are on some level fake: they’re the self-inflicted derangements of febrile and dysregulated men. How much can or should we learn from the insane?
To be charitable to Dostoyevsky, we might say that he understood the spiritual dislocation of the era that later gives rise to the larger evils of totalitarianism in the twentieth, even prefiguring them in the Grand Inquisitor. (Dostoyevsky explored this theme in greater detail a few years earlier in Demons.) Camus in 1959: “The real nineteenth century prophet was Dostoevsky, not Karl Marx.” In this interpretation, the problems in Karamazov set the stage for those in Life and Fate.
Maybe. At least as a work of art, I’m not sure that this anticipation is enough to make the book stand on its own. In Karamazov, one continually wonders why the brothers don’t just pull it together. Dostoyevsky seems to transpose his own inner depths and spiritual torment onto his characters, but most people are not tortured writers, and it does not feel that the unhingedness of the characters is ever fully earned.
In attempting to address evil, Grossman’s conclusion is ostensibly similar to Dostoyevsky’s: the only resolution lies in senseless kindness. For Dostoyevsky, this message is embodied in Alyosha, who represents a kind of fervent innocence. For me, however, it’s not clear that Alyosha ever fathoms the realities and extremities of evil, and hence he’s not fully persuasive: does he even reckon with the misdeeds of his brothers?
Grossman is willing to engage head on. Far beyond gruesome newspaper anecdotes or neurotic and volatile siblings, Ikonnikov directly experiences the Holodomor in Ukraine and then the murders of the Jews. He has no patience for the kind of revolutionary ideas that animated Ivan’s contemporaries: “whenever we see [the dawn of an eternal good], the blood of old people and children is always shed.”
Alyosha believes in the Church and is willing to set aside its failures to address suffering. The book closes on his declaration that all shall rise again. That is, Alyosha does not accept the tragedy of Ilyusha, an innocent boy’s death, but rather seeks to deny and escape it. “We shall see each other and shall tell each other with joy and gladness all that has happened.”
Life and Fate flatly rejects providential resolution. The heavens may be empty, and there is no greater meaning in evil. We can simply choose (freedom the other great theme of Life and Fate) to pursue acts of charity, generosity, and comfort:
“Yes, as well as this terrible Good with a capital ‘G’, there is everyday human kindness. The kindness of an old woman carrying a piece of bread to a prisoner, the kindness of a soldier allowing a wounded enemy to drink from his water-flask, the kindness of youth towards age, the kindness of a peasant hiding an old Jew in his loft. The kindness of a prison guard who risks his own liberty to pass on letters written by a prisoner not to his ideological comrades, but to his wife and mother.”
These acts don’t ennoble the suffering but are instead justified on their own terms. Such altruism cannot become a catechism, as clearly lies in Alyosha’s destiny (and Karamazov was planned before Dostoyevsky's death as the first of two works); instead, our kindness must be senseless. And we should presume no salvation in adherence: Alyosha imagines a kind of sacred tutelage, but Ikonnikov is unceremoniously shot.
Karamazov doesn’t show true evil, and Dostoyevsky’s solution, such as it is, involves a kind of denial, or at least evasion through metaphysics. Grossman saw it directly, and instead argues, humanistically, that we should be kind just because.
—
If Dostoyevsky came to his works by trying to understand and depict Russian society, they in turn became tapestries for others to understand national souls.
In the aftermath of WWI, Russia was the great power defined in opposition to the West. As Germany tried to rediscover its own soul in the wreckage of defeat, it looked east to Russia, and frequently to Dostoyevsky himself.
Carl Jung thought that the German people had a kind of Karamazovian quality. In particular, he believed that Christianity had disciplined them without fully transforming the impulses beneath their ostensibly civilized conduct: the “Germanic barbarian” was divided into upper and lower halves. Religion had domesticated the former while leaving the latter untamed. Waning faith consequently threatened to release forces that its authority had long restrained: “As the Christian view of the world loses its authority, the more menacingly will the ‘blond beast’ be heard prowling about in its underground prison, ready at any moment to burst out with devastating consequences. When this happens in the individual it brings about a psychological revolution, but it can also take a social form.”
Dostoyevsky was reputedly invoked on a weekly basis at Max Weber’s Sunday gatherings. At the beginning of Reflections of a Nonpolitical Man, Thomas Mann’s later-repudiated 1918 nationalist polemic, he quotes approvingly Dostoyevsky’s characterization of Germany as the “protesting Western empire”, never quite adopting or feeling at home with the inheritance of Rome. In the same year, Spengler wrote Decline of the West, and explicitly perceived in Russia a youthful vigor, primitiveness, and irrationality that contrasted with the senile high culture of the German and Western worlds. In Magic Mountain, Mann later used Clavdia Chauchat to personify the seductive dangers of Eastern (i.e. Russian) illogic.
Hermann Hesse declared that, for all their differences, Fyodor, Dmitri, Ivan, and Alyosha are actually all of one type; the Russian man. In them, he perceived that “the ideal of the Karamazov, primeval, Asiatic, and occult, is already beginning to consume the European soul”, which was leading to the downfall of Europe. In Hesse’s conception, the Russian man rejects inherited ethics and morals, and even beneficent Alyosha represents an “amoral impartiality.” Man is, Hesse says, halfway between animals and higher consciousness; the former restrained through the process of civilization and domestication. The Karamazovs represent the fraying of the ties.
Hesse proceeds, ominously, to notice that the Germans in particular are more vulnerable than any European people to the temptations of “all those evils which one may regard in different ways, but which collectively signify the Karamazov.” While he was prescient in anticipating some of what would follow, he was in the end too sanguine in his hope that the spiritual dislocation could remain limited to that. “It is possible that the whole Downfall of Europe will play itself out only inwardly, only in the souls of a generation, only in changing the meaning of worn-out symbols, in the dis-valuation of spiritual values.” Alas!
In general, it is interesting to trace the mutual obsession between Russia and Germany: how preoccupied each was with the respective supposedly corrupting influences; how urgent the question of the national soul was felt to be. Many of the analyses seem a bit contradictory—Hesse actually inverts Dostoyevsky, for whom “everything is permitted” nihilism is a Western import for which Russian Orthodoxy is the cure—but there’s a striking intensity in the attempts to apprehend.
Most of all, I’m struck by how anachronistic it all feels today: a country’s writers investigating the national soul and the nation’s fate through the lens of foreign literature.
Which novels or works of art do we use to understand our contemporary issues? Should we be using such works? Do they inform or do they mislead? Today, the US worries a lot about China, but this mostly manifests at the level of trade balances, AI policy, and military prowess. We don’t seem to worry much about the spiritual force of Chinese ideals, and for all of the policy fractiousness, China continues to import and absorb American culture with enthusiasm that is mostly undimmed. There is a genre of jeremiad and cultural analysis in the US that rhymes a little with early twentieth century German criticism, but it today tends to be much more clinical, hinging around PISA scores, smartphones, lower fertility, and not around higher aspirations and ideals as such. So, to what extent should there be analyses of the national soul? And to what extent should they connect with major novels and works of art?
What most miss in the Anakin prequel debate:
Lord Sidious is playing a double game. The Clone Wars were staged. He controls both sides and wins by destroying both.
Anakin is not a hero but a naive victim whose justified criticism of a corrupt system is exploited by Sidious.
Anakin is like a voter who turns against one party to vote for another that promises him an end to corruption and war.
Only later to realize that he has merely voted for the other side of the same coin.
1
87
philipp ⚡ retweeted
“I’m a real self-educated kind of guy. I read voraciously. Every book I ever bought, I have. I can’t throw it away. Some of them are in warehouses. I’ve got a library that I keep the ones I really really like. I look around my library some nights and I do these terrible things to myself—I count up the books and think, how long I might have to live and think, ‘F**k, I can’t read two-thirds of these books.’ It overwhelms me with sadness.”
–David Bowie
Many thanks to our Czech friends for co-organizing yesterday's cross-border Bitcoin walk in Vienna, and especially for putting together the great (but tough!) Bitcoin quiz.
It was wonderful to see our communities growing together in such a decentralized way. I hope there will be many more meetups like this to come. 😎
#proofofwalk #bitcoinwalk
1
70
philipp ⚡ retweeted
my timeline has been full of reasons to leave austria lately.
i'm austrian born, have lived in vienna for 10+ years now, and i see it very differently.
vienna is THE package to have a beautiful life in a globalized world.
the first thing everyone quotes is the 50% tax. taxes are high, yes. but living costs are comparatively cheap.
it makes a difference what you have left all expenses paid vs just quoting empty tax numbers of gross salaries.
and regarding the ever-lasting whining about bureaucracy: founding a gmbh (austrian ltd) as a solo founder is actually super easy and 100% digital these days. no need for a notary or anything like that.
then there's "everything is closed on sunday". yes, and that's the nice part. the whole city is quiet and people just... enjoy. i feel like people just don't have a grip on how to organize their lives properly. just order your groceries if you cannot manage otherwise or go on saturday.
what never shows up in these tax comparisons is the life around it. vienna is an amazingly beautiful city, extremely safe, with a super cool cultural program and nature all around. it's 60 min from my doorstep to the airport gate (yes really), everything is walkable, you can reach basically the entire city in under 30 min, and in summer you can go swimming everywhere.
so no, i'm not leaving. i'm building my company and raising my daughter right here.
@denisyurchak you're welcome to stay too 😏
philipp ⚡ retweeted
Robert Breedlove praised Jack Mallers for translating the philosophy of Bitcoin into hip-hop-style retardmaxxing.
And Jack was honest: the best argument for the masses is the status consumption of rich Bitcoiners.
That tells you everything about retail adoption. And its problem.
Retail is dumb money.
This is no accident. Decades of capital destruction and distortion have pushed entrepreneurship toward consumption. Too many build for the consumer, too few build capital.
Low time preference money, high time preference industry. Nowhere is this clearer than at conferences. They track NgU cycles more closely than anything else. Number go down, tourists go home.
philipp ⚡ retweeted
"I am not merely a child. I did not come into existence just seven years ago. I am the newly grown head of a being whose tail stretches back to the primordial soup—an unbroken lineage shaped by the forces of sexual reproduction for over a billion years. For me to exist, hundreds of millions of generations before me chose a partner, each decision shaping every fiber of my being. I do not simply feel love; I am built by it. It has formed me in ways I cannot escape. That is why I feel its meaning and its ache so deeply."
Have you ever learned a new fact and suddenly remembered an old fight with your parents—one where this knowledge would have been the perfect winning argument?
7-year-old me: "I'm in love! I have deep, profound feelings about it!"
Mom: "You're just a child. You're only a few years old—what could you possibly know about love?"
7-year-old me: That sounds reasonable… and yet, I am utterly shattered by this experience. I have the hunch this is not right.
What I’d say now:
"I am not merely a child. I did not come into existence just seven years ago. I am the newly grown head of a being whose tail stretches back to the primordial soup—an unbroken lineage shaped by the forces of sexual reproduction for over a billion years. For me to exist, hundreds of millions of generations before me chose a partner, each decision shaping every fiber of my being. I do not simply feel love; I am built by it. It has formed me in ways I cannot escape. That is why I feel its meaning and its ache so deeply."
Notion has changed a lot over the years. Back in 2022 we made a bet on AI changing the way people work, and it's what pushed us toward what we're building now: a context system for humans and agents, no matter the tools you use.
philipp ⚡ retweeted
I find it ironic that there are 20 year old kids writing articles telling me how to change my life.
My friend, you have barely changed your razor.
philipp ⚡ retweeted
REASON NUMBER 1 MILLION THAT I WILL CONTINUE TO ADVOCATE FOR BITCOIN
People in Paraguay protest after their money disappears into thin air 🇵🇾
> Ueno Bank, which held money of 60% of the adult population was shut down by the govt for financial trouble
> People lost their life savings and even the govt lost retirement money kept in the bank for elderly
> Govt is now promising to reimburse some money to the poor, but the rich will still lose their entire wealth
Paraguay has a PCI ~$10k, which some bhosads will claim must make it a paradise 😁
























