Wannabe polymath. Former Head of Investment & Research @tokenmetricsinc. Subscribe to https://nitter.cf/t.co/wq6X0W3tYU for institutional grade research & trades.
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Joined July 2013
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I built a fair value model for $HYPE with real fees and buyback data.
Investors are paying up to a 40% premium right now, but that could be justified.
Base case: $50-54
Bull case: Read👇
degenengineer.substack.com/p…
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
Expanding on why I believe "ETH as store of value (SoV)" makes much more sense to focus on than "ETH as fee-burning token".
Three primary reasons:
1. ETH as fee-burning token never was as strong as it seemed
2. Optimizing for ETH as fee-burning token would demand Ethereum and ETH function in ways that are very hard to make compatible with decentralization and capture resistance.
3. Meanwhile, optimizing for ETH as SoV is aligned with Ethereum focusing on its unique strengths (decentralization and CROPS)
EIP-1559 (including its burn) is fine and good, we should keep them. But we should not feel sad if fee burn is < 10% of breakeven indefinitely; the value of ETH comes from elsewhere.
The core idea: the big thing that people appreciate about Ethereum is decentralization and CROPS. The main pragmatic benefit that these things translate into is stability. SoV is the category where that is not an unneeded extra we merely put effort into for ideological reasons, but rather a pragmatic strength from the perspective of people putting in their assets. And in the era of AI disruption, stability will be highly valued.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
ETH is playing the biggest game, which is the SoV game.
Read this.
Expanding on why I believe "ETH as store of value (SoV)" makes much more sense to focus on than "ETH as fee-burning token".
Three primary reasons:
1. ETH as fee-burning token never was as strong as it seemed
2. Optimizing for ETH as fee-burning token would demand Ethereum and ETH function in ways that are very hard to make compatible with decentralization and capture resistance.
3. Meanwhile, optimizing for ETH as SoV is aligned with Ethereum focusing on its unique strengths (decentralization and CROPS)
EIP-1559 (including its burn) is fine and good, we should keep them. But we should not feel sad if fee burn is < 10% of breakeven indefinitely; the value of ETH comes from elsewhere.
The core idea: the big thing that people appreciate about Ethereum is decentralization and CROPS. The main pragmatic benefit that these things translate into is stability. SoV is the category where that is not an unneeded extra we merely put effort into for ideological reasons, but rather a pragmatic strength from the perspective of people putting in their assets. And in the era of AI disruption, stability will be highly valued.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
True. He deleted his election-day "Vote red today!" post after the midterm results showed major Republican losses, including in Texas races he heavily funded. Reports confirm that specific post is gone. His account still has many other recent pro-GOP posts and RTs visible.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
We should not have to even think about pro crypto and anti crypto politicians.
Or politicians at all.
We just want to be left the f*ck alone.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
A little something that's not mentioned, and ppl may not even think about:
Binance did not borrow money
Binance did not sell assets
Binance did not raise money
Binance covered from its balance sheet.
This differs from other incidents that people keep wanting to compare to. 🙏
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
Last time the market didn't properly sell off after a huge event like this was the FTX collapse
When I saw the lack of follow through then I got giga bullish
And we subsequently went from 16k to 100k
Hard to be bearish here after having been given the same setup yet again
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
BREAKING: The crypto industry has now seen an estimated 750 security incidents in 2026, with total potential losses reaching $9.0 billion.
This marks a +133% increase in total losses compared to 2025 levels.
2027 will be the year of cybersecurity investments.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
Iran war.
CLARITY Act blocked.
First Fed hike in 3 years.
Treasury yields at multi-decade highs.
Strategy sold 6,916 Bitcoin.
COLDCARD exploited.
Ledger exploited.
Binance hacked.
I genuinely don’t think people realize how much bad news Bitcoin has absorbed.
If this isn’t a sign of resilience and potential seller exhaustion, I don’t know what is.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
trade[XYZ] and ICE, owner of the New York Stock Exchange, are joining forces to bring 24/7 perpetual futures on Hyperliquid to the United States.
In just over a year, our markets on Hyperliquid have surpassed $650 billion in volume. They provide continuous price discovery for stocks, indices, and commodities, and have become trusted reference points for retail and institutions alike when traditional markets are closed. Much of the world trades them. Until now, Americans could only watch.
We intend to change that. Subject to CFTC approval, trade[XYZ] and ICE plan to establish a new, dedicated U.S. market, with novel exchange and clearing infrastructure built on Hyperliquid. Planned contracts span equities, indices, commodities, FX, and crypto, with access through participating brokers and platforms. We’ll share more on products, eligibility, and timing as approvals progress.
ICE brings more than 25 years of experience operating regulated markets, clearing, and managing risk. trade[XYZ] brings the product development, market design, and technology behind the most liquid and robust markets on Hyperliquid.
Innovation and the protections of U.S. regulation shouldn’t be a trade-off. Together, we plan to prove it.
ICE is making a strategic investment in trade[XYZ] and joins us in building towards the future of Hyperliquid. A small group of market luminaries is joining as well, beginning with Stan Druckenmiller. For more than four decades, few investors have anticipated the great turns in markets as often as Stan. We’re proud to have him with us for the next one.
We’re building the U.S. market in parallel with our existing HIP-3 markets, which we’ll continue to expand and innovate on. We expect both to flourish. They each have a long road map ahead, from new asset classes to new ways to trade them.
To the Hyperliquid community, whether you were here before us or came because of us, thank you. You took a chance on new markets and you made them matter. You’ll forever be a part of this story.
Anything. Anytime. On ICE[XYZ].
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
Joining forces with @tradexyz
Welcome to our community.
trade[XYZ] and ICE, owner of the New York Stock Exchange, are joining forces to bring 24/7 perpetual futures on Hyperliquid to the United States.
In just over a year, our markets on Hyperliquid have surpassed $650 billion in volume. They provide continuous price discovery for stocks, indices, and commodities, and have become trusted reference points for retail and institutions alike when traditional markets are closed. Much of the world trades them. Until now, Americans could only watch.
We intend to change that. Subject to CFTC approval, trade[XYZ] and ICE plan to establish a new, dedicated U.S. market, with novel exchange and clearing infrastructure built on Hyperliquid. Planned contracts span equities, indices, commodities, FX, and crypto, with access through participating brokers and platforms. We’ll share more on products, eligibility, and timing as approvals progress.
ICE brings more than 25 years of experience operating regulated markets, clearing, and managing risk. trade[XYZ] brings the product development, market design, and technology behind the most liquid and robust markets on Hyperliquid.
Innovation and the protections of U.S. regulation shouldn’t be a trade-off. Together, we plan to prove it.
ICE is making a strategic investment in trade[XYZ] and joins us in building towards the future of Hyperliquid. A small group of market luminaries is joining as well, beginning with Stan Druckenmiller. For more than four decades, few investors have anticipated the great turns in markets as often as Stan. We’re proud to have him with us for the next one.
We’re building the U.S. market in parallel with our existing HIP-3 markets, which we’ll continue to expand and innovate on. We expect both to flourish. They each have a long road map ahead, from new asset classes to new ways to trade them.
To the Hyperliquid community, whether you were here before us or came because of us, thank you. You took a chance on new markets and you made them matter. You’ll forever be a part of this story.
Anything. Anytime. On ICE[XYZ].
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
Worldwide Lawyers Association labels New Delhi rule in India-administered Kashmir as “settler colonialism” akin to Israeli occupation of Palestine, and announces plans to file universal-jurisdiction cases overseas against Indian officials
trtworld.com/article/f426f8b…
Pessimism in digital asset markets is extreme right now. Objectively, $BTC still has a higher probability of hitting $100k than $60k.
It flipped from bearish to bullish on the weekly timeframe a few weeks ago. A pullback from the yearly open is natural. The first sign of major weakness would be a 3-day candle close below $75k. Until then, my bias remains upside.
$ETH and $SOL charts are also not looking that bad tbh.
Abdullah Sarwar retweeted
This pretty much sums up that crazy finish in Lahore!!
#ShadabKhan #HarisRauf
Massive respect for @blast founders to call it a quit instead of dragging a dead ghost chain for years like Cardano, Hedera, Algorand, ICP etc.
Blast will be shutting down.
We launched Blast with the goal of building a self-sustaining chain for users and developers. Unfortunately, the economics of operating the chain no longer make sense: the ongoing costs of maintaining Blast exceed the revenue generated by the L2, and we do not see a credible path to making the chain economically sustainable.
As a result, we've made the difficult decision to wind Blast down.
We're sorry to the users and developers who believed in Blast, built on it, and supported the ecosystem. Our priority now is making the shutdown as smooth and safe as possible.
We're asking all users to withdraw their assets from Blast to Ethereum mainnet, including any balances held in the Blast PWA.
To make this easier, we will be reducing the withdrawal delay to 24 hours.
As part of the shutdown process, we'll first begin withdrawing Blast's Lido assets. This process is expected to take approximately one week. During this period, withdrawals will temporarily be unavailable, even after the withdrawal delay is reduced to 24 hours.
Once that process is complete, withdrawals will resume with the new 24-hour delay.
Users will have until October 26, 2026 to withdraw through the normal Blast interface.
After October 26, assets will remain withdrawable, but users will need to interact directly with the Blast bridge contracts on Ethereum L1. We'll publish detailed instructions before then.
We strongly encourage everyone to withdraw their assets to Ethereum mainnet before October 26.
