Henry Curr (@ecurrnomics) header
Henry Curr (@ecurrnomics) profile picture

Running @TheEconomist's "back half" for a while, on leave from Economics editor. Co-host of Inside Economics. Visiting Fellow @NuffieldCollege. Views mine only.

London, England
Joined February 2013
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Henry Curr retweeted
The same chart, one year on
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Chinese tech stocks have been getting hammered "The bearishness has spilled over to broader indices, such as the CSI 300... In October this index met the conventional definition of a bear market, having fallen by 20% from its June peak. "
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Henry Curr retweeted
This is bonkers. The gas grid costs an amount to upkeep approximately proportional to the size of each person’s hookup, the most logical way to pay for which is through some sort of charge reflecting that. The price system is collapsing around our ears!
CONFIRMED. Gas Standing Charges to be scrapped. I've just come out of a meeting with the Chancellor. The gas standing charge will be scrapped in 2027 (my guess, either for 1 Oct price cap or the 1 Jan 28 price cap). Having campaigned against the moral hazard of standing charges for years, I'm pleased. It's currently £108 a year. That cost will be shifted onto unit rates. We don't know how much yet, but I suspect just under 1p per kwH. The Chancellor also said he will be talking to Ofgem about how they get rid of the charge on electricity as well, but that is 'trickier' apparently and will take longer. This is primarily about the price cap standing charges. There will still be an open market, so other firms can offer other forms of prices with or without the standing charge. My suspicion is that once it goes on the price cap, it will tend to be reduced on other tariffs as well. As for those on fixes: if you get a fix now, the rate of your fix is fixed, so this should not affect it. You will pay what you pay and if it has standing charges they will continue (some asking if they should delay fixing because of this, no if a fix is right for you and will save you money, don't let this change that - this is about the structure of bills, as opposed to the actual costs on bills). About 60% of people will pay less due to this, 40% more. My guesstimate is the dividing line will be somewhere around 12,500 kilowatt hours of gas (can't know until there is actual pricing). According to a study by Nesta, this switch would leave the majority of people in all income groups under £100,000 better off. Of course, when this does come in, if we're still in the nightmare that we are right now, there will need to be support put in for vulnerable higher users, who will have to pay more. Though hopefully by then the mid-east will have calmed and energy prices lower. --------------- That's all long term. The biggest issue in energy right now is that we're expecting a 27% rise in the price cap in January. I asked the Chancellor whether he will be intervening on that. He told me I'd have to wait for the budget, but reading between the lines, yes, there will be an announcement today. Whether it's an increase in the Warm Home Discount, or whether it's council tax banned, or whether it's done via a payout for people in say council tax bands A-D as a proxy for household income as Rishi Sunak did who knows.
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No, nobody should ever be “kinda racist”. Selecting migrants for skin colour would be morally repugnant. Britain should secure its borders, reform its asylum system from scratch, and select its economic migrants for high wages, eg with visa auctions.
the vibe is slowing shifting hmm it’s right to be selectively racist kinda vibe
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The Economist's estimate of Britain's age- and sex-standardised conviction rates for sexual offences by the offender's nationality economist.com/britain/2026/1…
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Replying to @JohnLeFevre
It’s on a log scale because that’s the appropriate scale for ratios. Being half as likely to be convicted should be as far from x=0 as as being twice as likely
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Henry Curr retweeted
Replying to @JohnLeFevre
It’s on a log scale because that’s the appropriate scale for ratios. Being half as likely to be convicted should be as far from x=0 as as being twice as likely
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How could anyone seriously believe that, say, 5 years after the "one-time" wealth tax the Californian left would be saying "job done on billionaires, better leave them alone now"?
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Henry Curr retweeted
While Zucman ponders why on earth billionnaires would react to a one-time 5% wealth tax and consider leaving California, back in France, his mentor is advocating for a combined package of 800bn euros, including a 50% tax on all gains exceeding 100 millions over the past 10 years.
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The French situation is worse than the spread over German debt suggests, because German debt is no longer priced as risk free. An alternative measure, the swap spread, looks even worse and is now higher than its highest daily close during the euro crisis (chart shows weekly)
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Henry Curr retweeted
It is an extraordinary failure that the BBC has the resources to do genuine public interest journalism that is much less viable commercially (from foreign correspondents to long-form local reporting) but instead we get relentless lowest common denominator nonsense
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Henry Curr retweeted
Effective Immediately, all organizations using PHP for their systems are advised to be prepared for an update addressing two critical vulnerabilities. PHP is widely used for web applications. These vulnerabilities often provide a direct path to the server's file system or database. If an immediate update is not feasible, it is recommend that organizations take the system offline until it can be fully mitigated. NSA will follow up shortly with more specific guidance.
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I'm hardly the European economy's biggest fan, but "Not a single indispensable technological innovation has emanated or migrated abroad from Europe in two decades since Nokia" is crackers. How about ASML, Novo Nordisk, or BioNTech? Heck, how about Spotify?
By an ex-Goldman Sachs MD with a complicated story: Bring in a ton of poor young people. Rub luxury in their faces. Show them no economic opportunity. And let the old folks drink wine while Paris burns. norebates.substack.com/p/mis…
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Deepmind, ARM and the Swedish leg of CRISPR should also be on the list. Of course many of these techs have emigrated, but the post says nothing has even emanated in Europe. Memetic pessimism about European innovation has gone too far...
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Henry Curr retweeted
- Literal convicted ISIS terrorist - served 4+ years in prison in Germany for terrorist activities - ECHR Art 3 blocks his removal to Iraq - subsequently enters Britain illegally by small boat in December 2025 - arrested days later - sentenced to two years in prison in July 2026 - released from prison last week - made a fresh application to remain in Britain, delaying Home Office extradition attempts - still a literal ISIS terrorist
🚨NEW: An Islamic terrorist who was part of the Al Qaeda unit who beheaded British man Ken Bigley has been pictured free to walk the streets after being released from prison having served six months of a two-year sentence for illegally crossing the English Channel
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Henry Curr retweeted
when you go from néolibéral to neoliberal, you're just dropping 2 accents, but the meaning completely changes apparently, because in French, néolibéral policies means the government's spending is only 58% of GDP.
Replying to @HannoLustig
Your neoliberal politics have miserably failed. It's time for something new.
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Henry Curr retweeted
You know the best way to avoid political interference in football? Don't have a regulator that owes its existence to Parliament and its chair's position to the government.
NEW | The chair of English football's independent regulator says he will resign if he encounters any political interference over the future of Manchester City. ⬇️ #mcfc bbc.co.uk/sport/football/art…
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In a country with a housing shortage it is a bad idea to make houses a tax-privileged vehicle for inheritance. If the Tories want to cut inheritance tax, they should cut it for any asset, so people can downsize and pass on the proceeds. Discouraging downsizing is foolish
The next Conservative government will scrap Inheritance Tax on your family home.
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Henry Curr retweeted
It is depressing that the planet-loving Greens, who support things like eating lentils and planting trees, have faint-heartedly indulged the hard left. The party deserves to fall back into irrelevance economist.com/leaders/2026/1…
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