Crazy Poor Asian, Pekerja Teks Komersial, Baper Blogger, Position Trader, Retail Investor | EWE (Enterpriser, Writer, Engineer) | @Footballisme @FilmaniaIndo
Jember Utara
Joined April 2009
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Ternyata, LINE (2000) lebih tua daripada Friendster (2002). Tapi yang paling sepuh teteup mIRC (1995)..
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
Gold moves in 7-to-8 year cycles.
The pattern has held for 50+ years.
1974 → 1980: 7 years
1980 → 1987: 8 years
1987 → 1994: 8 years
1994 → 2003: 8 years
2003 → 2008: 7 years
2008 → 12/2015: 8 years
12/2015 → August 2020: Early cycle bottom
October 2022 marked another early 8-year cycle bottom.
A break of the 2020 all-time high would be STRATEGICALLY OUTRIGHT BULLISH.
THE BIBLICAL ORIGIN
The cycle comes from the Bible story (Genesis 41).
Pharaoh's dream: Seven fat cows and seven lean cows.
Interpretation: Seven years of high yields followed by seven years of famine.
The Egyptians didn't just build pyramids. They predicted financial markets 3,500 years into the future.
WHEN GOLD OUTPERFORMS
Gold works well in times of unrest.
1976-1980 (hyperinflation):
S&P 500: 10.8% p.a.
Gold: 56.3% p.a.
2001-2011 (tech bubble + financial crisis):
S&P 500: 2.4% p.a.
Gold: 20.6% p.a.
After a prolonged sideways movement, gold has now reached a new high.
This is OUTRIGHT BULLISH.
THE SETUP FOR 2026
If we're entering a new cycle, the target by 2028: $15T market cap.
That's a massive leg up from current levels.
THE CASE FOR GOLD MINERS
Most gold companies have restructured.
– Balance sheets cleaned up
– Cost structures streamlined
– Solid free cash flow
– Shareholder-friendly dividends
The scenario that benefits them most?
US recession + Fed cuts rates + gold rallies + fuel prices ease.
Double boost to profits:
1. Rising gold price
2. Falling input costs (fuel)
But as always: Gold mines are a thing of their own.
You either believe in the ancient metal or you don't.
There is nothing in between.
PS: I'm a gold bug.
Dear everyone 😍
If you love charts that help you challenge your way of thinking and better understand history and markets, why not take a look at our macro cycles?
Done by Europe‘s #1 Technical Analyst 9 years running.
@arvyMacroCycles
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
What's most interesting here is that over the 16 years, in any given year Bitcoin is either the best performing asset (by far) or it's the worst performing, no in between. And it's on track for consecutive worst years, for the first time.
So either this 16 yr trend has broken or you most certainly want to have decent exposure in a diversified portfolio from here.
Bitcoin (-13%) and Gold (-6%) are the two worst performing major assets so far in 2026. This is something we haven't seen before in any calendar year.
bilello.blog/newsletter
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
Bitwise 2036 Bitcoin targets:
🟢 Bull: $3.67M
🔵 Base: $1.6M
🔴 Bear: $131K
Good breakdown from @sminston_with on how they line up with his power law zones.
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
SAHAM US KENA ATURAN BARU OJK HARUS DI JUAL PAKSA
jadi gini guys, bayangin kamu punya saham amerika lewat aplikasi gotrade indonesia, lalu tiba-tiba ada pesan masuk yang bunyinya "hai gotraders"
isinya, satu atau lebih produk yang kamu punya terkena penyesuaian aturan, dan daftarnya cukup panjang, yaitu voo, hlal, spus, schd, jepq, jepi, gld, spcx, ibit, dan qqqm
katanya, sesuai ketentuan regulator, produk-produk itu dihentikan dari daftar perdagangan selama otoritas jasa keuangan atau ojk meninjaunya
tahap pertama, mulai kamis 5 november pukul 04.00 wib, produk itu hanya bisa dijual dan tidak bisa dibeli lagi
tahap kedua, mulai jumat 6 november pukul 21.30 wib, kalau kamu masih punya sisa, aplikasi akan menjualnya otomatis di harga pasar
jadi kalau kamu tidak melakukan apa-apa, kepemilikan itu bisa dijual sendiri oleh sistem pada waktu yang ditentukan
di akhir, kamu disuruh cek email yang sudah dikirim, karena di sana ada jadwal lengkap, pilihan yang tersedia, dan langkah yang bisa diambil
jadi bahasa gampangnya, aplikasi memberi tahu bahwa beberapa saham dan produk as tidak boleh dibeli lagi dan sisanya akan dijual otomatis pada waktu tertentu, jadi pengguna harus cek dan memutuskan sendiri
nah menurut kalian guys, kalau produk investasi tiba-tiba dibatasi seperti ini, kalian lebih memilih langsung jual atau menunggu penjelasan resmi dulu?
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
Weekend Watchlist:
The Cat in the Hat #TheCatInTheHat
Final Interview #FinalInterview
#Godzilla Minus Zero #GodzillaMinusZero
Beli tiketnya dan lihat jadwal rilis film terbaru NOVEMBER 2026 di sini: ➡️ wp.me/pyvde-37L
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
MENDAKI 5 LEVEL PENGHASILAN YANG TIDAK DIAJARKAN DI SEKOLAH: DARI GAJI HINGGA INVESTASI
edwindianto.wordpress.com/20…
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
This is basically right but you could add a few more in there, like Ming China.
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
Why did the Western powers want to dismantle and destroy Yugoslavia?
Was its massively powerful economy a threat?
Was its unity of several ethnicities and religious a threat?
Or was it simply a target for plunder?
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
AI BOOM vs. Dot-com BUBBLE, on the same clock.
The Nasdaq-100 has climbed to 2.2x its level since ChatGPT’s launch.
However by July 1999, the same amount of time after Netscape’s IPO, the index had already reached 4.2x its starting level.
On valuation, the gap is much narrower -
The S&P 500 trades at 38.8x inflation-adjusted earnings averaged over 10 years, within striking distance of the dot-com record of 44.2x.
Even the leaders are not priced alike:
Nvidia is at 30x earnings versus 221x for Cisco
(at their respective peaks).
A milder Nasdaq boom, yet the broader market already is priced so close to its dot-com record.
Chart credits: Curbstone research.
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
Jon Ossoff really does sound like Martin Luther King Jr. Or is it a Georgia thing?
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
World War 3 is weeks away:
- The U.S. will attack Iran
- Iran hits American/NATO bases in Europe
- NATO invokes Article 5 and joins Iran War to open the Strait of Hormuz
- Russia starts to hit military factories in Europe that supply Ukraine
- NATO collapses with war on 2 fronts and lack of readiness for Russia AND Iran
- Ukraine-Russia reach agreement for frozen front
- Russia takes Estonia border villages
- China begins total blockade on Taiwan
- Israel strained with Hamas and Hezbollah attacking on 2 fronts
- U.S. engaging in Europe, Middle East, and diplomacy with China/Taiwan
- Trump impeached/removed
- Vance comes in, negotiates end of war
- NATO dissolves, Russian control of eastern Estonia, Ukraine ceasefire on front lines, Israel withdraw from Gaza and Lebanon, Taiwan enters negotiations with China for a "Hong Kong model" system.
AXIS VICTORY
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
🇺🇸 Which way, Republican Party?
Three names lead the early 2028 betting markets, and each one represents a different path for the GOP.
🔴 Ron DeSantis is term-limited, and his next move looks like the White House.
He’s been the most outspoken voice on the right since Tuesday, doing interview after interview.
He appeals to both the establishment and populist wings of the party, with enough Trump in him to keep the base.
He’s also very popular in Florida across generations. If he wins the primary, he could be a tremendous candidate.
🔴 Marco Rubio, the current Secretary of State, is rumored (unconfirmed) to be resigning in order to run.
He’s a pragmatic institutionalist who has adapted to the populist shift, and remains quite popular.
As a Hispanic candidate, he could help win back crucial states like Texas. But being part of the Trump administration cuts both ways.
🔴 JD Vance, the Vice President, may be the purest ideological voice of the new populist right, with real appeal to the post-liberal wing.
But he may have the toughest road, since he’s tied (even moreso than Rubio) to an administration that’s very unpopular right now.
That could change in 2 years, and he did move fast after the midterms to separate himself, blaming the Iran war.
Some voices on the right don’t want any of the three. Tucker Carlson’s name is floating around, too.
And whoever it is faces a brutal question: can ANY Republican win in 2028?
Democrats just took Texas. Republicans aren’t winning California, and the party needs 270 electoral votes.
It’s hard to see how they get there without Texas.
History offers a warning. After Democrats’ big Senate majority in 2009 and 2010, Romney lost in 2012.
Then Trump arrived in 2016, and the party was never the same.
And this time, Democrats may have their own Obama.
Jon Ossoff leads on their side. He’s young, charismatic, from a Southern state, and speaks with that same cadence.
So do the candidates run now, or sit out and hope for better prospects in 2032?
Someone like DeSantis risks fading into irrelevance if he hangs back too long. But run into this headwind, and a loss could end your political career.
The one thing every Republican hopeful has to figure out: is 2028 an opportunity or a trap?
Writer: Michael
Edwin Dianto Young ST, ML retweeted
JUST IN: US intelligence reportedly believes Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang had a “romantic relationship” with a woman suspected of spying for China.
