Esteban Román (@estroman) header
Esteban Román (@estroman) profile picture

Journalist / Periodista. Hablo de Geopolítica más allá de los dogmas de las izquierdas y las derechas.

Joined November 2009
Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)Photo by Esteban Román (@estroman)
Gran reflexión. Si eres un verdadero opositor al comunismo, no puedes pertenecer a un movimiento que gira en torno al culto a la personalidad, la intervención estatal en la economía y la amistad con los peores tiranos del planeta.
MAGA is not a conservative movement. They call their opponents communists. Yet, they are the ones embracing what American conservatives would call communism. Look at what is happening: 1. The Cult of the Leader Communist regimes built personality cults around their leaders. Their portraits were everywhere. Buildings and institutions carried their names. Loyalty to the country gradually became indistinguishable from loyalty to the leader. Now look at MAGA. Giant portraits of Donald Trump. Buildings and institutions being named after him. Political loyalty increasingly measured by personal loyalty to one man. That is not traditional American conservatism. Conservatives once distrusted concentrations of power and defended institutions over individuals. Today, MAGA has embraced the cult of the leader. 2. Government Ownership of Private Companies Capitalism rests on private ownership. Communism moves ownership and control toward the state. Yet the Trump administration acquired a roughly 10% stake in Intel – making the federal government a major shareholder in one of America’s largest technology companies. Other examples include MP Materials, Trilogy Metals, Lithium Americas, USA Rare Earth, and the list goes on. Call it whatever you want. Government ownership of private corporations is not a principle of free-market conservatism. 3. Government Direction of Prices Free markets allow prices to emerge from supply and demand. Command economies have politicians telling businesses what things should cost. Trump increasingly speaks as if the president should determine prices – from demanding lower oil prices to directing pharmaceutical pricing. Again: where is the free-market conservatism? Sounds more like the Soviet Union. 4. Protectionism Instead of Free Trade Traditional economic conservatism emphasized competition, private enterprise, and open markets. MAGA increasingly embraces tariffs, government protection of favored industries, industrial policy, and political intervention in international commerce. This is economic nationalism and state intervention – not classical free-market conservatism. 5. Government Checks for Political Support Trump has proposed a $5,000 “dividend” for American adults while explicitly connecting it to Republicans winning Congress. First of all, this is an illegal bribe. Second, it is completely fiscally irresponsible. 270 million adults × $5,000 = $1.35 trillion. America is already approaching $40 trillion in federal debt. Third, if Democrats proposed handing voters $1.35 trillion in government checks, MAGA would scream “socialism.” When Trump proposes it, suddenly it becomes conservative economics. 6. Friendship With Authoritarian Regimes For generations, American conservatives defined themselves partly through opposition to communist and authoritarian regimes. Yet Trump has repeatedly expressed admiration for or cultivated unusually warm relationships with Vladimir Putin, Xi Jinping, and Kim Jong Un. This type of behavior would be despicable to traditional Republicans. Opposing authoritarian regimes was a distinct feature of the traditional conservative movement. 7. The Party Becomes the Leader Perhaps this is the most important transformation. Conservatism traditionally emphasized institutions, constitutional limits, individual responsibility, private property, and skepticism toward concentrated government power. MAGA revolves around one individual. The leader defines the ideology. The leader decides which principles still matter. The leader decides which former enemies are now friends. And when the leader abandons yesterday’s conservative principles, millions of followers abandon them with him. This is the great irony of MAGA. For years, they have called everyone else communists and socialists. Yet today they are the ones embracing communism.
8
34
1
132
2,406
¿Israel se está robando el agua de México, Argentina, Colombia, Ecuador...? Eso dicen o insinúan varios influencers. Me gustaría que esos personajes intentaran explicar la logística de esa proeza de la ingeniería hídrica.
101
304
8
1,032
21,949
No se me había ocurrido. De todo son capaces.
2
1
21
457
Los comentarios en Facebook me hicieron el día.
4
1
41
626
Israel no es Benjamín Netanyahu, de la misma forma como Estados Unidos no es Donald Trump. Esa es la diferencia entre las democracias y las dictaduras. En China, Rusia, Corea del Norte e Irán, los tiranos a la cabeza tienen todo el poder.
23
143
1
647
18,263
Ganó el dinero fácil en Brasil. Flavio Bolsonaro no era un buen candidato, pero el problema de fondo estructural de Brasil es justo lo que Lula da Silva empleó para ganar: programas sociales sustentados con deuda.
41
387
13
1,181
20,269
Rusia está perdiendo en Ucrania. Porque hoy está mucho más lejos de cumplir sus 3 objetivos -que Putin mismo trazó públicamente- de lo que estaba en 2022 cuando invadió: 1. Desmilitarizar a Ucrania 2. Quitar a Zelensky y poner a un títere 3. Alejar a Ucrania de Occidente
69
292
7
1,610
43,465
La obsesión con el "sionismo", por parte de las mentes mas simplonas en la izquierda y en la derecha, tiene una explicación histórica. Usan la palabra "sionista" para decir exactamente lo mismo de lo que se acusó a los judíos en siglos pasados: de ser una élite malvada que mueve los hilos de todo el mundo. Paradójicamente, esta campaña global en contra del sionismo hace que pierdan argumentos quienes han dicho en las últimas décadas que el sionismo, y por lo tanto Israel mismo, ya no tienen razón de existir.
127
392
11
1,244
21,708
El socialismo siempre fracasa. No hay excepciones. China tampoco lo es. El desastre de la política del hijo único es el ejemplo más visible pero no el único. El otro: no haber detenido a tiempo su modelo económico basado en inversión pública: ahora tienen la peor deuda del mundo
23
383
6
1,198
14,932
"Mientras Estados Unidos y China compiten por talento y capacidad de cómputo en inteligencia artificial... Rusia elige llevar a cientos de miles a morir en el lodo como en la Primera Guerra Mundial". Putin será recordado como el "zar" que arruinó el futuro de Rusia.
站在今天看,俄罗斯这波操作,属于手握着一把天胡的牌打得稀烂。 如果不出兵乌克兰,今天全球AI的牌桌上,除了中美,大概率真得坐着一个俄罗斯。 搞AI、跑大模型,底层逻辑就是“吃电、散热、堆机器”。这两年全世界的数据中心老板都在为电费和机房降温发愁。俄罗斯属于老天爷喂到饭:西伯利亚开窗就是纯天然顶级空调;境内水电、核电、天然气很便宜,当年挖矿的都选西伯利亚。 另外俄罗斯人的数学和算法也强,各大国际编程竞赛,Kaggle机器学习竞赛常被俄国人屠榜。全世界除了中美,俄罗斯也搞出了自己完整的互联网生态:搜东西有Yandex,社交有VK,还有Telegram。现在在美股被炒上天的算力黑马Nebius,核心班底就是原先Yandex那帮俄罗斯人。 如果疫情后俄罗斯出地皮、出冷气、出便宜电,再拉着中国这种基建狂魔帮忙拉高压电网、建厂房、铺光纤,欧美资本开服务器工厂。俄国人完全可以成为欧亚大陆最大的“超级算力工厂”,中美神仙打架,它在中间两头收过路费。 结果呢?普京一拍大腿:不行,我得去抢那几块地。 普京的脑子,彻底停留在了19世纪沙皇俄国那种“开疆拓土”的旧梦里。什么有没有出海口啊,有没有所谓的军事缓冲带啊,就算抢方法也多的是,这可这是21世纪啊!现在的世界霸权争夺,抢的是半导体供应链,抢的是先进算法,抢的是高精尖人才。你去顿巴斯抢了几片烂泥地、几座废弃钢铁厂,代价却是把整个国家的未来都押了上去。 枪声一响,一切全崩了。稍微有点本事的程序员、算法工程师,连夜跑路。Yandex核心技术团队,宁可巨亏,惨烈的断尾求生、割裂母国,也要跑到欧洲重组成Nebius。普京把最懂未来的人,全逼成了难民和海外创业者。 在人工智能技术爆发的黎明前夜,全世界都在疯狂狂飙算力、抢占新工业革命的门票;而俄罗斯的老大,却带着几十万人,在泥潭里打着一百年前的一战式堑壕战。 再说一遍,普京不行,国内崇拜普京的那帮人也不行
26
47
3
268
5,838
Esteban Román retweeted
Churchill could have shortened WW2 by years if he had just “done a deal” with Hitler. George Washington could have done a deal to end the American Revolution. Zelenskyy is in good company.
6,245
9,809
908
69,327
3,047,684
Trump puso el último clavo en el ataúd del Partido Republicano en las elecciones que vienen en Noviembre. Aliarse con Putin y traicionar a Ucrania a menos de un mes de renovar el Congreso es la peor decisión que pudo haber tomado en términos electorales.
47
174
7
741
17,577
Excelente reflexión: la "negociación" que el yerno y el amigo de Trump hacen con Rusia no solo es desastrosa por el buen trato a Putin a cambio de nada, sino porque no hacen el que debería ser su trabajo más básico: proteger a los civiles en Ucrania.
I have read dozens of outraged posts because the US special envoy Witkoff called Putin a "humanist." But no one is writing about the fact that the American negotiators are simply not doing their job. Let me explain. Peace negotiations are important in their own right. Even if they do not lead to a lasting peace, the process itself is an opportunity to resolve urgent humanitarian issues. If, of course, the human dimension is a priority for the negotiators. But it is entirely obvious that neither Witkoff nor Kushner cares about people's fates in this war. The Pope calls on Putin to save thousands of people from starvation in occupied Oleshky and the surrounding villages. The UN speaks about a humanitarian catastrophe and asks Russia to allow the evacuation of the civilian population. European Parliament Vice-President Pina Picierno goes on a hunger strike to draw attention to this tragedy unfolding before the eyes of the whole world. And what are Witkoff and Kushner doing? That's right, almost nothing. Except for passing along greetings from Putin’s aide to the First Lady. Thousands of people are already eating grass to survive and begging to save their lives. The Ukrainian side raises the issue of Oleshky at every meeting. And I can name dozens of such urgent humanitarian issues off the top of my head where American negotiators must be proactive. Trump’s peace negotiations have already gone down in history as the deadliest years for Ukraine’s civilian population since the start of the full-scale invasion. I don’t know if anyone will remember the names of Witkoff and Kushner. But history will certainly record how American negotiators, who had the opportunity to save a huge number of people, refused to raise uncomfortable questions before "humanist Putin."
1
3
26
1,237