knowing what i know, this is looking so bleak
Under pressure from Israeli prime minister Benjamin Netanyahu, the Trump administration may be within days of launching a nuclear strike on Iran. The target would be Pickax Mountain in central Iran, where Israeli intelligence claims the Iranian government has restarted its nuclear enrichment program. No conventional weapon in the American arsenal can penetrate 300 feet of solid granite to destroy the tunnels where enrichment is supposedly taking place. The only military option is a nuclear strike. Netanyahu has been pushing hard for one. “Bibi calls Trump about it every day,” says an informed observer.
Netanyahu is cornered and desperate. After last week’s election results, he can’t form a government unless Trump intervenes directly in Israeli politics and brokers a deal with other parties that gives Netanyahu 61 seats in the Knesset. Otherwise, he is out as prime minister and on his way to ignominy, investigations and possibly jail. Netanyahu must stay close to Trump. He needs this war.
To that end, he’s applied maximum pressure to his closest allies in the administration, including Secretary of Defense Pete Hegseth and CENTCOM commander Brad Cooper. Both oppose a negotiated settlement to the war they’ve so grievously mismanaged; both are pushing to restart major combat operations. Secretary of State Marco Rubio and CIA director John Ratcliffe are also following Netanyahu’s lead, as are leaders of the Democratic Party. In a recent meeting on the subject, former president Barack Obama said he opposes the current Iran peace deal being drafted in Doha.
The rest of America’s longtime allies in the Middle East are terrified by the prospect of more war. On September 27th, Netanyahu flew secretly to Abu Dhabi to enlist the UAE in his lobbying effort for a final attack on Iran. The Emiratis refused. After eight months of conflict, Gulf economies are teetering. So are global energy and fertilizer markets. They won’t recover soon. Globally, there are a total of about 850 supertankers used to transport oil from producers to the rest of the world. In October alone, 11 of them were badly damaged in Hormuz. At this pace, a global depression is imminent. A nuclear strike would radically accelerate the destruction. Fallout from a ground explosion at Pickax Mountain would contaminate the Persian Gulf, poisoning the water supply for 100 million people.
And those are just some of the immediate consequences for the region. The rest of the world is every bit as exposed. No country other than the United States has ever used a nuclear weapon in war. Some would like to. An American nuclear attack on Iran would set a new precedent. The Russians have already told at least two other governments that an American nuclear strike on Iran would free them to use nuclear weapons against Ukraine. Pakistan and India would be tempted to do the same against each other, as would North Korea against Seoul. After the first nuclear strike, World War Three is inevitable. That war would be short and final.
We’ve been sleepwalking toward this moment for months. Since February, the administration has quietly rewritten America’s nuclear doctrine to make first use of so-called “battlefield nukes” easier and therefore more likely. No one in Washington in either party seems bothered by this. Now we’re on the brink of it.
Close observers say Trump is likely to decide by next weekend whether or not to use nuclear weapons. That would be November 7, six days from now. To his credit, he’s hesitating. At the moment, Trump is listening to his vice president, JD Vance, and to his envoy and friend Steve Witkoff, both of whom argue a deal with Iran can be made.
They’re right, though it won’t be simple. The Iranians are famously frustrating to negotiate with under any circumstances, and elements of that government have become more radical since Ayatollah Ali Khamenei and his family were killed in February. After decades of isolation, even relatively moderate Iranian leaders seem confused by how decisions are made in the West. (There is a widespread belief in Tehran, for example, that the United States government controls Israel.) But overall, people who have spoken to decision-makers in Iran say there is consensus there that more war is bad for everyone and a deal is worth making.
One group that hasn’t been consulted so far is the global population — the hundreds of millions of people who will be killed along with their children if Trump is pushed by Netanyahu into launching a nuclear strike next week. Now would be the time for them to speak up.
everyone have fun tonight and be safe trick or treating or whatever your hearts desire. i will be enjoying my night in with my kitty
goosebumps. this has potential to be the best game of all time. just submitted my PTO for Nov. 19-20
40 new GTA 6 details from Edge Magazine’s hands-off preview at Rockstar North (no old information repeated):
1. They watched Rob Nelson play the game completely unscripted for 1.5 hours
2. Nelson says Jason’s actor took a long time to cast, as they were looking for the perfect fit for the role
3. The map size is nearly as large as GTA 4, GTA 5, and RDR2’s playable map areas combined
4. Every random location is as densely detailed and interesting as the others
5. Aaron Garbut hasn’t seen all locations despite spending years exploring the game, due to how dense the world is
6. You can enter random houses and find photographs sit on walls, possessions accumulate on tables, living rooms and kitchens acquire the disorder of the individuals who use them
7. Rockstar is introducing a new mechanic allowing Jason and Lucia to react to unpleasant smells with different facial expressions and varying degrees of disgust
8. During the playthrough, Nelson let Jason stare at an NPC who was walking his dog
9. The NPC decided that Jason’s stare constitutes a test so he unclips the leash from the dog’s collar and the dog starts chasing him. A flock of pigeons bursts into the air. Finally, the dog loses interest and trots back to its owner
10. Like in previous titles, police vehicles will have a shotgun that you can pull out and carry. You can find it in the trunk and take it while they’re busy confronting an NPC
11. Clouds shape will change depending on the season, wind, humidity, fog, and time of day
12. The wind and storms will have a physical effect on trees, waves, the way boats move, and who a helicopter flies and it may even sustain light damage from a storm
13. NPCs react and seek shelter as weather deteriorates similar to GTA 4
14. The day-night cycle has been substantially extended after the team tested GTA 5’s timings, where “everything felt too fast” for a game with this level of fidelity
15. One of the studio heads, Phil Hooker says he spends much of his time waiting for buses and memorizing routes, checking that they arrive when expected, then riding them across Leonida and watching the world pass by. “I’m obsessed with making sure they always turn up," he says
16. The Criminal Profile system, which tracks Jason and Lucia’s behavior can go from professional to irredeemable, which is beyond fixable depending on your actions and it will influence how the story unfolds
17. Jason and Lucia are bound together by an emotional history as well as a professional one, and their relationship status is measured on a 4-point scale
18. Nelson refused to confirm or deny whether the couple can marry
19. The story is deeper than just trying to amass wealth, cars, homes and status by any means necessary, Nelson says: “What if these characters want something else?”
20. The game starts with them wanting to be together, and wanting to give this relationship of theirs “another shot”
21. Police can lay stinger strip across the road, and it’s almost invisible when driving at speed at night, causing the tyre to blow and throwing you off a motorcycle
22. K-9 police dogs, including Alsatian are in the game and they can pin you to tue ground in pursuits
23. NPCs can randomly challenge you to a street race by winding down the window, taunting you until you accept or ignore them
24. NPCs can climb out of the vehicle window and perch on the door frame, screaming insults back into the wind
25. The game is designed to absorb interests and habits of millions of players and play the way they want: “You can have your life in the game,” says Garbut
26. Some dev teams who might’ve made an entire game in the past are now assigned to individual parts of Leonida
27. Most senior devs have been working together for decades so they don’t need a studio head to direct them
28. They individually have a strong idea of what they want to evolve
29. The development process consists of 6-to-8-week milestones on a specific area of the game before stabilizing a build and playing it intensively
30. A smaller group considers the game as a whole compared to that area, and they produce thousands of notes that get revised, discarded or sent back
31. The process is described as constant iteration and regrouping
32. They don’t follow fixed early design documents that were previously written because they get dated quickly, stating that the game “tells you what it needs.”
33. Satire is the hardest thing to keep fresh so they let the humor grow out of the places they have built: “It develops somewhat naturally once we’ve decided where we’re roughly going to take you, and what elements of society or culture we want to satirise or have fun with.” Nelson says
34. The fuel mechanic won’t be as bad as some people think, as vehicles can drive for a long distance before running low on fuel and refilling will be quick (10-second animation)
35. There are teams working solely on brands and billboards in the game and another group writes radio advertising
36. Rockstar’s President Sam Houser remains involved in every aspect of the game’s creative development to shape its direction
37. Sam even plays the game with Nelson to identify issues and send feedback that covers everything from lighting, animation and audio to narrative, tone and game mechanics
38. A relentless cycle of scrutiny and revision helps maintain a consistent creative vision across the enormous project so that it feels coherent
39. Aaron Garbut says he feels better about this game than any project he has worked on before, stating that they haven’t compromised on the scale, the detail, the interactivity, the story, or the open world: “I feel like we’ve built a pyramid on Everest,” he says
40. Finally, Nelson says the game is now ready: “It ceases to become ours, and it becomes everybody’s,” then he sets down the controller saying “there’s a letting go.”
(via GamesRadar)
























