Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli) header
Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli) profile picture

God. Family. Entrepreneur

United States
Joined December 2010
Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)Photo by Gerardo Torres (@gerardo_eli)
Interesting to see @ColeMacro sharing this perspective. I’ve been questioning the assumption of diminishing Bitcoin returns for some time now. What if historical models are underestimating what happens when accelerating institutional demand meets an increasingly constrained supply, against a backdrop of unsustainable sovereign debt? A larger market cap doesn’t necessarily mean diminishing returns. Perhaps we’re not approaching the end of exponential growth, but the beginning of a different monetary regime. Time will tell. But I think this possibility deserves far more attention.
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This is an incredible article, a must read, cheers @thebtcpharaoh 🙌
Fair Means The Strategy B̶a̶n̶k̶ 𝗖𝘂𝗿𝗿𝗲𝗻𝗰𝘆 𝗕𝗼𝗮𝗿𝗱 $MSTR "I am nothing more than a single, narrow, gasping lung, floating over the mists and the summits." Reinhold Messner, 8 May 1978. Peter Habeler and Reinhold Messner reached the top of Everest on 8 May 1978 without bottled oxygen. The physiologists had said the summit was above the ceiling of human lungs, and the two men went up to find out. Messner went back alone in August 1980, in the monsoon, without bottles, without a rope team, without a radio, and did it again. He called the discipline climbing by fair means. You go up with what you are, and whatever happens above 8,000 meters happens to you, because the thing that would have saved you is the thing you decided to leave at base camp. Michael Saylor (@saylor) wrote on Thursday that the world needs a Bitcoin bank and that Strategy is building it. But the filings describe an institution that is stranger than a bank and, in one respect, stronger. A bank is about ten cents of equity on the dollar of assets, over money it owes on demand, with a central bank behind it for the day the depositors come. Strategy owes nothing on demand. Its $13.1 billion of preferreds are perpetual and can be put back only on a fundamental change; its $6.7 billion of converts can be handed back only on fixed dates, $1.01 billion in September 2027 and $4.9 billion across 2028. Its equity layer is 77 cents on the dollar, the common's residual claim over the 849,327 btc it stands behind. Nobody can run it, and there is no discount window for an asset nobody can print. The price of that is the air: $1.48 billion a year of coupons owed in cash by a balance sheet whose asset pays none, and a reserve of $4.79 billion, 3.2 years of coupons, held in USD and reserved by policy for nothing else. That is acclimatization, built over a summer in which the company sold $13.6 billion of common and, when the lungs lagged the altitude, $431.8 million of bitcoin. What Saylor is building sits above the question of whether it survives. Look at the stack as a yield curve of exits from the dollar, one instrument per kind of saver. $STRF, senior and fixed at 10%, trades at $103.20. $STRK, 8% with a conversion right, trades at $68.95. $STRD, 10% and junior, at $70.33. $STRC, the one with a floating rate reset to hold $100, trades at $99.80 paying 12%. Four prices, one borrower, and the gap between them is what the market still charges for what happened in June, when STRC closed at $74.57. The institution's project is to close that gap, and the mechanics of closing it decide who gets paid. The fixed‑rate paper gets paid in price: if Strategy's required yield fell to 9%, about 450bps over the 10Y, STRD would trade near $111, STRK near $89 and STRF near $111, roughly $1.0 billion of value delivered to holders who bought when the company was unrated and the credit was new. At 8% the same move is worth about $1.7 billion. STRC gets paid differently. Its price does not move, because it is not supposed to; its coupon falls, a quarter point a month by rule once the paper has held par, and every point off 12% on $8.2 billion is $82 million a year that stops leaving the common. The fixed tranches are the record of what the credit cost to build. The floating one is the instrument that carries the credit once it is built, which is why it is the one the whole structure is organized around. That is where the bank word stops being a metaphor and becomes a plan. A dollar instrument that holds par, pays daily and yields what STRC yields is money to anyone who does not need to spend it tomorrow, and since 1 November STRC has paid on every calendar day, which Phong Le (() called a step toward a tokenized, 24/7/365 financial system. The arithmetic of the layer above it was in Saylor's June essay: a stable‑value, daily‑liquid dollar paying 6-8%, made of digital credit and cash. At today's rates a 7% dollar is about a third STRC and two thirds bills, with first‑loss capital of about 9% to absorb a June event. A coin the size of a tenth of today's stablecoin market would need about $11.7 billion of STRC, more than the $8.2 billion outstanding; everything outstanding plus the current ATM backs about $66 billion of such money. From 18 January the GENIUS Act bars stablecoin issuers from paying yield and keeps STRC out of their reserves, so the 7% dollar gets built outside that law, as a fund, a security or a deposit, which is the same side of the line money market funds were born on when Regulation Q capped bank interest in 1977. Saylor has said who builds it: "The treasury company creates the credit. The bank or crypto exchange creates the money." Strategy's job is the middle layer, and a money layer buying STRC at par would show up as a rising share count. So the three pieces have names and prices. Digital capital is the common: 1.3x (for now) geared bitcoin, 77% of the balance sheet, trading at 1.11x what it owns after the stack, the layer that absorbs every loss and keeps every gain above ~12%. Digital credit is the five preferreds: $13.1 billion placed in eighteen months, a yield curve from 9.7% to 14.2%, the layer that converts dollar savers into bitcoin held by a company that cannot be run. Digital money is the layer that does not exist at scale yet: STRC at par, wrapped with cash and a loss cushion, paying 6% to 8% every day, tokenized, and as deep as the STRC book beneath it allows. The order matters. Money needs credit that holds par. Credit holds par when the capital beneath it is thick enough and the issuer has shown it will defend the line. The capital has been shown this year: a reserve built to 3.2 years, $2.25 billion of STRC bought back at an average near $97.40, and a common that was sold to pay for both. The next layer waits on one print. STRC closed Friday at $99.80. The company issues none below $100 and keeps the rate at 12% until the paper has shown sustained trading at par. Every financial system since 1694 has been built on a borrower who can print what it owes, and every bank in those systems is a franchise granted by that borrower: thin equity, demandable deposits, and a printer at the bottom of the stairs for the day the arithmetic fails. Strategy is the first institution to run the full hierarchy of money, capital over credit over a currency that pays its holder, on an asset that no authority can issue and with no printer anywhere in the building. If the coupon on STRC falls from 12% toward 9%, and then toward whatever a rated, wrapped, daily‑paid claim on 849,327+ btc deserves, that will be the first time in modern history that the price of credit has been set from the top down by collateral and reserves alone, with nothing standing behind the issuer but its own equity and its own rule. Strategy’s curve becomes the reference rate of the bitcoin economy the way the gilt became the reference rate of the pound: by being the deepest, most defended claim in the system, and by surviving the years when the system doubted it. Messner proved the summit was within the range of human lungs by standing on it, and within a decade climbers were going up without bottles as a matter of course. The proof here has the same shape. STRC selling at $100 proves that a dollar instrument can hold par on bitcoin collateral through a bear market with no lender of last resort, and once that is proven it is proven for every issuer who can meet the same standard, which is why Strategy’s $2.25 billion defense of the line this year was spent on behalf of a sector and not a stock. The cost of fair means is $1.48 billion a year and a common that carries every loss. The prize is a financial system whose base layer cannot be debased and whose credit cannot be rescued, which is to say the first one whose promises are kept by arithmetic rather than by a printer. Saylor called it a bank because that is the word people have. The word that fits is older and stricter: a currency board, an institution that issues claims against a reserve it cannot print, under a rule it cannot break, with nobody behind it but its own capital. Every currency board in history has defended a weak currency with a strong reserve. This one holds a reserve that cannot be printed against claims that can, and in a world of printers that is the first institution built the right way round.
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Gerardo Torres retweeted
Halloween in Texas
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Great night in Austin celebrating @Strive’s 100th $SATA dividend payment! 🥂 A special thank-you to @AdamBLiv for a conversation that meant a lot to me. I was surprised by how much our journeys have in common: family, curiosity, and the paths that led us to Bitcoin, the hardest money on earth. Adam, much of what I’ve learned about Bitcoin and its integration into capital markets has come from the financial analysis you share day after day. Meeting you in person and finding that personal connection made the evening especially meaningful. Your pioneering work has inspired me to help more people understand Bitcoin and its role in capital markets. I’d love to stay connected and explore how we could work together to expand the reach of what you’ve already built. You’ve helped pave the way, and I’d be excited to support that work and bring your insights to an even wider audience. @ColeMacro, thank you for spending nearly 40 minutes sharing your unique perspective on the future and discussing how amplification structures affect retail and institutional investors, whose needs, constraints, and objectives are so different. For me, it felt like an informal mentoring session with someone helping steer one of the most innovative companies in capital markets. What stayed with me was how reasoning from first principles brings clarity to complex decisions. Understanding the underlying mechanics and questioning assumptions can fundamentally change how we approach strategy. As an entrepreneur, that is a lesson I’m taking back into my own decision-making. @PunterJeff, your intelligence and distinctive approach to risk analysis left a strong impression. I really enjoyed our conversation about how applied AI can help analyze enormous volumes of data, uncover patterns, and anticipate potential risks. The ability to turn that information into better judgment and earlier action is a powerful strategic advantage. Thank you all for being so generous with your time and knowledge, and to the entire Strive team for bringing everyone together. This was an incredibly enriching evening, both personally and as an entrepreneur. I left with new connections, a clearer perspective, and even more motivation to build. Strive’s remarkable growth as a Nasdaq-listed company shows what innovation can achieve. Hearing directly from the people shaping its future made me even more excited about what lies ahead. I believe the best is yet to come.
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If you’re going to wear a suit. Wear fucking dress shoes. I’m so sick of this fag-fad of wearing sneakers with suits.
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Gerardo Torres retweeted
MSTR is easy to understand once you grasp that the world is totally insane and risk is mispriced globally. Did you know that MSTR and FORD have almost the same market cap? Ford is valued at roughly $58 billion. Strategy is roughly $55 billion. In 2025, Ford moved 4.4 MILLION vehicles and generated $187.3 billion in revenue to produce $6.8 billion in adjusted earnings before interest and taxes. About a 3.6% MARGIN. Consider the industrial choreography required. Steel, aluminum, factories, dealerships, shipping, warranty repairs, and a finance department trying to get Kyle approved for an $80,000 truck so he can transport one room-temperature Monster Energy to his job answering emails. An entire civilization of moving parts, grinding away for pennies on the revenue dollar. Strategy owns 845,050 Bitcoin. At that holding size, a $10,000 increase in Bitcoin’s price adds approximately $8.45 BILLION to the gross value of its stack - more than Ford’s entire 2025 adjusted EBIT. The comparison shows the scale of the exposure, rather than equivalent cash earnings. But holy shit, look at the economic machinery you’re underwriting. My bull case for MSTR is that growing global demand for scarce money can reward that enormous Bitcoin position without requiring a proportional expansion in factories, inventory and labor. Bitcoin can rise $10,000 without Saylor opening another plant or convincing a divorced regional sales manager that heated cupholders will make him feel alive again. I understand the volatility. I’m bullish on the part where billions in additional asset value don’t require another four million cars.
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For real
I built my last project entirely with Claude Code. I didn’t write a single line of code by hand. It still took me nearly 3 months. Why so long and not a day or week? Because building serious software has never been just about typing code. Early on, there are tons of unknowns. As you build, test, and get feedback, you discover problems and requirements you couldn’t have anticipated. I spent a lot of time reviewing Claude’s work, not line by line, but at a higher level: the approach, architecture, and design decisions. I constantly challenged it, debated its choices, and pushed for simpler, more robust solutions. That’s software engineering. AI helped me bring my vision to life without spending countless hours typing code, wrestling with syntax, searching through documentation, and figuring out the mechanics of how to implement things. Without AI, building this app would have taken me 5-6 months if not longer. As I’ve said over and over, software engineering is not going away but AI is changing _how_ we build software. The tools are changing and the engineer’s role is evolving. And this is why knowing how to build good software still matters. You may not need to remember every API or piece of syntax anymore, but you still need to understand things like separation of concerns, coupling and cohesion, abstractions, data modeling, API design, error handling, security, performance, and testing. When AI proposes an architecture, creates an abstraction, adds another layer, or introduces a dependency, you need enough engineering knowledge to ask: Is this actually necessary? Is there a simpler way? Will this scale? Is this secure? Will this become a maintenance nightmare six months from now? AI can write the code. You still need to know what good code and good software look like.
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You gotta be autistic enough to understand hard money and not caring about social proof
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And do it right away, the window is closing
If your financial advisor hasn't recommended Bitcoin yet, fire them.
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Generic cognitive labor is already being replaced in many companies in the US and worldwide with the available (still narrow) AI
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Policy driven positioning, not sentiment-based decisions
While MSTR haters spend their days talking about the stock price, institutional capital is quietly positioning for what comes next. Wells Fargo reportedly increased its Strategy position to roughly 726,000 shares, worth about $185 million at the reported filing value. Think about that. This isn’t some guy on X buying the dip because @saylor posted a laser-eye meme. This is one of the largest financial institutions in America allocating serious capital after analysts, portfolio managers, risk teams and compliance departments have evaluated the exposure. And Wells Fargo isn’t new to deploying capital. Its Strategic Capital operation alone has 25+ years of experience, 200+ current investments and 140+ active relationships. Why MSTR? Because @Strategy offers institutional investors something very specific: regulated equity-market exposure to a company whose balance sheet and capital strategy are increasingly built around Bitcoin. Strategy itself continues raising billions through its capital markets machinery while holding an enormous Bitcoin treasury. Does Wells Fargo know the future? No. But institutions don’t materially increase a position because they expect the underlying thesis to disappear. Retail watches the red candles. Capital watches the asymmetry. Pay attention to positioning, not complaining.
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The Saturn V held the record for most powerful rocket ever flown for over 50 years, until SpaceX's Starship first flew in April 2023, producing approximately 74 MN of thrust at liftoff compared to Saturn V's 34.5 MN. Saturn V still holds the record for the most powerful rocket to successfully complete its mission, Starship has not yet reached orbit.
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👏👏👏
Government-owned airports cannot favor one religion over all others. DFW plans to install Islamic wudu washing facilities are illegal. I've directed a review of all state grants to both airports for possible revocation, and referred DFW & IAH to USDOT for investigation. Texas will not allow illegal religious discrimination at taxpayer-funded facilities.
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🚨Desde el Congreso de USA, denunciamos al desgobierno corrupto de #Mexico por seguir socavando la política de Estados Unidos hacia el régimen asesino en #Cuba. Claudia Sheinbaum está perpetuando a la dictadura más longeva de la región y su pésimo accionar no es de una aliada cuando se pretende renegociar el tratado de libre comercio entre nuestros países. No son buenos vecinos y tendrán que enfrentar las consecuencias. 🇺🇸🇲🇽
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😂😂😂
🔴 A como vamos NO se preocupen por el registro de celulares , ya que quién sabe si haya gobierno cuando venza el plazo .
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Gerardo Torres retweeted
Voy a resumir este comunicado: - El SAT permitirá repatriar capitales del extranjero a México con una tasa preferencial de ISR del 15% - El dinero deberá invertirse por al menos tres años en actividades productivas, generación de empleo, pago de pasivos o bonos gubernamentales. Comentarios: ¿Que parte no entiende el gobierno de la 4T que el problema es la confianza? ¿Quién puede pensar en “repatriar” su dinero con la Corte que tenemos, que lo mismo pueden cambiar la ley mañana para que ese dinero no sea a 3 años si no a 10 porque a Lenia se le ocurrió? O para que el gobierno lo malgaste en mantener las excentricidades de Layda, o la pintura de la ridícula de Brugada. Quien en sus 5 sentidos invertiría en fuentes de trabajo para que el hampón de Pedro Haces te haga un sindicato y extorsione con cerrarte si no accedes a pagarle sus excesos. Para acabar pronto, quien carajos va a “repatriar” su dinero por solicitud de un Narco Gobierno y que para proteger al CO es capaz de romper relaciones con su principal socio comercial. ¿Qué parte no entienden? Están estúpidos o que?
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Fiat inflation is a silent tax
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Gerardo Torres retweeted
Will Smith eating pasta is now the official benchmark for AI progress. This is actually insane.
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🚨¡MORENA ES SINÓNIMO DE NARCO CORRUPCIÓN! BAJO EL MANDATO DEL PARTIDO MORENA, #MÉXICO SE HA CONVERTIDO EN UN NARCO ESTADO. DESDE EL CONGRESO DE USA, ESTAMOS PREOCUPADOS DE QUE ESTA CONSPIRACIÓN LLEGUE A LOS NIVELES MÁS ALTOS DENTRO DEL GOBIERNO MEXICANO. 🇲🇽
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