Daily sports gambling picks explained. NBA '21-'25: (+212.6u), NFL '22-'25: (+25.1u), CFB '22-'25: (+3.5u), MLB '22'-'25 (+85.4u) @hedginghenry on TikTok/IG
Joined February 2015
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2025 Betting Recap
CFB: +5.9u
NFL: +22.66u
NBA: +22.7u
MLB: +2.51u
Total: +53.77u 🔥🔥
Incredibly proud of this year. The 2nd half of 2024 into the first half of 2025 was the worst stretch of my betting career. To bounce back with a strong NFL and start to the NBA season in particular has been frankly gratifying given the work I put into this.
We're only going up from here🚀🚀
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NBA Play 11/11
1.81u Brayden Burries O10.5 PTS -121 (DK)
11.5 good for 1u. Like buying low here after he had a bad shooting game and lost minutes to a blowout. Burries has started to solidify his role as a high minutes starter, playing 38 minutes against the Raptors and 28 minutes vs the Celtics in a game he was on pace for the mid 30s again before...blowout.
Of course, blowout is a risk here too but if not, he should see a ton of minutes to help guard Luka / Reaves and end up in the low to mid 30s.
It's an ideal matchup too because the Lakers are conceding the 2nd post points on spot ups and 6th most points in transition, Burries two most frequent scoring types.
Even with shading his minutes down, I'd have him at 12.5 as a fair line here.
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NBA Recap 11/9 & 11/10
11/10:
1.88u Shai Gilgeous-Alexander O31.5 PTS -125❌
1.08u Jaylen Brown U21.5 PTS -108✅
11/9:
1.08u Zach Edey O8.5 PTS -108❌
0.97u Trae Young U8.5 AST +103✅
1.07u Ivica Zubac O11.5 PTS -107✅
1.05u Dillon Brooks O14.5 PTS -110❌
Sorry I missed the 11/9 recap.
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2,443
No one calling me a clown today...
Sometimes these lose (like when I bet Luka's under vs the Warriors) and you look stupid. But again, it's always about price, and people often use a narrative to talk themselves into a bad price rather than a good one
NBA Play 11/10
1.08u Jaylen Brown U21.5 PTS -108 (CZ)
Our 3rd anti-narrative play of the season. 1-1 so far
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NBA Play 11/10
1.08u Jaylen Brown U21.5 PTS -108 (CZ)
Our 3rd anti-narrative play of the season. 1-1 so far
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NBA Play #1 11/9
0.97u Trae Young U8.5 AST +103 (DK)
Since Dybansta had his minutes limit increased on November 2nd, Young is averaging just 14 potential AST.
That would already make 8.5 a fair line in an average matchup but of course, this is the Pistons, the team allowing the fewest AST in the NBA. I think this should be significantly more juiced to the under than we see even now in market
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NBA Recap 11/8
1-1, +0.35u
1.8u Brook Lopez O11.5 PTS -120✅
1.15u Caleb Wilson O19.5 PTS -115❌
About the only thing that went well yesterday was Brook Lopez as a 1H cash
NBA Record: 55-50, -0.71u
VIP Record: 29-31, -1.79u
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4,439
NFL Recap:
8-14, -10.34u
I wish that was a typo. Had the best CLV I’ve had all season and had my second worst NFL Sunday ever. Just sucks.
Sorry to all those who tailed. Awful week. The rebuild starts now
2.2u Dolphins +7 -110❌
1.02u Saints -3 -102❌
1.12u Saints -2.5 -112❌
2.16u Seahawks -8.5 -108✅
1.1u Jets +10 -110❌
1.18u Eagles +3.5 -118❌
1.12u 49ers -9.5 -112✅
1.15u Panthers +3 -115❌
1.1u Bucs +6.5 -110✅
Totals:
2.5u Patriots Team Total U24.5 -125❌
1.15u Texans / Chargers U41.5 -115❌
1.77u Chargers Team Total U17.5 -118❌
1.1u Bears / Bucs U47.5 -110❌
Props:
1.2u Colston Loveland O50.5 Receiving Yards -120✅
1.14u Geno Smith O211.5 Passing Yards -114❌
1.14u Javonte Williams O70.5 Rushing Yards -114✅
0.56u Kyle Pitts O41.5 Receiving Yards -113❌
1.25u Greg Dulcich O3.5 Receptions -125❌
0.6u Baker Mayfield O15.5 Rushing Yards -120❌
0.55u Josh Jacobs U47.5 Rushing Yards -110✅
0.57u Bucky Irving O63.5 Rushing Yards -114✅
0.57u Kenneth Walker O90.5 Rushing Yards -114✅
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I had 5 spread bets in the opening window which is admittedly a lot for me
I beat the closing # in all 5 through keys of 3, 7, and 10.
Went 0-5. Unreal.
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3 Of My Favorite NFL Bets Today ⬇️
1. Seahawks -8.5 -108 (2u)
2. 49ers -9.5 -112 (1u)
3. Geno Smith O211.5 Passing Yards -114 (1u)
I love this NFL board. Unfortunately, every other spread bet I've made has moved so I can't give them out. Can't wait for this CLV bonfire
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NBA Recap 11/7:
3-1, +2.6u
The NBA was good to me yesterday
1.8u Nikola Jokic U26.5 PTS -120✅
1.71u Kenrich Williams O12.5 PTS+REB -114✅
1.4u Draymond Green U6.5 AST -140❌
1.03u Fred VanVleet O11.5 PTS -103✅
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4,727
CFB Recap:
6-9, -6.31u
Obviously, a horrible day. However, I was 0-8 to start so ending up here felt like a blessing somehow. We’ve had two really bad Saturdays this year and still up +20u in CFB
Sorry to those who tailed. Onto next week we go
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The full bets:
2.2u Air Force / Army U49.5 -110✅
2.3u Ohio State -7 -115❌
2.24u Boston College +6 -112❌
2.16u Syracuse +1.5 -108❌
1.8u West Virginia +17.5 -115 (✅
1.73u Kansas -2.5 -115❌
1.06u South Alabama +7.5 -106✅
1.1u Louisiana Tech -4.5 -110✅
1.3u BYU / Utah 1H U24.5 -130❌
1.15u Miami +7.5 -115✅
1.15u Minnesota +6.5 -115❌
1.42u Georgia ML -142✅
1.1u NC State +4.5 -110❌
1.05u Colorado State +17.5 -105❌
0.85u Missouri ML +117❌
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I get the OSU coaches see St. Clair more in practice than we do, but OSU has a 5 star QB on the bench right now.
You might as well try something different?
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